Carcassonne vs Mont-De-Marsan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
28:29
27/03/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Pro D2 - Round 24

Match Stats

Tries
00
Conversion goals
00
Conversion goal attempts
00
Penalty goals
00
Penalty goal attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped goals
00
Total runs
00
Metres run with ball
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 10)
  • 2nd Half (28 - 19)

Chances of winning


Carcassonne
56.4%
Draw
4.8%
Mont-De-Marsan
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.7% 4.2% 37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.7% 4.5% 34.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Carcassonne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Mont-De-Marsan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carcassonne than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carcassonne, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mont-De-Marsan than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • Carcassonne - Mont-De-Marsan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.58)
    18.66
    (22.23)
    2.36
    (2.49)
    9.3%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 51.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
    What is the prediction for Carcassonne - Mont-De-Marsan?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 52.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 28:25.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carcassonne won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Carcassonne is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Carcassonne will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Carcassonne won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 391:503. (average 19.6:25.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Carcassonne won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 188:179. (average 20.9:19.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Carcassonne - Mont-De-Marsan were as follows:
    26.09.2025 Mont-De-Marsan - Carcassonne 19:34
    17.03.2023 Carcassonne - Mont-De-Marsan 37:9
    16.12.2022 Mont-De-Marsan - Carcassonne 42:13
    Latest results of Carcassonne
    06.03.2026 Agen - Carcassonne 54:17
    20.02.2026 Carcassonne - Nevers 42:31
    13.02.2026 Vannes - Carcassonne 26:0
    30.01.2026 Carcassonne - Provence Rugby 19:23
    Latest results of Mont-De-Marsan
    06.03.2026 Mont-De-Marsan - Béziers 41:24
    27.02.2026 Mont-De-Marsan - Biarritz 34:16
    30.01.2026 Mont-De-Marsan - Brive 20:3
    French Pro D2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLPts
    1Vannes242013807:43493
    2Colomiers241707625:38076
    3Provence Rugby2414010700:53871
    4Valence Romans241509624:58866
    5CA Brive2413110665:50463
    6US Oyonnax2412012731:54062
    7Agen2412012625:57057
    8Aurillac2411013578:62552
    9Grenoble FC2411013590:65749
    10Angouleme2410014426:59845
    11Biarritz Olympique2410113614:69243
    12Beziers2410014498:60342
    13Mont-de-Marsan249114528:77941
    14Nevers248115574:79640
    15US Dax2411013561:54839
    16Carcassonne246117443:73731

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