Cruz Azul vs Monterrey – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
17/03/2026 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CONCACAF Champions Cup - 1/8-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
canadaCanadaOneSoccer
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
mexicoMexicoFOX One
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
peruPeruDisney+
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFOX One, Fox Sports 1, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, TUDN App, TUDN
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.220.46
Ball possession
51%49%
Total shots
1614
Shots on target
64
Big chances
41
Corner kicks
63
Passes
77% (296/384)80% (302/377)
Yellow cards
24
Expected goals (xG)
1.220.46
xG on target (xGOT)
1.590.37
Total shots
1614
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
56
Blocked shots
54
Shots inside the box
64
Shots outside the box
1010
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
41
Corner kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
1415
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free kicks
1312
Passes
77% (296/384)80% (302/377)
Long passes
59% (39/66)55% (36/65)
Passes in final third
69% (85/124)71% (72/102)
Crosses
29% (4/14)36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.740.32
Throw ins
1726
Fouls
1213
Tackles
44% (8/18)89% (8/9)
Duels won
4635
Clearances
1415
Interceptions
510
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
35
xGOT faced
0.371.59
Goals prevented
-0.630.59

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Rodriguez J. , de la Rosa R. (A),
  • 22', Aceves A. , Arteaga G. ,
  • 29', Frayde C. 🟨,
  • 37', Piovi G. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Guzman V. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 47', 1 - 1, Paradela J. , Campos O. (A),
  • 52', Rodarte J. 🟨,
  • 57', Salcedo C. 🟨,
  • 59', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
  • 60', Frayde C. , Orellano L. ,
  • 60', Martial A. , Reyes C. ,
  • 68', Ibanez N. , Fernandez G. ,
  • 69', de la Rosa R. , Djurdjevic U. ,
  • 69', Guzman V. , Chavez R. ,
  • 72', Palavecino A. , Romero L. ,
  • 72', Piovi G. , Garcia A. ,
  • 86', Paradela J. , Montano A. ,
  • 87', Campos O. , Diaz J. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Cruz Azul
58.8%
Draw
22.4%
Monterrey
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51% 25.8% 23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54% 24.4% 21.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cruz Azul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cruz Azul's performance.
  • Monterrey has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruz Azul than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterrey than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • Cruz Azul - Monterrey Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.6
    (1.82)
    4.13
    (3.6)
    4.98
    (4.01)
    6.9%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Cruz Azul - Monterrey?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Cruz Azul (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Cruz Azul will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.29%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cruz Azul will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Cruz Azul (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • First leg result: 3-2. Second leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruz Azul won 4.
    • Cruz Azul is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Monterrey is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Monterrey may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Cruz Azul has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Cruz Azul is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that Cruz Azul will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cruz Azul won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 28:29. (average 1.4:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cruz Azul won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 1.2:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cruz Azul - Monterrey were as follows:
    10.03.2026 Monterrey - Cruz Azul 2:3
    28.02.2026 Monterrey - Cruz Azul 0:2
    25.10.2025 Cruz Azul - Monterrey 2:0
    08.03.2025 Cruz Azul - Monterrey 1:1
    13.07.2024 Monterrey - Cruz Azul 0:4
    Latest results of Cruz Azul
    14.03.2026 UNAM - Cruz Azul 2:2
    10.03.2026 Monterrey - Cruz Azul 2:3
    03.03.2026 Santos Laguna - Cruz Azul 1:2
    28.02.2026 Monterrey - Cruz Azul 0:2
    Latest results of Monterrey
    13.03.2026 Juárez - Monterrey 2:2
    10.03.2026 Monterrey - Cruz Azul 2:3
    07.03.2026 Tigres UANL - Monterrey 1:0
    04.03.2026 Monterrey - Querétaro 4:0
    28.02.2026 Monterrey - Cruz Azul 0:2