Tapachula Soconusco vs Montañeses – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
09/03/2026 at 22:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Premier Serie A - Round 22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 33', 1 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 54', 2 - 0, ,
  • 66', 2 - 1, ,
  • 90', 3 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Tapachula Soconusco
36.9%
Draw
24.9%
Montañeses
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.5% 26.6% 40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2% 25.5% 42.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tapachula Soconusco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • Montañeses has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tapachula Soconusco than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tapachula Soconusco that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montañeses than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • Tapachula Soconusco - Montañeses Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.47
    (2.79)
    3.66
    (3.42)
    2.39
    (2.22)
    9.8%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 7).
    • Tapachula has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Montañeses is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tapachula won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.5:3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tapachula Soconusco - Montañeses were as follows:
    19.10.2025 Montañeses - Tapachula Soconusco 2:0
    16.10.2024 Montañeses - Tapachula Soconusco 4:1
    Latest results of Montañeses
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Racing de VeracruzBye
    2Tigres de AlicaHalcones2 : 1, 0 : 2
    3Alacranes de DurangoBye
    4SantiagoZacatepec2 : 3, 1 : 1
    5Deportiva VenadosClub Calor2 : 1, 1 : 0
    6TapachulaTritones Vallarta1 : 1, 0 : 1
    7ApodacaBye
    8TecosInter Playa Del Carmen0 : 0, 0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Racing de VeracruzHalcones0 : 2, 0 : 0
    2Alacranes de DurangoZacatepec1 : 1, 2 : 2
    3Deportiva VenadosTritones Vallarta1 : 0, 1 : 1
    4ApodacaInter Playa Del Carmen3 : 1, 0 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1HalconesAlacranes de Durango1 : 2, 0 : 0
    2Deportiva VenadosApodaca4 : 2, 1 : 1

    Final
    1Alacranes de DurangoDeportiva Venados