Result
28:24
29/11/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Top 14 - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | CANAL+ Sport |
 United-kingdom | FloSports app, Premier Sports Player, Premier Sports Rugby |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Conversion Goals |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Conversion Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Penalty Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total Runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres Run With Ball |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (21 - 10)
- 5', Rayasi S. (Try),
- 6', Jalibert M. (Conversion Goal),
- 8', Moustin M. (Try),
- 9', Miotti H. (Conversion Goal),
- 14', Riccitelli R. (Try),
- 15', Miotti H. (Conversion Goal),
- 24', Nouchi L. (Try),
- 25', Miotti H. (Conversion Goal),
- 39', Jalibert M. (Penalty Goal),
- 2nd Half (7 - 14)
- 61', Lamothe M. (Try),
- 62', Jalibert M. (Conversion Goal),
- 68', Rayasi S. (Try),
- 70', Jalibert M. (Conversion Goal),
- 72', Nouchi L. (Try),
Chances of winning
Montpellier
61.2% | Draw
4.2% | Bordeaux Bègles
34.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montpellier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)Bordeaux Bègles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Montpellier, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bordeaux Bègles than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bordeaux Bègles, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Montpellier - Bordeaux Bègles Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.52 ↑
(1.45) |
22.59 ↑
(21.35) |
2.7 ↓
(3.03) |
7.4%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 52.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montpellier won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Montpellier may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Montpellier is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- We predict that Montpellier will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Montpellier won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 406:433. (average 20.3:21.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Montpellier won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 263:184. (average 23.9:16.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Montpellier won against Bordeaux Bègles?
Montpellier has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bordeaux Bègles won against Montpellier?
Bordeaux Bègles has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Montpellier - Bordeaux Bègles were as follows:
11.05.2025
Montpellier
-
Bordeaux Bègles
46:27
30.11.2024
Bordeaux Bègles
-
Montpellier
9:6
09.03.2024
Montpellier
-
Bordeaux Bègles
10:3
04.11.2023
Bordeaux Bègles
-
Montpellier
23:13
30.12.2022
Bordeaux Bègles
-
Montpellier
40:10
Latest results of Montpellier
Latest results of Bordeaux Bègles
French Top 14 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Stade Toulousain | 18 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 730:365 | 67 |
| 2 | Section Paloise | 18 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 558:477 | 55 |
| 3 | Montpellier | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 561:390 | 53 |
| 4 | Clermont | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 596:467 | 51 |
| 5 | Bordeaux Begles | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 591:483 | 50 |
| 6 | Stade Francais Paris | 18 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 513:448 | 49 |
| 7 | RC Toulonnais | 18 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 465:536 | 45 |
| 8 | Racing 92 | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 514:558 | 45 |
| 9 | Castres Olympique | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 431:501 | 42 |
| 10 | Stade Rochelais | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 551:487 | 41 |
| 11 | Lyon | 18 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 521:502 | 39 |
| 12 | Aviron Bayonnais | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 467:595 | 36 |
| 13 | USA Perpignan | 18 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 344:511 | 18 |
| 14 | Montauban | 18 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 338:860 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Top 14 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Pro D2
