Result
2:2
31/01/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 2.81 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 24 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (270/334) | 81% (318/391) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 2.81 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 1.49 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 24 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 11 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 34 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (270/334) | 81% (318/391) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (21/48) | 53% (28/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (76/107) | 73% (98/134) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 38% (11/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 1.50 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (13/19) | 92% (11/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 7 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.49 | 1.82 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.49 | -0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 20', Vinicius Garcia 🟨,
- 22', Medina F. 🟨,
- 23', 0 - 1, Hiago Cena (Own goal),
- 33', Gabriel Oliveira 🟨,
- 35', 1 - 1, Fabinho Polhao ⚽, Para (A),
- 41', Fabinho Polhao 🟨,
- 45+6', 2 - 1, Fabinho Polhao (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', DG ↓, Rogerio Sena ↑,
- 46', Vidmar ↓, Rogerio Sena ↑,
- 59', Medina F. ↓, Leo Hanna ↑,
- 59', Fabinho Polhao ↓, Hannyel ↑,
- 60', Lucas Hulk ↓, Felipe Tontini ↑,
- 62', 2 - 2, Escuro ⚽,
- 65', Leo Hanna 🟨,
- 68', Matheus Candido ↓, Anderson ↑,
- 68', Jonathan Cabeca ↓, Luan Santos ↑,
- 73', Felipe Rangel ↓, Denis Germano ↑,
- 75', Caio Rangel ↓, Rick Sena ↑,
- 86', Rogerio Sena ↓, Victor Jesus ↑,
- 90+1', Luan Santos 🟨,
Chances of winning
Monsoon 32.4% | Draw 34.3% | São Luiz 33.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monsoon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Monsoon's form might have worsened.São Luiz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting São Luiz's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monsoon than the current prediction. (+8.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Monsoon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Luiz than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for São Luiz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Monsoon - São Luiz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.83 ↑ (2.25) |
2.67 ↓ (2.93) |
2.77 ↓ (3.25) |
9% (9.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Monsoon won against São Luiz?
Monsoon has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has São Luiz won against Monsoon?
São Luiz has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Monsoon - São Luiz were as follows:
Latest results of Monsoon
Latest results of São Luiz
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Internacional | Sao Luiz | 3 : 1 |
| 2 | SER Caxias | Ypiranga FC | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Juventude | EC Sao Jose | 3 : 2 |
| 4 | Gremio | Novo Hamburgo | 1 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Internacional | Ypiranga FC | 4 : 0, 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Juventude | Gremio | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |
Final