Montpellier vs Lyon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Football French Ligue 1 Montpellier - Lyon
Result
1:4
16/02/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 22
  • Referee: Bollengier M. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 3, Moja TV
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports
chinaChinaQQ Sports, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 2, Voyo
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceDAZN 1, DAZN France
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
indiaIndiaGXR World
israelIsrael5 SPORT Israel
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoART Motion Sport 1, ART Sport 2
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App, Caliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
portugalPortugalSport TV4
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainbeIN Sports
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 5
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz
worldWorldDisney+, Onefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.320.95
Ball Possession
37%63%
Goal Attempts
119
Shots on Goal
46
Shots off Goal
21
Blocked Shots
52
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
74
Shots inside the Box
37
Shots outside the Box
82
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Goalkeeper Saves
23
Free Kicks
1214
Offsides
20
Fouls
1412
Yellow Cards
31
Throw-ins
1921
Touches in the Opposition Box
2717
Passes
80% (252/315)88% (496/564)
Passes in the final third
74% (68/92)71% (69/97)
Crosses
16% (4/25)50% (4/8)
Tackles
58% (7/12)86% (6/7)
Clearances Total
1632
Interceptions
96

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Mikautadze G. ⚽, Cherki R. (A),
  • 29', Coulibaly T. 🟨,
  • 34', Delort A. 🟨,
  • 38', 1 - 1, Coulibaly T. ⚽, Savanier T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 50', 1 - 2, Nuamah E. ⚽, Matic N. (A),
  • 53', 1 - 3, Tolisso C. ⚽, Nuamah E. (A),
  • 62', Nzingoula R. ↓, Fayad K. ↑,
  • 62', Meite A. ↓, Kouyate K. ↑,
  • 64', Tagliafico N. 🟨,
  • 69', Coulibaly T. ↓, Pays N. ↑,
  • 69', Ferri J. ↓, Ndiaye J. ↑,
  • 69', Delort A. ↓, Khazri W. ↑,
  • 70', Cherki R. ↓, Almada T. ↑,
  • 70', Tagliafico N. ↓, Abner Vinicius ↑,
  • 70', Mikautadze G. ↓, Lacazette A. ↑,
  • 73', 1 - 4, Lacazette A. ⚽, Abner Vinicius (A),
  • 78', Matic N. ↓, Veretout J. ↑,
  • 78', Tolisso C. ↓, Fofana M. ↑,
  • 86', Sainte-Luce T. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Montpellier
18.2%		Draw
21%		Lyon
60.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.7% 23.1% 53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9% 23.9% 55.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Montpellier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Montpellier's form might have worsened.
  • Lyon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lyon's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lyon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Montpellier - Lyon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 5.3 ↑
    (4.04)    		 4.54 ↑
    (4.14)    		 1.58 ↓
    (1.79)    		 4.3%
    (4.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

  • Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : beIN SPORTS
    •
    What is the prediction for Montpellier - Lyon?
  • Users Predictions: Lyon will win (41 of 47 users predict this - 87.23%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 77.69% – 96.77%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Montpellier won 1.
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Montpellier could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Lyon is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Montpellier: Jullien C. (Knee Injury) Maksimovic N. (Thigh Injury) Sylla I. (Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Montpellier won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 28:36 (average 1.4:1.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Montpellier won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13:14 (average 1.3:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Montpellier - Lyon were as follows:
    04.01.2025 Lyon - Montpellier 1:0
    11.02.2024 Montpellier - Lyon 1:2
    19.08.2023 Lyon - Montpellier 1:4
    07.05.2023 Lyon - Montpellier 5:4
    22.10.2022 Montpellier - Lyon 1:2
    Latest results of Montpellier
    09.02.2025 Strasbourg - Montpellier 2:0 ✺
    31.01.2025 Montpellier - Lens 0:2 ✺
    26.01.2025 Toulouse - Montpellier 1:2 ✺
    17.01.2025 Montpellier - Monaco 2:1 ✺
    12.01.2025 Montpellier - Angers 1:3 ✺
    Latest results of Lyon
    09.02.2025 Lyon - Reims 4:0 ✺
    02.02.2025 Olympique Marseille - Lyon 3:2 ✺
    30.01.2025 Lyon - Ludogorets Razgrad 1:1 ✺
    26.01.2025 Nantes - Lyon 1:1 ✺
    23.01.2025 Fenerbahçe - Lyon 0:0 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Auxerre00000:000
    2Le Havre00000:000
    3Lille00000:000
    4Lorient00000:000
    5Metz00000:000
    6Monaco00000:000
    7Nantes00000:000
    8Nice00000:000
    9PSG00000:000
    10Strasbourg00000:000
    11Angers00000:000
    12Brest00000:000
    13Paris FC00000:000
    14Marseille00000:000
    15Toulouse00000:000
    16Lens00000:000
    17Rennes00000:000
    18Lyon00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

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