Result
4:1
25/10/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 11
- Referee: Taleb A. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 1, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 3 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Sports 4 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.67 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 69% | 31% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (494/560) | 74% (186/252) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.67 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 0.41 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (494/560) | 74% (186/252) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (17/37) | 47% (22/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (108/152) | 65% (50/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (5/28) | 11% (1/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.25 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 64 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.41 | 1.54 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.59 | -2.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 13', Mendy E. 🟨,
- 17', 0 - 1, Bamba R. ⚽,
- 22', Mendy E. 🟨,
- 23', Correa P. 🟨,
- 33', Junior Pereira da Silva E. ↓, Fayad K. ↑,
- 44', 1 - 1, Omeragic B. ⚽,
- 45', Chennahi T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Bokangu B. ↓, Julloux A. ↑,
- 46', Chennahi T. ↓, Jullien C. ↑,
- 48', 2 - 1, Fayad K. ⚽,
- 63', 3 - 1, Pays N. ⚽, Jullien C. (A),
- 64', Bouriaud T. ↓, Fdaouch Z. ↑,
- 65', Maouassa F. ↓, Experience M. ↑,
- 65', Bouabdelli W. ↓, Camara B. ↑,
- 68', Fdaouch Z. ↓, Ztouti Z. ↑,
- 71', Mincarelli L. ↓, Sainte-Luce T. ↑,
- 72', Savanier T. ↓, Sishuba A. ↑,
- 80', 4 - 1, Mbuku N. ⚽, Fayad K. (A),
- 85', Omeragic B. ↓, El Hannach N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Montpellier
44.2% | Draw
28% | Nancy
27.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Montpellier - Nancy Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.13 ↓
(2.15) |
3.34 ↓
(3.5) |
3.39 ↑
(3.11) |
6.4%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Montpellier - Nancy?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Montpellier (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Montpellier (1.28) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Montpellier will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Montpellier (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montpellier won 4.
- Montpellier has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Nancy has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Montpellier will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Montpellier: Gueguin A.
(Inactive)
Mouanga Y.
(Injury)
Ngosso G.
(Knee Injury)
Sainte-Luce T.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Nancy: El Hansar C.
(Injury)
Kenzo N.
(Injury)
Ztouti Z.
(Inactive)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Montpellier won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:3. (average 1.5:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Montpellier won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Montpellier won against Nancy?
Montpellier has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nancy won against Montpellier?
Nancy has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Montpellier - Nancy were as follows:
Latest results of Montpellier
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 34:22 | 12 | 41 |
| 2 | Reims | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 37:23 | 14 | 39 |
| 3 | Le Mans | 22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 27:19 | 8 | 39 |
| 4 | St Etienne | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 37:27 | 10 | 37 |
| 5 | Red Star | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 30:22 | 8 | 37 |
| 6 | Dunkerque | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 35:23 | 12 | 34 |
| 7 | Pau FC | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 33:33 | 0 | 34 |
| 8 | Guingamp | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 33:33 | 0 | 33 |
| 9 | Annecy | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 28:22 | 6 | 32 |
| 10 | Montpellier | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 24:22 | 2 | 31 |
| 11 | Rodez | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 28:30 | -2 | 30 |
| 12 | Grenoble | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 24:29 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 | Nancy | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 20:30 | -10 | 25 |
| 14 | Boulogne | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 23:33 | -10 | 23 |
| 15 | Clermont | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 24:30 | -6 | 22 |
| 16 | Amiens | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 27:35 | -8 | 22 |
| 17 | Laval | 22 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 15:30 | -15 | 17 |
| 18 | Bastia | 22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 11:27 | -16 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
