Montpellier vs Gloucester – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union Challenge Cup Rugby Montpellier - Gloucester
Result
17:24
05/04/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Challenge Cup - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Tries
23
Conversion Goals
23
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
11
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00
Yellow Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (17 - 14)
  • 5', Bouthier A. (Try),
  • 6', Reus H. (Conversion Goal),
  • 10', Reus H. (Try),
  • 11', Reus H. (Conversion Goal),
  • 26', Thomas F. (Try),
  • 27', Carreras S. (Conversion Goal),
  • 34', Jordan C. (Try),
  • 35', Carreras S. (Conversion Goal),
  • 40+1', Reus H. (Penalty Goal),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 10)
  • 51', Englefield C. 🟨,
  • 57', Ackermann R. (Try),
  • 57', Carreras S. (Conversion Goal),
  • 80+1', Carreras S. (Penalty Goal),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Montpellier
61.2%
Draw
4.1%
Gloucester
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62% 3.3% 34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.8% 3.4% 36%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Montpellier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • The chances for Gloucester have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gloucester than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • Montpellier - Gloucester Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.52
    (1.5)
    22.83
    (28)
    2.66
    (2.68)
    7.8%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 53.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
  • What is the prediction for Montpellier - Gloucester?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Montpellier will win (votes: 14 - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Montpellier: 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Montpellier will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 29:25.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Montpellier will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Our prediction for today's Montpellier to win the game is with odds 1.58.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Montpellier won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 36:56 (average 18:28).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Montpellier won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 30:27
    Latest results of Montpellier
    29.03.2025 Montpellier - Stade Français 38:32
    22.03.2025 Section Paloise - Montpellier 40:38
    01.03.2025 Montpellier - Castres 21:17
    22.02.2025 Vannes - Montpellier 37:24
    15.02.2025 Montpellier - Toulon 30:38
    Latest results of Gloucester
    29.03.2025 Gloucester - Bristol Rugby 53:28
    23.03.2025 Bath - Gloucester 42:26
    15.02.2025 Exeter Chiefs - Gloucester 14:22
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1EdinburghLions24 : 12
    2Aviron BayonnaisBulls22 : 32
    3Section PaloiseBath24 : 49
    4MontpellierGloucester17 : 24
    5OspreysScarlets36 : 14
    6LyonSharks34 : 21
    7ConnachtCardiff Rugby35 : 20
    8USA PerpignanRacing 9218 : 24

    Quarter-finals
    1EdinburghBulls34 : 28
    2BathGloucester61 : 26
    3OspreysLyon18 : 20
    4ConnachtRacing 9240 : 43

    Semi-finals
    1EdinburghBath24 : 39
    2LyonRacing 9229 : 15

    Final
    1BathLyon37 : 12