Montpellier vs Le Havre – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1 Montpellier - Le Havre
Result
0:2
06/04/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 28
  • Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 6
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaQQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 2
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceDAZN 4, DAZN France
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
indiaIndiaGXR World
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App, Caliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.891.29
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
90% (447/498)84% (347/414)
Yellow Cards
11
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.891.29
xG on target (xGOT)
1.310.67
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
97
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
1818
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
715
Passes
90% (447/498)84% (347/414)
Long passes
69% (37/54)37% (19/52)
Passes in final third
81% (123/152)68% (51/75)
Crosses
22% (6/27)19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.800.65
Fouls
157
Tackles
57% (12/21)60% (15/25)
Duels won
4760
Clearances Total
1631
Interceptions
66
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
26
xGOT faced
0.671.31
Goals prevented
-1.331.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Kechta Y. ,
  • 33', 0 - 2, Toure A. , Casimir J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 56', Sacko F. , Ndollo Bille W. ,
  • 57', Chotard J. , Fayad K. ,
  • 57', Coulibaly T. , Maamma O. ,
  • 64', Kechta Y. , Soumare I. ,
  • 64', Casimir J. , Diawara M. ,
  • 65', Delort A. , Khazri W. ,
  • 74', Joujou A. , Ayew A. ,
  • 85', Koka , Ndiaye R. ,
  • 85', Sangante A. , Youte Kinkoue E. ,
  • 88', Sagnan M. , Cara S. ,
  • 90+1', Khazri W. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Gorgelin M. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Meite A. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Montpellier
37.8%
Draw
28.2%
Le Havre
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.9% 27.2% 31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6% 26.1% 30.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Montpellier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Le Havre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • Montpellier - Le Havre Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.52
    (2.33)
    3.37
    (3.51)
    2.8
    (3)
    5.1%
    (4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

  • Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : beIN SPORTS 3
  • What is the prediction for Montpellier - Le Havre?
  • Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Montpellier will win (votes: 4 - 15.4%). Le Havre will win (votes: 20 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Le Havre: 60.7%93.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Montpellier (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Le Havre (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 16 in the zone Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • Montpellier has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Le Havre is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • There will not play in Montpellier: Dzodic S. (Injury) Issoufou Y. (Injury) Jullien C. (Knee Injury) Maksimovic N. (Thigh Injury) Omeragic B. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Le Havre: Kitala Y. (Ankle Injury) Logbo A. (Shoulder Injury) Mosengo D. N. (Knee Injury) Zouaoui Y. (Calf Injury)
    • There are questionable in Le Havre: Ballo-Toure F. (Inactive) Sangante A. (Injury)
    • Our prediction for today's Le Havre to win the game is with odds 2.79.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Montpellier won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1.3:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Montpellier won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Montpellier - Le Havre were as follows:
    03.11.2024 Le Havre - Montpellier 1:0
    31.03.2024 Le Havre - Montpellier 0:2
    13.08.2023 Montpellier - Le Havre 2:2
    Latest results of Montpellier
    30.03.2025 Auxerre - Montpellier 1:0
    08.03.2025 Lille - Montpellier 1:0
    02.03.2025 Montpellier - Rennes 0:4
    23.02.2025 Nice - Montpellier 2:0
    16.02.2025 Montpellier - Lyon 1:4
    Latest results of Le Havre
    30.03.2025 Le Havre - Nantes 3:2
    16.03.2025 Lyon - Le Havre 0:0
    09.03.2025 Le Havre - Saint-Étienne 1:1
    01.03.2025 Lens - Le Havre 3:4
    23.02.2025 Le Havre - Toulouse 1:4
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG22002:026
    2Marseille21015:323
    3Monaco11003:123
    4Nice21013:213
    5Strasbourg11001:013
    6Toulouse11001:013
    7Rennes11001:013
    8Lyon11001:013
    9Angers21011:103
    10Auxerre21012:3-13
    11Lille10103:301
    12Brest10103:301
    13Lorient10010:1-10
    14Metz10010:1-10
    15Nantes10010:1-10
    16Lens10010:1-10
    17Le Havre10011:3-20
    18Paris FC20022:6-40

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2