Result
1:0
03/03/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Copa Sudamericana - Qualification - Final
- Referee: Benitez C. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Argentina | DirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus |
Australia | beIN Connect |
Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Canada | beIN Connect |
Chile | DirecTV Sports |
Ecuador | DirecTV Sports |
Italy | Como TV |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
North-central-america | DirecTV Sports Caribbean |
Peru | DirecTV Sports |
South-america | DGO Latin America |
Uruguay | DirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus |
Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Venezuela | DirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.28 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (202/287) | 74% (287/390) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.28 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.20 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (202/287) | 74% (287/390) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (31/77) | 36% (20/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (72/113) | 45% (41/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (4/20) | 21% (4/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.25 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 50% (9/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.20 | 0.91 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.20 | -0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 30', Agazzi L. 🟨,
- 39', Barrios G. ↓, Caballero M. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 47', 1 - 0, Romero F. ⚽,
- 52', Silvera F. 🟨,
- 58', de los Santos L. 🟨,
- 69', Medina N. ↓, Torterolo A. ↑,
- 69', de los Santos L. ↓, Lozano B. ↑,
- 70', Lecchini R. ↓, Quintana J. ↑,
- 71', Goicochea Del Carpio J. P. 🟨,
- 73', Montes G. 🟨,
- 78', Montes G. ↓, Silva K. ↑,
- 82', De los Santos G. ↓, Rodriguez V. ↑,
- 82', Goicochea Del Carpio J. P. ↓, Navarro L. ↑,
- 89', Pizzichillo F. ↓, Caceres S. ↑,
- 89', Siles P. ↓, Kociubinski B. ↑,
- 89', Torterolo A. 🟨,
- 90', Obregon E. 🟨,
- 90', Obregon E. ↓, Dure L. ↑,
- 90+4', Torgnascioli F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Montevideo City Torque 42.7% | Draw 31.3% | Defensor Sporting 25.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montevideo City Torque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)Defensor Sporting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montevideo City Torque than the current prediction. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensor Sporting than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Montevideo City Torque - Defensor Sporting Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.22 ↓ (2.39) |
3.01 ↑ (2.96) |
3.62 ↑ (2.99) |
5.9% (9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Montevideo City Torque - Defensor Sporting?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Montevideo City will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Defensor Sporting will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montevideo City won 2.
- Montevideo City is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Defensor Sporting has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Montevideo City could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Montevideo City won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 0.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Montevideo City won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.6:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Montevideo City Torque won against Defensor Sporting?
Montevideo City Torque has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Defensor Sporting won against Montevideo City Torque?
Defensor Sporting has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Montevideo City Torque - Defensor Sporting were as follows:
26.02.2026
Montevideo City Torque
-
Defensor Sporting
1:0
24.10.2025
Defensor Sporting
-
Montevideo City Torque
0:1
27.04.2025
Montevideo City Torque
-
Defensor Sporting
0:1
22.05.2024
Montevideo City Torque
-
Defensor Sporting
2:3
13.10.2023
Defensor Sporting
-
Montevideo City Torque
2:0
Latest results of Montevideo City Torque
Latest results of Defensor Sporting
Draw
QualificationFinal| 1 | Nacional Asuncion | Recoleta | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Sportivo Trinidense | Olimpia Asuncion | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Alianza Atl. | Deportivo Garcilaso | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Cienciano | FBC Melgar | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Montevideo City | Defensor Sp. | 1 : 0 |
| 6 | Boston River | Racing Montevideo | 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Puerto Cabello | Monagas | 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Caracas | Metropolitanos | 1 : 0 |
| 9 | U. De Chile | Palestino | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Cobresal | A. Italiano | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Atl. Nacional | Millonarios | 1 : 3 |
| 12 | America De Cali | Bucaramanga | 2 : 1 |
| 13 | Independiente | Guabira | 1 : 0 |
| 14 | Blooming | SA Bulo Bulo | 3 : 0 |
| 15 | Dep. Cuenca | Libertad | 3 : 0 |
| 16 | Orense | Macara | 0 : 1 |