Result
0:2
06/04/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 28
- Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belgium | DAZN 1 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 6 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 2 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | DAZN 4, DAZN France |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
 India | GXR World |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | Caliente TV App, Caliente TV |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | beIN Connect |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5 |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1 Pass |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.29 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (447/498) | 84% (347/414) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.29 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.67 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (447/498) | 84% (347/414) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 69% (37/54) | 37% (19/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (123/152) | 68% (51/75) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (6/27) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.65 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (12/21) | 60% (15/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 60 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 16 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.67 | 1.31 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.33 | 1.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 3', 0 - 1, Kechta Y. ⚽,
- 33', 0 - 2, Toure A. ⚽, Casimir J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 56', Sacko F. ↓, Ndollo Bille W. ↑,
- 57', Chotard J. ↓, Fayad K. ↑,
- 57', Coulibaly T. ↓, Maamma O. ↑,
- 64', Kechta Y. ↓, Soumare I. ↑,
- 64', Casimir J. ↓, Diawara M. ↑,
- 65', Delort A. ↓, Khazri W. ↑,
- 74', Joujou A. ↓, Ayew A. ↑,
- 85', Koka ↓, Ndiaye R. ↑,
- 85', Sangante A. ↓, Youte Kinkoue E. ↑,
- 88', Sagnan M. ↓, Cara S. ↑,
- 90+1', Khazri W. 🟨,
- 90+2', Gorgelin M. 🟨,
- 90+6', Meite A. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Montpellier
37.8% | Draw
28.2% | Le Havre
34% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montpellier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)Le Havre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Montpellier - Le Havre Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.52 ↑
(2.33) |
3.37 ↓
(3.51) |
2.8 ↓
(3) |
5.1%
(4.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fubo (for US customers) Network on : beIN SPORTS 3
What is the prediction for Montpellier - Le Havre?
Users Predictions:
26 users predict this event. Montpellier will win (votes: 4 - 15.4%). Le Havre will win (votes: 20 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Le Havre: 60.7% – 93.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Montpellier (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Le Havre (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 16 in the zone Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
- Montpellier has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Le Havre is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- There will not play in Montpellier: Dzodic S.
(Injury)
Issoufou Y.
(Injury)
Jullien C.
(Knee Injury)
Maksimovic N.
(Thigh Injury)
Omeragic B.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Le Havre: Kitala Y.
(Ankle Injury)
Logbo A.
(Shoulder Injury)
Mosengo D. N.
(Knee Injury)
Zouaoui Y.
(Calf Injury)
- There are questionable in Le Havre: Ballo-Toure F.
(Inactive)
Sangante A.
(Injury)
- Our prediction for today's Le Havre to win the game is with odds 2.79.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Montpellier won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1.3:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Montpellier won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2
How many head-to-head matches has Montpellier won against Le Havre?
Montpellier has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Le Havre won against Montpellier?
Le Havre has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Montpellier - Le Havre were as follows:
03.11.2024
Le Havre
-
Montpellier
1:0
31.03.2024
Le Havre
-
Montpellier
0:2
13.08.2023
Montpellier
-
Le Havre
2:2
Latest results of Montpellier
Latest results of Le Havre
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Marseille | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 21:7 | 14 | 18 |
| 2 | PSG | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 17 |
| 3 | Strasbourg | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | Lens | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Lyon | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 15 |
| 6 | Lille | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 14 |
| 7 | Monaco | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17:13 | 4 | 14 |
| 8 | Toulouse | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 13 |
| 9 | Rennes | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 11:12 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Nice | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:14 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 14:17 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 | Brest | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | 9 |
| 13 | Nantes | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 9 |
| 14 | Lorient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:19 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 | Auxerre | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 7 |
| 16 | Le Havre | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:16 | -6 | 6 |
| 17 | Angers | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4:12 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 | Metz | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5:20 | -15 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
