Result
1:4
16/02/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 22
- Referee: Bollengier M. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belgium | DAZN 1 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3, Moja TV |
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports |
 China | QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 2, Voyo |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | DAZN 1, DAZN France |
 Georgia | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
 India | GXR World |
 Israel | 5 SPORT Israel |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kosovo | ART Motion Sport 1, ART Sport 2 |
 Mexico | Caliente TV App, Caliente TV |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Portugal | Sport TV4 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 2 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | beIN Sports |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 5 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5 |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1 Pass |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz |
 World | Disney+, Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.95 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 21 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 27 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (252/315) | 88% (496/564) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 74% (68/92) | 71% (69/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (4/25) | 50% (4/8) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 86% (6/7) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 16 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 3', 0 - 1, Mikautadze G. ⚽, Cherki R. (A),
- 29', Coulibaly T. 🟨,
- 34', Delort A. 🟨,
- 38', 1 - 1, Coulibaly T. ⚽, Savanier T. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 50', 1 - 2, Nuamah E. ⚽, Matic N. (A),
- 53', 1 - 3, Tolisso C. ⚽, Nuamah E. (A),
- 62', Nzingoula R. ↓, Fayad K. ↑,
- 62', Meite A. ↓, Kouyate K. ↑,
- 64', Tagliafico N. 🟨,
- 69', Coulibaly T. ↓, Pays N. ↑,
- 69', Ferri J. ↓, Ndiaye J. ↑,
- 69', Delort A. ↓, Khazri W. ↑,
- 70', Cherki R. ↓, Almada T. ↑,
- 70', Tagliafico N. ↓, Abner Vinicius ↑,
- 70', Mikautadze G. ↓, Lacazette A. ↑,
- 73', 1 - 4, Lacazette A. ⚽, Abner Vinicius (A),
- 78', Matic N. ↓, Veretout J. ↑,
- 78', Tolisso C. ↓, Fofana M. ↑,
- 86', Sainte-Luce T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Montpellier
18.2% | Draw
21% | Lyon
60.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montpellier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Montpellier's form might have worsened.Lyon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lyon's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lyon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Montpellier - Lyon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.3 ↑
(4.04) |
4.54 ↑
(4.14) |
1.58 ↓
(1.79) |
4.3%
(4.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fubo (for US customers) Network on : beIN SPORTS
What is the prediction for Montpellier - Lyon?
Users Predictions:
Lyon will win
(41 of 47 users predict this - 87.23%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.69% – 96.77%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Montpellier won 1.
- Both teams are now playing unstable.
- Montpellier could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Lyon is a favorite.
- There will not play in Montpellier: Jullien C.
(Knee Injury)
Maksimovic N.
(Thigh Injury)
Sylla I.
(Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Montpellier won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 28:36 (average 1.4:1.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Montpellier won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13:14 (average 1.3:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Montpellier won against Lyon?
Montpellier has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lyon won against Montpellier?
Lyon has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Montpellier - Lyon were as follows:
04.01.2025
Lyon
-
Montpellier
1:0
11.02.2024
Montpellier
-
Lyon
1:2
19.08.2023
Lyon
-
Montpellier
1:4
07.05.2023
Lyon
-
Montpellier
5:4
22.10.2022
Montpellier
-
Lyon
1:2
Latest results of Montpellier
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Monaco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Strasbourg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Toulouse | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Lyon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Auxerre | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Rennes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Angers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Lille | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Brest | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Lorient | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 | Metz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Nantes | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Nice | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Paris FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Marseille | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 | Lens | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
