Result
2:1
12/04/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 15
- Referee: Ortiz M. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes |
 Usa | Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 1, Foxsports.com |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 1.66 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (294/371) | 72% (231/323) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 1.66 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 1.31 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (294/371) | 72% (231/323) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (22/54) | 39% (28/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (80/115) | 54% (44/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (6/21) | 43% (6/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.49 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (12/14) | 70% (16/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 43 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 18 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.31 | 1.28 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.31 | -0.72 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 34', Aquino J. 🟨,
- 42', Lainez D. 🟨,
- 44', Ramos S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 48', Lainez D. 🟨,
- 51', 0 - 1, Ramos S. (Pen),
- 51', Rafael Carioca ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
- 57', Cortizo J. 🟨,
- 61', de la Rosa R. ↓, Guzman V. ↑,
- 61', Ambriz F. ↓, Torres O. ↑,
- 66', Cortizo J. ↓, Alvarado A. ↑,
- 74', Berterame G. 🟨,
- 74', Berterame G. 🟨,
- 74', Antuna U. ↓, Cordova S. ↑,
- 74', Aquino J. ↓, Flores M. ↑,
- 77', Ocampos L. ↓, Medina S. ↑,
- 80', Torres O. 🟥,
- 88', Romulo ↓, Vigon J. ↑,
- 90', Arteaga G. 🟨,
- 90+1', 1 - 1, Cordova S. ⚽,
- 90+5', 2 - 1, Ibanez N. ⚽, Gorriaran F. (A),
- 90+6', Ibanez N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tigres UANL
39% | Draw
28.3% | Monterrey
32.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tigres UANL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tigres UANL's form might have worsened.Monterrey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Monterrey's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tigres UANL than the current prediction. (+15.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tigres UANL, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monterrey than the current prediction. (-10.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Monterrey, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Tigres UANL - Monterrey Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.41 ↑
(1.75) |
3.31 ↓
(3.92) |
2.89 ↓
(4.22) |
6.4%
(6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Watch this match and Mexican Liga MX with fubo (for US customers) Network on : FOX Deportes
What is the prediction for Tigres UANL - Monterrey?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Tigres will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Monterrey will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tigres: 13.8% – 69.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Tigres won 1.
- The game of competitors is shaky now.
- Monterrey could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- There will not play in Monterrey: Aguirre E.
(Injury)
Canales S.
(Foot Injury)
Corona J.
(Injury)
Salcedo C.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Tigres: Gignac A.
(Leg Injury)
Guerrero R.
(Ankle Injury)
Reyes D.
(Thigh Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Tigres won 7 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 23:20 (average 1.2:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Tigres won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:7 (average 1.1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Tigres UANL won against Monterrey?
Tigres UANL has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Monterrey won against Tigres UANL?
Monterrey has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tigres UANL - Monterrey were as follows:
19.10.2024
Monterrey
-
Tigres UANL
4:2
12.05.2024
Monterrey
-
Tigres UANL
1:1
09.05.2024
Tigres UANL
-
Monterrey
1:2
13.04.2024
Monterrey
-
Tigres UANL
3:3
23.09.2023
Tigres UANL
-
Monterrey
3:0
Latest results of Tigres UANL
Latest results of Monterrey
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Monterrey | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 15 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13:7 | 6 | 14 |
| 3 | Pachuca | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | Club America | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 11 |
| 5 | Tigres UANL | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 10 |
| 6 | Toluca | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 10 |
| 7 | Club Tijuana | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 | Juarez | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
| 9 | Club Leon | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 7 |
| 10 | Santos Laguna | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 6 |
| 11 | Atl. San Luis | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | Mazatlan FC | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 6 |
| 13 | UNAM Pumas | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Atlas | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10:14 | -4 | 5 |
| 15 | Necaxa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 5 |
| 16 | Guadalajara Chivas | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 4 |
| 17 | Queretaro | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 4 |
| 18 | Puebla | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:14 | -10 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
