Result
1:2
10/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J2 League - Round 25
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (460/585) | 81% (356/438) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (460/585) | 81% (356/438) |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 5', 0 - 1, Watanabe A. ⚽, Okuda K. (A),
- 20', 0 - 2, Osaki K. ⚽, Iida T. (A),
- 26', Abe T. 🟨,
- 28', Kato C. 🟨,
- 41', Nagao Y. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Disaro A. S. ↓, Takahashi J. ↑,
- 46', Kokubu S. ↓, Sakamoto K. ↑,
- 46', Nagao Y. ↓, Tsukagawa K. ↑,
- 46', Kato C. ↓, Yamamoto H. ↑,
- 47', Nakamura R. 🟨,
- 73', Watanabe A. ↓, Nemoto R. ↑,
- 73', Nakamura R. ↓, Terayama T. ↑,
- 81', Doi S. ↓, Horikane S. ↑,
- 81', Okuda K. ↓, Arai M. ↑,
- 85', Tanaka W. ↓, Yoshida T. ↑,
- 87', Shirowa H. 🟨,
- 87', Saito S. ↓, Chinen T. ↑,
- 90+6', 1 - 2, Horikane S. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Montedio Yamagata
26.8% | Draw
28.1% | Mito HollyHock
45.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montedio Yamagata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Mito HollyHock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montedio Yamagata than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mito HollyHock than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Montedio Yamagata - Mito HollyHock Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.64 ↑
(3.19) |
3.38 ↑
(3.32) |
2.09 ↓
(2.27) |
4.9%
(5.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Montedio Yamagata - Mito HollyHock?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Montedio Yamagata will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Mito HollyHock will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mito HollyHock: 44.1% – 94.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Mito HollyHock (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montedio Yamagata won 1.
- In recent matches, Montedio Yamagata has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Mito HollyHock is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Mito HollyHock may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Mito HollyHock will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Montedio Yamagata won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 13:21. (average 0.7:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Montedio Yamagata won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.4:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Montedio Yamagata won against Mito HollyHock?
Montedio Yamagata has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mito HollyHock won against Montedio Yamagata?
Mito HollyHock has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Montedio Yamagata - Mito HollyHock were as follows:
23.02.2025
Mito HollyHock
-
Montedio Yamagata
1:0
03.11.2024
Mito HollyHock
-
Montedio Yamagata
1:3
12.05.2024
Montedio Yamagata
-
Mito HollyHock
0:1
16.07.2023
Mito HollyHock
-
Montedio Yamagata
3:1
02.04.2023
Montedio Yamagata
-
Mito HollyHock
0:1
Latest results of Montedio Yamagata
Latest results of Mito HollyHock
Japan J2 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 56:41 | 15 | 63 |
| 2 | Mito | 33 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 50:30 | 20 | 61 |
| 3 | Chiba | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 44:31 | 13 | 58 |
| 4 | Tokushima | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 38:20 | 18 | 57 |
| 5 | Omiya Ardija | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 48:32 | 16 | 56 |
| 6 | Sagan Tosu | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 42:35 | 7 | 56 |
| 7 | Vegalta Sendai | 33 | 14 | 13 | 6 | 40:30 | 10 | 55 |
| 8 | Iwata | 33 | 15 | 6 | 12 | 49:46 | 3 | 51 |
| 9 | Imabari | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 41:36 | 5 | 49 |
| 10 | Iwaki | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 50:41 | 9 | 46 |
| 11 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 33 | 14 | 4 | 15 | 41:55 | -14 | 46 |
| 12 | Kofu | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 36:39 | -3 | 43 |
| 13 | Montedio Yamagata | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 48:47 | 1 | 42 |
| 14 | Blaublitz | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 40:50 | -10 | 38 |
| 15 | Fujieda MYFC | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 38:44 | -6 | 37 |
| 16 | Kumamoto | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 40:52 | -12 | 35 |
| 17 | Oita Trinita | 33 | 7 | 14 | 12 | 24:36 | -12 | 35 |
| 18 | Toyama | 33 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 25:45 | -20 | 27 |
| 19 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 33 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 30:43 | -13 | 26 |
| 20 | Ehime | 33 | 3 | 11 | 19 | 32:59 | -27 | 20 |
Promotion ~ J1 League
Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: )
Relegation ~ J3 League
