Monsoon vs São Luiz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
31/01/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Gaucho - Round 6

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.882.81
Ball possession
45%55%
Total shots
1524
Shots on target
66
Big chances
43
Corner kicks
111
Passes
81% (270/334)81% (318/391)
Yellow cards
51
Expected goals (xG)
1.882.81
xG on target (xGOT)
1.821.49
Total shots
1524
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
78
Blocked shots
210
Shots inside the box
1012
Shots outside the box
512
Hit the woodwork
11
Headed goals
10
Big chances
43
Corner kicks
111
Touches in opposition box
1634
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free kicks
1112
Passes
81% (270/334)81% (318/391)
Long passes
44% (21/48)53% (28/53)
Passes in final third
71% (76/107)73% (98/134)
Crosses
50% (5/10)38% (11/29)
Expected assists (xA)
0.531.50
Throw ins
1218
Fouls
1211
Tackles
68% (13/19)92% (11/12)
Duels won
5045
Clearances
267
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
54
xGOT faced
1.491.82
Goals prevented
0.49-0.18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 20', Vinicius Garcia 🟨,
  • 22', Medina F. 🟨,
  • 23', 0 - 1, Hiago Cena (Own goal),
  • 33', Gabriel Oliveira 🟨,
  • 35', 1 - 1, Fabinho Polhao , Para (A),
  • 41', Fabinho Polhao 🟨,
  • 45+6', 2 - 1, Fabinho Polhao (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', DG , Rogerio Sena ,
  • 46', Vidmar , Rogerio Sena ,
  • 59', Medina F. , Leo Hanna ,
  • 59', Fabinho Polhao , Hannyel ,
  • 60', Lucas Hulk , Felipe Tontini ,
  • 62', 2 - 2, Escuro ,
  • 65', Leo Hanna 🟨,
  • 68', Matheus Candido , Anderson ,
  • 68', Jonathan Cabeca , Luan Santos ,
  • 73', Felipe Rangel , Denis Germano ,
  • 75', Caio Rangel , Rick Sena ,
  • 86', Rogerio Sena , Victor Jesus ,
  • 90+1', Luan Santos 🟨,

Chances of winning


Monsoon
32.4%
Draw
34.3%
São Luiz
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.7% 31.2% 28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8% 31.3% 28%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Monsoon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Monsoon's form might have worsened.
  • São Luiz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting São Luiz's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monsoon than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Monsoon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Luiz than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for São Luiz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Monsoon - São Luiz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.83
    (2.25)
    2.67
    (2.93)
    2.77
    (3.25)
    9%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Monsoon
    25.01.2026 Juventude - Monsoon 3:0
    18.01.2026 Monsoon - Avenida 0:0
    15.01.2026 Monsoon - Internacional RS 0:4
    10.01.2026 Guarany de Bagé - Monsoon 1:1
    Latest results of São Luiz
    24.01.2026 São Luiz - Ypiranga 2:2
    21.01.2026 São Luiz - Novo Hamburgo 1:0
    17.01.2026 Grêmio - São Luiz 5:0
    11.01.2026 São Luiz - Caxias 1:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1InternacionalSao Luiz3 : 1
    2SER CaxiasYpiranga FC0 : 2
    3JuventudeEC Sao Jose3 : 2
    4GremioNovo Hamburgo1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1InternacionalYpiranga FC4 : 0, 3 : 0
    2JuventudeGremio1 : 2, 1 : 1

    Final
    1InternacionalGremio