Result
1:1
01/11/2025 at 21:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Round 16
- Referee: Ramos C. A. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Canal 5, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+, TUDN App, TUDN, Univision |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 1.24 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (425/488) | 87% (395/455) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 1.24 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 1.36 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (425/488) | 87% (395/455) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (36/58) | 68% (34/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (90/123) | 76% (102/134) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 0.81 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.99 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.36 | -0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 18', Ocampos L. 🟨,
- 18', Angulo J. 🟨,
- 32', Rodriguez J. 🟥,
- 37', Herrera O. 🟨,
- 45+1', Gorriaran F. 🟨,
- 45+6', Angulo J. 🟨,
- 45+8', 1 - 0, Canales S. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Corona J. ↓, Salcedo C. ↑,
- 46', Herrera O. ↓, Gignac A. ↑,
- 53', Gorriaran F. ↓, Vigon J. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 1, Correa A. ⚽, Brunetta J. (A),
- 73', Ocampos L. ↓, Martial A. ↑,
- 80', Ambriz F. ↓, Guzman V. ↑,
- 84', Aquino J. ↓, Garza J. ↑,
- 90+3', Correa A. ↓, Antuna U. ↑,
Chances of winning
Monterrey
37.6% | Draw
28.2% | Tigres UANL
34.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monterrey has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Monterrey's form might have worsened.Tigres UANL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterrey than the current prediction. (+7.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Monterrey, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tigres UANL than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tigres UANL, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Monterrey - Tigres UANL Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.48 ↑
(2.12) |
3.39 ↓
(3.55) |
2.79 ↓
(3.15) |
5.6%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Monterrey - Tigres UANL?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Monterrey will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Monterrey (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.25 - Tigres (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- 1X2, 1st Half - Monterrey (3.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- 1X2, 2nd Half - Monterrey (2.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Monterrey (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tigres (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Monterrey is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
- Tigres is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monterrey won 2.
- Recent performances by Monterrey have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Tigres is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Tigres may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Monterrey: Torres O.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Monterrey: Aguirre E.
(Thigh Injury)
Ambriz F.
(Knee Injury)
Canales S.
(Injury)
Fimbres I.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Tigres: Tapia F.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Monterrey won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:24. (average 1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Monterrey won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Monterrey won against Tigres UANL?
Monterrey has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tigres UANL won against Monterrey?
Tigres UANL has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Monterrey - Tigres UANL were as follows:
12.04.2025
Tigres UANL
-
Monterrey
2:1
19.10.2024
Monterrey
-
Tigres UANL
4:2
12.05.2024
Monterrey
-
Tigres UANL
1:1
09.05.2024
Tigres UANL
-
Monterrey
1:2
13.04.2024
Monterrey
-
Tigres UANL
3:3
Latest results of Monterrey
Latest results of Tigres UANL
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guadalajara Chivas | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 18 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:8 | 5 | 16 |
| 3 | UNAM Pumas | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 14:6 | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Toluca | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9:2 | 7 | 15 |
| 5 | Pachuca | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 | Atlas | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 13 |
| 7 | Club America | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:3 | 4 | 11 |
| 8 | Tigres UANL | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 10 |
| 9 | Monterrey | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 10 |
| 10 | Necaxa | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 |
| 11 | Club Tijuana | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 | Atl. San Luis | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 | Club Leon | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 7 |
| 14 | Queretaro | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | Puebla | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4:10 | -6 | 5 |
| 16 | Juarez | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 | Mazatlan FC | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:14 | -7 | 4 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7:21 | -14 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
