Nancy vs Montpellier – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

06/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Stade Marcel Picot (Nancy).

Ligue 2 - Round 26
Referee: Batta F. (Fra)
Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.62	1.01
Ball possession
44%	56%
Total shots
11	8
Shots on target
2	4
Big chances
0	3
Corner kicks
4	6
Passes
82% (287/351)	88% (412/470)
Yellow cards
2	2
Red cards
1	1
Expected goals (xG)
0.62	1.01
xG on target (xGOT)
0.14	1.62
Total shots
11	8
Shots on target
2	4
Shots off target
7	1
Blocked shots
2	3
Shots inside the box
7	7
Shots outside the box
4	1
Hit the woodwork
1	0
Big chances
0	3
Corner kicks
4	6
Touches in opposition box
16	20
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	4
Free kicks
19	12
Passes
82% (287/351)	88% (412/470)
Long passes
46% (22/48)	49% (21/43)
Passes in final third
69% (66/96)	75% (56/75)
Crosses
35% (8/23)	7% (1/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.75	0.49
Throw ins
12	15
Fouls
12	19
Tackles
71% (10/14)	63% (5/8)
Duels won
51	46
Clearances
14	22
Interceptions
10	11
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	2
xGOT faced
1.62	0.14
Goals prevented
-1.38	0.14

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Mbuku N. ⚽, El Hannach N. (A),
25', Nahounou Y. 🟨,
32', Mendy E. 🟨,
45+1', Jullien C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Nahounou Y. ↓, Evans J. ↑,
46', Dabasse A. ↓, Fdaouch Z. ↑,
55', Mendy E. ↓, Fernandez N. ↑,
63', Saint-Ruf N. 🟥,
69', Junior Pereira da Silva E. 🟥,
74', Issoufou Y. ↓, Molebe E. ↑,
76', 0 - 2, Molebe E. ⚽,
79', El Hannach N. ↓, Tchato E. ↑,
79', Pays N. ↓, Gueguin A. ↑,
79', Gelin J. ↓, Bouriaud T. ↑,
81', 0 - 3, Mendy A. ⚽, Gueguin A. (A),
83', Barbier H. ↓, Bokangu B. ↑,
87', Mendy A. ↓, Fayad K. ↑,
87', Mbuku N. ↓, Homssa N. ↑,
89', Homssa N. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Nancy
33.4%

Draw
28.7%

Montpellier
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

29.9%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

28.8%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nancy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Montpellier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nancy than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Nancy - Montpellier Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.69)	3.26 ↑ (3.13)	2.47 ↓ (2.64)	6.7% (7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Nancy - Montpellier?

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Nancy will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Montpellier will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.1% – 83.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Montpellier (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH 0 - Montpellier (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Montpellier (2.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Montpellier (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nancy won 0.
Nancy has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Montpellier is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Nancy: Bamba R. (Injury) Bokangu B. (Inactive) Carlier M. (Injury) Experience M. (Inactive) Julloux A. (Inactive) Kenzo N. (Injury) Ouotro P. (Injury) Sourzac M. (Arm Injury) Suljic C. (Inactive) Ztouti Z. (Suspended)
There will not play in Montpellier: Laporte J. (Yellow Cards) Mahboub F. (Inactive) Mouanga Y. (Injury) Ngosso G. (Knee Injury)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Nancy won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:13. (average 0.6:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Nancy won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Nancy won against Montpellier?

Nancy has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Montpellier won against Nancy?

Montpellier has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Nancy - Montpellier were as follows:

25.10.2025 Montpellier - Nancy 4:1

Latest results of Nancy

27.02.2026 Laval - Nancy 1:1 ✺

20.02.2026 Nancy - Grenoble 0:0 ✺

13.02.2026 Red Star - Nancy 2:1 ✺

07.02.2026 Nancy - Troyes 2:1 ✺

30.01.2026 Bastia - Nancy 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Montpellier

27.02.2026 Montpellier - Reims 0:0 ✺

20.02.2026 Rodez - Montpellier 1:0 ✺

14.02.2026 Montpellier - Le Mans 4:2 ✺

07.02.2026 Saint-Étienne - Montpellier 1:0 ✺

04.02.2026 Nice - Montpellier 3:2 ✺

French Ligue 2 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Troyes	28	17	6	5	49:28	21	57
2	St Etienne	28	16	5	7	50:29	21	53
3	Le Mans	28	13	11	4	41:29	12	50
4	Red Star	28	13	8	7	32:27	5	47
5	Reims	28	12	10	6	41:26	15	46
6	Rodez	28	11	11	6	35:33	2	44
7	Montpellier	28	12	6	10	33:25	8	42
8	Dunkerque	28	10	9	9	43:34	9	39
9	Annecy	28	11	6	11	35:34	1	39
10	Guingamp	28	10	9	9	38:40	-2	39
11	Pau FC	28	10	9	9	40:44	-4	39
12	Boulogne	28	9	7	12	30:38	-8	34
13	Grenoble	28	6	12	10	26:33	-7	30
14	Clermont	28	7	7	14	30:37	-7	28
15	Nancy	28	7	7	14	24:40	-16	28
16	Amiens	28	6	5	17	33:50	-17	23
17	Laval	28	4	11	13	24:41	-17	23
18	Bastia	28	3	11	14	15:31	-16	20

      Promotion ~ Ligue 1
      Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
      Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Ligue 2 (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ National