Montpellier vs Nancy – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
25/10/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 11
  • Referee: Taleb A. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
andorraAndorrabeIN Sports 1
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 5
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 1, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
japanJapanDAZN Japan
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Sports 4
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.810.67
Ball Possession
69%31%
Total shots
195
Shots on target
92
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
91
Passes
88% (494/560)74% (186/252)
Yellow Cards
12
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.810.67
xG on target (xGOT)
1.540.41
Total shots
195
Shots on target
92
Shots off target
71
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
93
Shots outside the Box
102
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
91
Touches in opposition box
259
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
60
Free Kicks
1514
Passes
88% (494/560)74% (186/252)
Long passes
46% (17/37)47% (22/47)
Passes in final third
71% (108/152)65% (50/77)
Crosses
18% (5/28)11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.870.25
Throw-ins
1919
Fouls
1415
Tackles
64% (9/14)69% (11/16)
Duels won
4864
Clearances
1238
Interceptions
710
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
0.411.54
Goals prevented
-0.59-2.46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 13', Mendy E. 🟨,
  • 17', 0 - 1, Bamba R. ,
  • 22', Mendy E. 🟨,
  • 23', Correa P. 🟨,
  • 33', Junior Pereira da Silva E. , Fayad K. ,
  • 44', 1 - 1, Omeragic B. ,
  • 45', Chennahi T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Bokangu B. , Julloux A. ,
  • 46', Chennahi T. , Jullien C. ,
  • 48', 2 - 1, Fayad K. ,
  • 63', 3 - 1, Pays N. , Jullien C. (A),
  • 64', Bouriaud T. , Fdaouch Z. ,
  • 65', Maouassa F. , Experience M. ,
  • 65', Bouabdelli W. , Camara B. ,
  • 68', Fdaouch Z. , Ztouti Z. ,
  • 71', Mincarelli L. , Sainte-Luce T. ,
  • 72', Savanier T. , Sishuba A. ,
  • 80', 4 - 1, Mbuku N. , Fayad K. (A),
  • 85', Omeragic B. , El Hannach N. ,

Chances of winning


Montpellier
44.2%
Draw
28%
Nancy
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.4% 26.6% 30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44% 26.2% 29.6%

Montpellier - Nancy Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.13
(2.15)
3.34
(3.5)
3.39
(3.11)
6.4%
(7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Montpellier - Nancy?
  • Users Predictions: Montpellier will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montpellier won 4.
    • Montpellier has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Nancy has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Montpellier will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Montpellier: Gueguin A. (Inactive) Mouanga Y. (Injury) Ngosso G. (Knee Injury) Sainte-Luce T. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Nancy: El Hansar C. (Injury) Kenzo N. (Injury) Ztouti Z. (Inactive)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Montpellier won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:3. (average 1.5:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Montpellier won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
    Latest results of Montpellier
    18.10.2025 Dunkerque - Montpellier 0:1
    27.09.2025 Laval - Montpellier 0:1
    23.09.2025 Montpellier - Boulogne 1:3
    20.09.2025 Montpellier - Bastia 2:0
    Latest results of Nancy
    20.10.2025 Nancy - Amiens 0:1
    03.10.2025 Guingamp - Nancy 2:2
    26.09.2025 Nancy - Reims 0:1
    23.09.2025 Annecy - Nancy 1:2
    19.09.2025 Nancy - Red Star 0:1
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes1695228:151332
    2St Etienne1692533:231029
    3Red Star1584321:15628
    4Le Mans1676320:16427
    5Pau FC1675422:23-126
    6Reims1574428:20825
    7Dunkerque1666427:18924
    8Montpellier1673617:15224
    9Guingamp1665524:28-423
    10Annecy1664620:16422
    11Grenoble1655618:20-220
    12Clermont1647516:20-419
    13Rodez1646616:22-618
    14Boulogne1644817:24-716
    15Laval1536612:16-415
    16Amiens1643919:25-615
    17Nancy1643914:22-815
    18Bastia1514106:20-147

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National