Result
1:0
05/04/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 29
Chances of winning
Jaraíz
52.8% | Draw
27.4% | Montijo
19.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jaraíz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Montijo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaraíz than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montijo than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Jaraíz - Montijo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↓
(1.74) |
3.31 ↑
(3.29) |
4.61 ↑
(4.46) |
10%
(10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: ) and 10).
- Jaraíz is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Montijo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Montijo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Jaraíz is a strong favorite.
- We predict that Jaraíz will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Jaraíz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Jaraíz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Jaraíz won against Montijo?
Jaraíz has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Montijo won against Jaraíz?
Montijo has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jaraíz - Montijo were as follows:
23.11.2025
Montijo
-
Jaraíz
1:0
11.05.2025
Jaraíz
-
Montijo
1:0
12.01.2025
Montijo
-
Jaraíz
2:1
Latest results of Montijo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Don Benito | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 59:19 | 40 | 64 |
| 2 | CD Badajoz | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 49:26 | 23 | 59 |
| 3 | Moralo | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 49:28 | 21 | 57 |
| 4 | Azuaga | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 46:27 | 19 | 55 |
| 5 | Jaraiz | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 48:27 | 21 | 52 |
| 6 | Cabeza del Buey | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 39:23 | 16 | 51 |
| 7 | Villafranca | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 36:35 | 1 | 45 |
| 8 | Villanovense | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 37:33 | 4 | 44 |
| 9 | Montijo | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 36:34 | 2 | 40 |
| 10 | Jerez CF | 30 | 7 | 17 | 6 | 50:44 | 6 | 38 |
| 11 | Llerenense | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 28:36 | -8 | 36 |
| 12 | Santa Amalia | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 29:46 | -17 | 33 |
| 13 | Puebla | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 28:40 | -12 | 32 |
| 14 | Diocesano | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 28:49 | -21 | 28 |
| 15 | Gevora | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 28:48 | -20 | 26 |
| 16 | Pueblonuevo | 30 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 24:51 | -27 | 26 |
| 17 | CD Calamonte | 30 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 22:36 | -14 | 22 |
| 18 | Montehermoso | 30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 20:54 | -34 | 22 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
