Fermana vs Montevarchi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie C Group B Fermana - Montevarchi
28/01/2023 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Fermana
41.6%
Draw
30.6%
Montevarchi
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.9% 28.3% 19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4% 27.5% 19.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fermana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fermana's form might have worsened.
  • Montevarchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Montevarchi's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fermana than the current prediction. (+11.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fermana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montevarchi than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Montevarchi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Fermana - Montevarchi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.18
    (1.73)
    2.96
    (3.16)
    3.25
    (4.55)
    10.5%
    (11.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fermana - Montevarchi were as follows:
    24.09.2022 Montevarchi - Fermana 2:2
    Latest results of Fermana
    22.01.2023 Cesena - Fermana 1:1
    15.01.2023 Fermana - Recanatese 0:0
    08.01.2023 Gubbio - Fermana 1:3
    23.12.2022 Fermana - Fiorenzuola 4:2
    17.12.2022 Fermana - Sassari Torres 1:0
    Latest results of Montevarchi
    22.01.2023 Montevarchi - Siena 1:2
    15.01.2023 Montevarchi - Reggiana 1:2
    08.01.2023 Olbia - Montevarchi 2:1
    23.12.2022 Montevarchi - Gubbio 2:1
    17.12.2022 Montevarchi - Rimini 0:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/32-finals
    1CrotoneBye
    2BeneventoJuventus U231 : 5
    4ByeFeralpiSalo
    8ByeL.R. Vicenza
    9RenateArzignano0 : 0
    10Giana ErminioVirtus Verona1 : 0
    12ByeMonopoli
    16ByeTernana
    17AlbinoLeffeBye
    18TrentoAtalanta U231 : 2
    20ByeTorres
    24ByeAudace Cerignola
    25ArezzoGubbio3 : 1
    26Vis PesaroPontedera1 : 1
    28ByeRimini
    29CataniaGiugliano3 : 2
    30PotenzaPicerno2 : 0
    31PescaraBye
    32PinetoPianese0 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1CrotoneJuventus U230 : 0
    2ByeFeralpiSalo
    4ByeL.R. Vicenza
    5RenateGiana Erminio1 : 2
    6ByeMonopoli
    8ByeTernana
    9AlbinoLeffeAtalanta U231 : 3
    10ByeTorres
    12ByeAudace Cerignola
    13ArezzoVis Pesaro0 : 1
    14ByeRimini
    15CataniaPotenza1 : 0
    16PescaraPianese2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1CrotoneFeralpiSalo1 : 2, 3 : 1
    2ByeL.R. Vicenza
    3Giana ErminioMonopoli3 : 1, 3 : 1
    4ByeTernana
    5Atalanta U23Torres1 : 2, 7 : 1
    6ByeAudace Cerignola
    7Vis PesaroRimini4 : 3, 1 : 1
    8CataniaPescara2 : 1, 0 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1CrotoneL.R. Vicenza0 : 1, 1 : 2
    2Giana ErminioTernana0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3Atalanta U23Audace Cerignola2 : 2, 0 : 0
    4Vis PesaroPescara0 : 2, 2 : 4

    Semi-finals
    1L.R. VicenzaTernana1 : 3, 0 : 0
    2Audace CerignolaPescara1 : 1, 1 : 4

    Final
    1TernanaPescara1 : 1, 0 : 1