Result
1:1
28/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group E - Round 29
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 79', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 87', 🟥,
- 90+6', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Montevarchi
46.6% | Draw
29.7% | Poggibonsi
23.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montevarchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Poggibonsi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montevarchi than the current prediction. (+2.7%)The ML Model estimate for Poggibonsi aligns with the current prediction.
Montevarchi - Poggibonsi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.93 ↓
(1.96) |
3.03 ↓
(3.2) |
3.8 ↑
(3.61) |
11%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )).
- Montevarchi is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Poggibonsi has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Montevarchi could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Montevarchi won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).
- Including home match between the teams, Montevarchi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Montevarchi won against Poggibonsi?
Montevarchi has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Poggibonsi won against Montevarchi?
Poggibonsi has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Montevarchi - Poggibonsi were as follows:
16.11.2025
Poggibonsi
-
Montevarchi
0:1
02.02.2025
Poggibonsi
-
Montevarchi
2:2
25.02.2024
Poggibonsi
-
Montevarchi
1:0
22.10.2023
Montevarchi
-
Poggibonsi
2:0
Latest results of Montevarchi
Latest results of Poggibonsi
Italian Serie D - Group E Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Grosseto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 58:25 | 33 | 72 |
| 2 | Tau | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 53:33 | 20 | 63 |
| 3 | Prato | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 49:29 | 20 | 63 |
| 4 | Siena | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 57:35 | 22 | 60 |
| 5 | Seravezza Pozzi | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 42:29 | 13 | 57 |
| 6 | Terranuova Traiana | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 28:30 | -2 | 51 |
| 7 | Foligno | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45:37 | 8 | 51 |
| 8 | Scandicci | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 39:32 | 7 | 48 |
| 9 | Montevarchi | 34 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 28:32 | -4 | 46 |
| 10 | Trestina | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 40:42 | -2 | 42 |
| 11 | San Donato | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 30:35 | -5 | 40 |
| 12 | Ghiviborgo | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42:44 | -2 | 40 |
| 13 | Orvietana | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 33:37 | -4 | 38 |
| 14 | Follonica Gavorrano | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36:49 | -13 | 37 |
| 15 | Camaiore | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 41:54 | -13 | 35 |
| 16 | Poggibonsi | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 29:46 | -17 | 31 |
| 17 | Cannara | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 24:59 | -35 | 26 |
| 18 | Vivi Altotevere | 34 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 20:46 | -26 | 22 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )
Relegation
