Tokushima Vortis vs Montedio Yamagata – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J2 League Tokushima Vortis - Montedio Yamagata
Result
1:0
23/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J2 League - Round 27
  • Where to Watch on TV:
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1110
Shots on target
43
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
87% (376/433)82% (540/660)
Yellow Cards
22
Total shots
1110
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
77
Corner Kicks
33
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1613
Passes
87% (376/433)82% (540/660)
Fouls
1212
Goalkeeper Saves
33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 22', Shirowa H. 🟨,
  • 27', 1 - 0, Takagi Y. , Watari D. (A),
  • 34', Kanuma N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Doi S. , Takahashi J. ,
  • 61', Tamukai T. , Kaique ,
  • 61', Shigehiro T. , Nagaki R. ,
  • 63', Tanaka W. , Terayama T. ,
  • 63', Sakamoto K. , Kokubu S. ,
  • 70', Watari D. , Thonny Anderson ,
  • 77', Disaro A. S. , Horikane S. ,
  • 80', Sugimoto T. , Izuchukwu L. ,
  • 80', Takagi Y. , Takada S. ,
  • 81', Thonny Anderson 🟨,
  • 88', Kida R. , Yoshio Kaina ,
  • 90+3', Nodake H. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Tokushima Vortis
39.8%
Draw
29.9%
Montedio Yamagata
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.5% 27.6% 24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1% 29.1% 23.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tokushima Vortis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tokushima Vortis's form might have worsened.
  • Montedio Yamagata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Montedio Yamagata's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokushima Vortis than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tokushima Vortis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montedio Yamagata than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Montedio Yamagata, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Tokushima Vortis - Montedio Yamagata Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.31
    (1.96)
    3.09
    (3.37)
    3.11
    (3.73)
    7.9%
    (7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Tokushima Vortis - Montedio Yamagata?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Tokushima will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Montedio Yamagata will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: ) and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokushima won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Recently, Tokushima has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Montedio Yamagata has had a series of home games.
    • Tokushima will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Tokushima won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:23. (average 1.5:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tokushima won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:10. (average 1.6:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tokushima Vortis - Montedio Yamagata were as follows:
    23.03.2025 Montedio Yamagata - Tokushima Vortis 0:0
    11.08.2024 Montedio Yamagata - Tokushima Vortis 1:0
    28.04.2024 Tokushima Vortis - Montedio Yamagata 2:1
    01.10.2023 Montedio Yamagata - Tokushima Vortis 0:1
    17.06.2023 Tokushima Vortis - Montedio Yamagata 1:1
    Latest results of Tokushima Vortis
    Latest results of Montedio Yamagata
    Japan J2 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mito27157542:251752
    2Chiba27146737:241348
    3V-Varen Nagasaki27139544:37748
    4Omiya Ardija27138638:221647
    5Tokushima27138627:141347
    6Vegalta Sendai271210531:25646
    7Iwata27135943:36744
    8Imabari271110635:27843
    9Sagan Tosu27127829:26343
    10Kofu27108928:25338
    11Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo271141234:44-1037
    12Iwaki27891037:36133
    13Fujieda MYFC27881133:35-232
    14Blaublitz27941435:45-1031
    15Montedio Yamagata27851436:39-329
    16Oita Trinita276101122:32-1028
    17Kumamoto27761432:42-1027
    18Toyama27581422:35-1323
    19Renofa Yamaguchi273121223:34-1121
    20Ehime272101524:49-2516

          Promotion ~ J1 League
          Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: )
          Relegation ~ J3 League