Nesebar vs Montana – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
06/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Vtora liga - Round 30

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
511
Shots on target
27
Corner Kicks
55
Yellow Cards
51
Total shots
511
Shots on target
27
Shots off target
34
Corner Kicks
55
Goalkeeper Saves
41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 15', 0 - 1, ,
  • 43', 🟨,
  • 45', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', 🟨,
  • 51', 0 - 2, ,
  • 66', 1 - 2, ,
  • 68', 🟨,
  • 73', 1 - 3, ,
  • 83', 🟨,
  • 83', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Nesebar
13%
Draw
22%
Montana
64.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
13.3% 22.6% 64.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13% 22.1% 65.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nesebar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Montana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Nesebar aligns with the current prediction.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montana than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Nesebar - Montana Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.98
    (6.82)
    4.13
    (4)
    1.4
    (1.41)
    9.8%
    (10.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Nesebar - Montana?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Montana (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH +1 - Nesebar (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Nesebar (votes: 1 - 50%). Montana (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Parva liga).
    • Nesebar is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Montana is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Montana could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Montana is a favorite.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Nesebar won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2:7 (average 0.7:2.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Nesebar won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nesebar - Montana were as follows:
    28.09.2024 Montana - Nesebar 2:0
    Latest results of Nesebar
    02.04.2025 Ludogorets II - Nesebar 2:0
    22.03.2025 Nesebar - Spartak Pleven 1:2
    16.03.2025 CSKA Sofia II - Nesebar 0:0
    08.03.2025 Nesebar - Fratria 3:1
    Latest results of Montana
    03.04.2025 Montana - Spartak Pleven 1:0
    30.03.2025 CSKA Sofia II - Montana 0:0
    22.03.2025 Montana - Fratria 0:1
    16.03.2025 Sportist Svoge - Montana 0:0
    Bulgarian Vtora Liga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dunav Ruse29198249:123765
    2Fratria28168452:252756
    3Yantra Gabrovo28159440:231754
    4Vihren29156854:332151
    5CSKA Sofia II29147852:302249
    6Chernomorets 1919291013635:26943
    7Etar291011838:41-341
    8Hebar281061238:47-936
    9Pirin Blagoevgrad298111034:35-135
    10Marek298101122:34-1234
    11Lok. Gorna29891230:41-1133
    12Spartak Pleven30881431:40-932
    13Ludogorets II28881233:39-632
    14Minyor Pernik29791330:38-830
    15Svoge29771525:47-2228
    16Sevlievo29751723:45-2226
    17Belasitsa ✔ 29471824:54-3019

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