Sweden vs Montenegro, EuroBasket – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball EuroBasket Sweden - Montenegro
Result
81:87
01/09/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EuroBasket - Round 4
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
finlandFinlandRuutu+
franceFrancebeIN Sports MAX 4
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport
italyItalyDAZN Italia
montenegroMontenegroTVCG 1
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3, SportKlub 1
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 1
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenSVT 1, SVT Play
worldWorldCourt Side 1891

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
6967
Field Goals Made
2931
Field Goals %
42%46.3%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
4741
2-Point Field Goals Made
2120
2-Point Field Goals %
44.7%48.8%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
2226
3-Point Field Goals Made
811
3-Point Field Goals %
36.4%42.3%
Free Throws Attempted
2116
Free Throws Made
1514
Free Throws %
71.4%87.5%
Offensive Rebounds
99
Defensive Rebounds
2529
Total Rebounds
3438
Assists
1812
Blocks
26
Turnovers
711
Steals
54
Personal Fouls
1922

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sweden
43.5%
Montenegro
56.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.7% 70.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6% 65.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sweden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sweden's performance.
  • Montenegro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Montenegro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sweden than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sweden that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montenegro than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Montenegro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sweden - Montenegro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.26
    (3.15)

    1.7
    (1.33)
    3%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 157.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
  • What is the prediction for Sweden - Montenegro?
  • Users Predictions: Sweden will win (27 of 33 users predict this - 81.82%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 68.66%94.98%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sweden will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 78:80.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sweden won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 156:178. (average 78:89).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sweden - Montenegro were as follows:
    23.02.2025 Sweden - Montenegro 86:83
    25.02.2024 Montenegro - Sweden 95:70
    Latest results of Sweden
    30.08.2025 Great Britain - Sweden 59:78
    29.08.2025 Germany - Sweden 105:83
    27.08.2025 Sweden - Finland 90:93
    20.08.2025 Sweden - Estonia 87:88
    16.08.2025 Portugal - Sweden 78:61
    Latest results of Montenegro
    30.08.2025 Montenegro - Finland 65:85
    29.08.2025 Lithuania - Montenegro 94:67
    27.08.2025 Montenegro - Germany 76:106
    23.08.2025 Turkey - Montenegro 96:85
    17.08.2025 Montenegro - Israel 88:76
    Draw
    Final tournament

    1/8-finals
    1Lithuania (B2)Latvia (A3)88 : 79
    2Greece (C1)Israel (D4)84 : 79
    3Turkey (A1)Sweden (B4)85 : 79
    4Poland (D2)Bosnia & Herzegovina (C3)80 : 72
    5Germany (B1)Portugal (A4)85 : 58
    6Italy (C2)Slovenia (D3)77 : 84
    7Serbia (A2)Finland (B3)86 : 92
    8France (D1)Georgia (C4)70 : 80

    Quarter-finals
    1Lithuania (B2)Greece (C1)76 : 87
    2Turkey (A1)Poland (D2)91 : 77
    3Germany (B1)Slovenia (D3)99 : 91
    4Finland (B3)Georgia (C4)93 : 79

    Semi-finals
    1Greece (C1)Turkey (A1)68 : 94
    2Germany (B1)Finland (B3)98 : 86

    Final
    1Turkey (A1)Germany (B1)83 : 88

    3rd place
    2Greece (C1)Finland (B3)92 : 89