Vilanova vs Montañesa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
15/03/2026 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 5 - Round 26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 52', 1 - 0, ,
  • 77', 1 - 1, ,
  • 85', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Vilanova
53%
Draw
30.2%
Montañesa
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.2% 29.5% 27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4% 29.6% 27.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vilanova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vilanova's performance.
  • Montañesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Montañesa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilanova than the current prediction. (-9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vilanova that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montañesa than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Montañesa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Vilanova - Montañesa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.9
    (2.12)
    3.34
    (3.1)
    5.98
    (3.35)
    -0.8%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 5 (Play Offs: ) and 9).
    • In recent matches, Vilanova has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Montañesa is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Vilanova might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vilanova won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vilanova - Montañesa were as follows:
    02.11.2025 Montañesa - Vilanova 0:0
    Latest results of Vilanova
    04.03.2026 Vilanova - Peralada 2:1
    21.02.2026 Vic - Vilanova 1:0
    14.02.2026 Vilanova - LHospitalet 2:1
    08.02.2026 Manresa - Vilanova 1:0
    Latest results of Montañesa
    08.03.2026 Montañesa - LEscala 2:1
    22.02.2026 Montañesa - Mollerussa 2:0
    08.02.2026 Montañesa - Cornellà 1:0
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Manresa27158442:241853
    2CF Badalona261410236:162052
    3Cornella27147643:291449
    4CF Vilanova27119729:22742
    5L Hospitalet271251040:32841
    6Peralada27911732:27538
    7UE Tona27911730:25538
    8FC L'escala26108839:37238
    9Montanesa27108926:26038
    10Grama27811836:31535
    11San Cristobal CP277101032:38-631
    12Mollerussa27791129:37-830
    13CE Europa B27791130:42-1230
    14Cerdanyola27513931:37-628
    15Can Vidalet27771330:42-1228
    16Vilassar de Mar27691226:31-527
    17UE Vic27591324:40-1624
    18Lleida274101317:36-1922

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 5 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation