Poggibonsi vs Montevarchi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
16/11/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group E - Round 12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 90+3', 0 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Poggibonsi
34.4%
Draw
29.3%
Montevarchi
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39% 28.1% 32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1% 28% 32.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Poggibonsi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • Montevarchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Poggibonsi than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montevarchi than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • Poggibonsi - Montevarchi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.64
    (2.33)
    3.1
    (3.23)
    2.5
    (2.76)
    10.3%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )).
    • Poggibonsi has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Montevarchi is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Poggibonsi won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Poggibonsi won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Poggibonsi - Montevarchi were as follows:
    02.02.2025 Poggibonsi - Montevarchi 2:2
    25.02.2024 Poggibonsi - Montevarchi 1:0
    22.10.2023 Montevarchi - Poggibonsi 2:0
    Latest results of Poggibonsi
    09.11.2025 Trestina - Poggibonsi 1:0
    26.10.2025 Grosseto - Poggibonsi 3:1
    12.10.2025 Foligno - Poggibonsi 3:1
    Latest results of Montevarchi
    Italian Serie D - Group E Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Grosseto26202449:173262
    2Seravezza Pozzi26148435:191650
    3Tau26147541:221949
    4Siena26135834:201444
    5Terranuova Traiana26126822:22042
    6Prato26134935:26941
    7Foligno26117838:31740
    8Scandicci26812628:21736
    9Montevarchi26811723:29-635
    10Ghiviborgo2689938:34433
    11Trestina26961130:31-133
    12San Donato26612823:28-530
    13Camaiore26851333:42-929
    14Orvietana26771227:31-428
    15Follonica Gavorrano26771229:41-1228
    16Poggibonsi26651521:37-1623
    17Vivi Altotevere262111314:35-2117
    18Cannara26361717:51-3415

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )
          Relegation