Montijo vs Llerenense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
26/10/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 8

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 5', 1 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 80', 2 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Montijo
44.2%
Draw
31.3%
Llerenense
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.8% 29.5% 31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7% 28.8% 31%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Montijo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Montijo's performance.
  • Llerenense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Llerenense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montijo than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llerenense than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Llerenense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Montijo - Llerenense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (2.34)
    3.23
    (3.08)
    4.14
    (2.86)
    -1.1%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 15).
    • Montijo has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Llerenense is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Montijo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1:8. (average 0.3:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Montijo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Montijo - Llerenense were as follows:
    27.04.2025 Llerenense - Montijo 2:0
    15.12.2024 Montijo - Llerenense 0:2
    28.04.2024 Llerenense - Montijo 3:1
    17.12.2023 Montijo - Llerenense 0:1
    Latest results of Montijo
    19.10.2025 Montijo - Badajoz 1:2
    12.10.2025 Montijo - Pueblonuevo 1:0
    05.10.2025 Jerez - Montijo 1:3
    28.09.2025 Moralo - Montijo 4:2
    21.09.2025 Montijo - Diocesano 1:1
    Latest results of Llerenense
    19.10.2025 Llerenense - Moralo 0:0
    12.10.2025 Diocesano - Llerenense 2:1
    05.10.2025 Llerenense - Villafranca 0:1
    28.09.2025 Don Benito - Llerenense 1:0
    14.09.2025 Azuaga - Llerenense 3:1
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Don Benito24156350:153551
    2Moralo24128438:241444
    3Jaraiz24119439:231642
    4Cabeza del Buey241011330:171341
    5CD Badajoz24135632:201241
    6Azuaga24117634:241040
    7Villanovense2498726:24235
    8Llerenense241041025:25034
    9Jerez CF24615338:29933
    10Villafranca2496928:29-133
    11Montijo24941126:27-131
    12Puebla24611724:28-429
    13Santa Amalia24851123:32-929
    14Gevora24581122:36-1423
    15Diocesano23481122:37-1520
    16CD Calamonte243101118:29-1119
    17Montehermoso24361517:44-2715
    18Pueblonuevo23351517:46-2914

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