Montpellier HB vs Paris Saint-Germain – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
39:35
15/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Coupe de France - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Sports 1

Chances of winning


Montpellier HB
38.5%
Draw
11.7%
Paris Saint-Germain
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.5% 11.4% 49.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38% 11% 51%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Montpellier HB has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • Paris Saint-Germain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montpellier HB than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • Montpellier HB - Paris Saint-Germain Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.34
    (2.3)
    7.72
    (8)
    1.85
    (1.85)
    9.9%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 62.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montpellier won 2.
    • Recent performances by Montpellier have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • PSG is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Montpellier may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Montpellier won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 15 matches, and goals 590:649. (average 29.5:32.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Montpellier won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 312:316. (average 31.2:31.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Montpellier HB - Paris Saint-Germain were as follows:
    07.03.2026 Montpellier HB - Paris Saint-Germain 30:32
    22.11.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Montpellier HB 34:31
    30.08.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Montpellier HB 23:29
    31.05.2025 Montpellier HB - Paris Saint-Germain 33:33
    18.05.2025 Montpellier HB - Paris Saint-Germain 36:35
    Latest results of Montpellier HB
    11.04.2026 Montpellier HB - Dunkerque 38:27
    07.04.2026 Elverum - Montpellier HB 35:31
    04.04.2026 Tremblay - Montpellier HB 36:35
    31.03.2026 Montpellier HB - Elverum 36:24
    27.03.2026 Montpellier HB - Chartres 37:30
    Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/16-finals
    1PontaultChambery Savoie27 : 32
    2CreteilToulouse23 : 29
    3Massy EssonneSt. Raphael38 : 36
    4CherbourgNimes26 : 35
    5DijonBye
    6Pau BillereNantes25 : 29
    7SaintesChartres40 : 35
    8SarrebourgDunkerque34 : 36
    9Cournon d'AuvergneSelestat33 : 32
    10ValenceMontpellier26 : 29
    11FrontignanIstres37 : 30
    12AngersProvence Aix32 : 39
    13SaranTremblay37 : 36
    14BesanconLimoges27 : 39
    15CaenPSG31 : 43
    16IvryCesson Rennes-Metropole22 : 36

    1/8-finals
    1Chambery SavoieToulouse34 : 29
    2Massy EssonneNimes20 : 35
    3DijonNantes32 : 36
    4SaintesDunkerque33 : 35
    5Cournon d'AuvergneMontpellier30 : 37
    6FrontignanProvence Aix25 : 31
    7SaranLimoges42 : 38
    8PSGCesson Rennes-Metropole34 : 28

    Quarter-finals
    1Chambery SavoieNimes23 : 24
    2NantesDunkerque37 : 21
    3MontpellierProvence Aix34 : 27
    4SaranPSG25 : 30

    Semi-finals
    1NimesNantes30 : 35
    2MontpellierPSG39 : 35

    Final
    1NantesMontpellier