Montedio Yamagata vs Mito HollyHock – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J2 League Montedio Yamagata - Mito HollyHock
Result
1:2
10/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J2 League - Round 25
  • Where to Watch on TV:
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
128
Shots on target
53
Corner Kicks
92
Passes
79% (460/585)81% (356/438)
Yellow Cards
32
Total shots
128
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
75
Corner Kicks
92
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1110
Passes
79% (460/585)81% (356/438)
Fouls
129
Goalkeeper Saves
14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 5', 0 - 1, Watanabe A. , Okuda K. (A),
  • 20', 0 - 2, Osaki K. , Iida T. (A),
  • 26', Abe T. 🟨,
  • 28', Kato C. 🟨,
  • 41', Nagao Y. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Disaro A. S. , Takahashi J. ,
  • 46', Kokubu S. , Sakamoto K. ,
  • 46', Nagao Y. , Tsukagawa K. ,
  • 46', Kato C. , Yamamoto H. ,
  • 47', Nakamura R. 🟨,
  • 73', Watanabe A. , Nemoto R. ,
  • 73', Nakamura R. , Terayama T. ,
  • 81', Doi S. , Horikane S. ,
  • 81', Okuda K. , Arai M. ,
  • 85', Tanaka W. , Yoshida T. ,
  • 87', Shirowa H. 🟨,
  • 87', Saito S. , Chinen T. ,
  • 90+6', 1 - 2, Horikane S. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Montedio Yamagata
26.8%
Draw
28.1%
Mito HollyHock
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.7% 28.5% 41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2% 30% 43.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Montedio Yamagata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Mito HollyHock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montedio Yamagata than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mito HollyHock than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Montedio Yamagata - Mito HollyHock Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.64
    (3.19)
    3.38
    (3.32)
    2.09
    (2.27)
    4.9%
    (5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Montedio Yamagata - Mito HollyHock?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Montedio Yamagata will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Mito HollyHock will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Mito HollyHock: 44.1%94.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Mito HollyHock (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montedio Yamagata won 1.
    • In recent matches, Montedio Yamagata has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Mito HollyHock is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Mito HollyHock may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Mito HollyHock will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Montedio Yamagata won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 13:21. (average 0.7:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Montedio Yamagata won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.4:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Montedio Yamagata - Mito HollyHock were as follows:
    23.02.2025 Mito HollyHock - Montedio Yamagata 1:0
    03.11.2024 Mito HollyHock - Montedio Yamagata 1:3
    12.05.2024 Montedio Yamagata - Mito HollyHock 0:1
    16.07.2023 Mito HollyHock - Montedio Yamagata 3:1
    02.04.2023 Montedio Yamagata - Mito HollyHock 0:1
    Latest results of Montedio Yamagata
    Latest results of Mito HollyHock
    Japan J2 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mito27157542:251752
    2Chiba27146737:241348
    3V-Varen Nagasaki27139544:37748
    4Omiya Ardija27138638:221647
    5Tokushima27138627:141347
    6Vegalta Sendai271210531:25646
    7Iwata27135943:36744
    8Imabari271110635:27843
    9Sagan Tosu27127829:26343
    10Kofu27108928:25338
    11Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo271141234:44-1037
    12Iwaki27891037:36133
    13Fujieda MYFC27881133:35-232
    14Blaublitz27941435:45-1031
    15Montedio Yamagata27851436:39-329
    16Oita Trinita276101122:32-1028
    17Kumamoto27761432:42-1027
    18Toyama27581422:35-1323
    19Renofa Yamaguchi273121223:34-1121
    20Ehime272101524:49-2516

          Promotion ~ J1 League
          Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: )
          Relegation ~ J3 League