Mont-De-Marsan vs Valence Romans Drôme – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
18:13
16/01/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Pro D2 - Round 17
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFranceCanal+ Live 5

Match Stats

Tries
00
Conversion goals
00
Conversion goal attempts
00
Penalty goals
00
Penalty goal attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped goals
00
Total runs
00
Metres run with ball
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 6)
  • 2nd Half (15 - 7)

Chances of winning


Mont-De-Marsan
59.9%
Draw
4.6%
Valence Romans Drôme
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.6% 5% 30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

80.5% 6.2% 24.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mont-De-Marsan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • Valence Romans Drôme has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Valence Romans Drôme's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mont-De-Marsan than the current prediction. (+20.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mont-De-Marsan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valence Romans Drôme than the current prediction. (-11.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Valence Romans Drôme, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Mont-De-Marsan - Valence Romans Drôme Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.55
    (1.44)
    19.66
    (18.59)
    2.6
    (3.06)
    8.3%
    (7.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 53.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mont-De-Marsan won 2.
    • Mont-De-Marsan is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Valence Romans is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, Mont-De-Marsan is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Mont-De-Marsan won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 215:188. (average 26.9:23.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mont-De-Marsan won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 87:50. (average 29:16.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mont-De-Marsan - Valence Romans Drôme were as follows:
    03.10.2025 Valence Romans Drôme - Mont-De-Marsan 35:21
    09.05.2025 Mont-De-Marsan - Valence Romans Drôme 52:20
    13.12.2024 Valence Romans Drôme - Mont-De-Marsan 28:23
    05.04.2024 Valence Romans Drôme - Mont-De-Marsan 38:17
    19.10.2023 Mont-De-Marsan - Valence Romans Drôme 12:7
    Latest results of Mont-De-Marsan
    09.01.2026 Vannes - Mont-De-Marsan 47:29
    28.11.2025 US Dax - Mont-De-Marsan 68:14
    Latest results of Valence Romans Drôme
    French Pro D2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLPts
    1Vannes221813719:40185
    2Colomiers221606590:33772
    3Provence Rugby221408662:48770
    4Valence Romans221408558:53162
    5US Oyonnax2211011658:48457
    6CA Brive2211110614:48555
    7Agen2211011558:52152
    8Aurillac2210012513:56347
    9Grenoble FC2210012540:58745
    10Angouleme2210012397:54644
    11Nevers228113532:70340
    12Beziers229013442:54938
    13US Dax2210012495:47035
    14Biarritz Olympique228113561:65035
    15Mont-de-Marsan227114458:72733
    16Carcassonne226115398:65430

          Promotion ~ Pro D2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
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          Pro D2 (Relegation)
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