Result
1:2
10/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J2 League - Round 25
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
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Ball Possession |
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52% | 48% |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
79% (460/585) | 81% (356/438) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 2 |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 5 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 2 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 10 |
Passes |
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79% (460/585) | 81% (356/438) |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 9 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 5', 0 - 1, Watanabe A. ⚽, Okuda K. (A),
- 20', 0 - 2, Osaki K. ⚽, Iida T. (A),
- 26', Abe T. 🟨,
- 28', Kato C. 🟨,
- 41', Nagao Y. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Disaro A. S. ↓, Takahashi J. ↑,
- 46', Kokubu S. ↓, Sakamoto K. ↑,
- 46', Nagao Y. ↓, Tsukagawa K. ↑,
- 46', Kato C. ↓, Yamamoto H. ↑,
- 47', Nakamura R. 🟨,
- 73', Watanabe A. ↓, Nemoto R. ↑,
- 73', Nakamura R. ↓, Terayama T. ↑,
- 81', Doi S. ↓, Horikane S. ↑,
- 81', Okuda K. ↓, Arai M. ↑,
- 85', Tanaka W. ↓, Yoshida T. ↑,
- 87', Shirowa H. 🟨,
- 87', Saito S. ↓, Chinen T. ↑,
- 90+6', 1 - 2, Horikane S. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Montedio Yamagata 26.8% | Draw 28.1% | Mito HollyHock 45.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montedio Yamagata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Mito HollyHock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montedio Yamagata than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mito HollyHock than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Montedio Yamagata - Mito HollyHock Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.64 ↑ (3.19) |
3.38 ↑ (3.32) |
2.09 ↓ (2.27) |
4.9% (5.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Montedio Yamagata - Mito HollyHock?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Montedio Yamagata will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Mito HollyHock will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mito HollyHock: 44.1% – 94.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Mito HollyHock (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montedio Yamagata won 1.
- In recent matches, Montedio Yamagata has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Mito HollyHock is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Mito HollyHock may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Mito HollyHock will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Montedio Yamagata won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 13:21. (average 0.7:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Montedio Yamagata won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.4:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Montedio Yamagata won against Mito HollyHock?
Montedio Yamagata has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mito HollyHock won against Montedio Yamagata?
Mito HollyHock has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Montedio Yamagata - Mito HollyHock were as follows:
23.02.2025
Mito HollyHock
-
Montedio Yamagata
1:0
03.11.2024
Mito HollyHock
-
Montedio Yamagata
1:3
12.05.2024
Montedio Yamagata
-
Mito HollyHock
0:1
16.07.2023
Mito HollyHock
-
Montedio Yamagata
3:1
02.04.2023
Montedio Yamagata
-
Mito HollyHock
0:1
Latest results of Montedio Yamagata
Latest results of Mito HollyHock
Japan J2 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Mito | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 42:25 | 17 | 52 |
2 | Chiba | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 37:24 | 13 | 48 |
3 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 44:37 | 7 | 48 |
4 | Omiya Ardija | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 38:22 | 16 | 47 |
5 | Tokushima | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 27:14 | 13 | 47 |
6 | Vegalta Sendai | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 31:25 | 6 | 46 |
7 | Iwata | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 43:36 | 7 | 44 |
8 | Imabari | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 35:27 | 8 | 43 |
9 | Sagan Tosu | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 29:26 | 3 | 43 |
10 | Kofu | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 28:25 | 3 | 38 |
11 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 34:44 | -10 | 37 |
12 | Iwaki | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 37:36 | 1 | 33 |
13 | Fujieda MYFC | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 33:35 | -2 | 32 |
14 | Blaublitz | 27 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 35:45 | -10 | 31 |
15 | Montedio Yamagata | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 36:39 | -3 | 29 |
16 | Oita Trinita | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 22:32 | -10 | 28 |
17 | Kumamoto | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 32:42 | -10 | 27 |
18 | Toyama | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 22:35 | -13 | 23 |
19 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 27 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 23:34 | -11 | 21 |
20 | Ehime | 27 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 24:49 | -25 | 16 |
Promotion ~ J1 League
Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: )
Relegation ~ J3 League