Result
1:0
14/02/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Mexico | Canal 5, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium |
South-america | ViX Latin America |
Usa | TUDN App, TUDN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 0.55 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (376/438) | 81% (288/354) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 0.55 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 0.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (376/438) | 81% (288/354) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 66% (23/35) | 54% (28/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (74/108) | 67% (53/79) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (8/20) | 36% (4/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.57 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (5/6) | 56% (5/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.09 | 1.89 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.09 | 0.89 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 19', Arteaga G. 🟨,
- 24', 1 - 0, Canales S. ⚽, Orellano L. (A),
- 29', Moreno I. 🟨,
- 45', Martial A. ↓, Ocampos L. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 64', Moreno I. ↓, Rodriguez I. ↑,
- 70', Ambriz F. ↓, Corona J. ↑,
- 70', Orellano L. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
- 76', Torres O. 🟨,
- 80', Echeverria R. ↓, Beltran Cruz F. ↑,
- 83', Djurdjevic U. ↓, Fimbres I. ↑,
- 88', Arcila D. ↓, Alvarado A. ↑,
- 88', Vallejo N. ↓, Ramirez D. ↑,
- 88', Cambindo D. ↓, Funes Mori R. ↑,
- 90+1', Corona J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Monterrey 60.5% | Draw 22.3% | Club León 17.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monterrey has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Monterrey's form might have worsened.Club León has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterrey than the current prediction. (+7.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Monterrey, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club León than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Monterrey - Club León Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.56 ↑ (1.43) |
4.23 ↓ (4.61) |
5.39 ↓ (7.04) |
6.4% (5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Monterrey - Club León?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Monterrey will win (votes: 11 - 91.7%). León will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monterrey: 76.1% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1 - Monterrey (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Monterrey (1.67) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Monterrey will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Monterrey (votes: 8 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monterrey won 4.
- Monterrey has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- León is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Monterrey may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Monterrey is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in León: Vegas S.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in León: Diaz I.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Monterrey won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 35:20. (average 1.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Monterrey won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:11. (average 2.1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Monterrey won against Club León?
Monterrey has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Club León won against Monterrey?
Club León has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Monterrey - Club León were as follows:
11.08.2025
Club León
-
Monterrey
1:3
20.04.2025
Club León
-
Monterrey
0:2
10.11.2024
Monterrey
-
Club León
2:1
20.04.2024
Club León
-
Monterrey
2:0
16.09.2023
Monterrey
-
Club León
3:1
Latest results of Monterrey
Latest results of Club León
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guadalajara Chivas ✔ | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 28:17 | 11 | 31 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 25:15 | 10 | 28 |
| 3 | Pachuca | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 21:13 | 8 | 28 |
| 4 | UNAM Pumas | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 26:15 | 11 | 27 |
| 5 | Toluca | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 20:9 | 11 | 27 |
| 6 | Tigres UANL | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 22:16 | 6 | 20 |
| 7 | Club America | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15:13 | 2 | 19 |
| 8 | Atlas | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 19 |
| 9 | Club Leon | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | 19 |
| 10 | Club Tijuana | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 18 |
| 11 | Juarez | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 | Necaxa | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 17:20 | -3 | 16 |
| 13 | Monterrey | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19:17 | 2 | 15 |
| 14 | Atl. San Luis | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 21:23 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 | Queretaro | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 15 |
| 16 | Puebla | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11:17 | -6 | 13 |
| 17 | Mazatlan FC | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 16:28 | -12 | 11 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 17:35 | -18 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Guadalajara Chivas is Qualified for Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)