Result
0:3
06/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 26
- Referee: Batta F. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 1.01 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (287/351) | 88% (412/470) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 1.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.14 | 1.62 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (287/351) | 88% (412/470) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (22/48) | 49% (21/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (66/96) | 75% (56/75) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (8/23) | 7% (1/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.49 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 63% (5/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.62 | 0.14 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.38 | 0.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 9', 0 - 1, Mbuku N. ⚽, El Hannach N. (A),
- 25', Nahounou Y. 🟨,
- 32', Mendy E. 🟨,
- 45+1', Jullien C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Nahounou Y. ↓, Evans J. ↑,
- 46', Dabasse A. ↓, Fdaouch Z. ↑,
- 55', Mendy E. ↓, Fernandez N. ↑,
- 63', Saint-Ruf N. 🟥,
- 69', Junior Pereira da Silva E. 🟥,
- 74', Issoufou Y. ↓, Molebe E. ↑,
- 76', 0 - 2, Molebe E. ⚽,
- 79', El Hannach N. ↓, Tchato E. ↑,
- 79', Pays N. ↓, Gueguin A. ↑,
- 79', Gelin J. ↓, Bouriaud T. ↑,
- 81', 0 - 3, Mendy A. ⚽, Gueguin A. (A),
- 83', Barbier H. ↓, Bokangu B. ↑,
- 87', Mendy A. ↓, Fayad K. ↑,
- 87', Mbuku N. ↓, Homssa N. ↑,
- 89', Homssa N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Nancy
33.4% | Draw
28.7% | Montpellier
37.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nancy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Montpellier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nancy than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Nancy - Montpellier Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.81 ↑
(2.69) |
3.26 ↑
(3.13) |
2.47 ↓
(2.64) |
6.7%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Nancy - Montpellier?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Nancy will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Montpellier will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.1% – 83.9%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Montpellier (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Montpellier (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Montpellier (2.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Montpellier (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nancy won 0.
- Nancy has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Montpellier is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Nancy: Bamba R.
(Injury)
Bokangu B.
(Inactive)
Carlier M.
(Injury)
Experience M.
(Inactive)
Julloux A.
(Inactive)
Kenzo N.
(Injury)
Ouotro P.
(Injury)
Sourzac M.
(Arm Injury)
Suljic C.
(Inactive)
Ztouti Z.
(Suspended)
- There will not play in Montpellier: Laporte J.
(Yellow Cards)
Mahboub F.
(Inactive)
Mouanga Y.
(Injury)
Ngosso G.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Nancy won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:13. (average 0.6:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nancy won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Nancy won against Montpellier?
Nancy has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Montpellier won against Nancy?
Montpellier has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nancy - Montpellier were as follows:
25.10.2025
Montpellier
-
Nancy
4:1
Latest results of Montpellier
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes ✔ | 33 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 60:32 | 28 | 67 |
| 2 | Le Mans | 33 | 15 | 14 | 4 | 48:31 | 17 | 59 |
| 3 | St Etienne | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 54:38 | 16 | 57 |
| 4 | Red Star | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 44:36 | 8 | 57 |
| 5 | Rodez | 33 | 14 | 13 | 6 | 43:38 | 5 | 55 |
| 6 | Reims | 33 | 13 | 14 | 6 | 48:32 | 16 | 53 |
| 7 | Annecy | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 48:37 | 11 | 52 |
| 8 | Montpellier | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 40:30 | 10 | 50 |
| 9 | Pau FC | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 45:57 | -12 | 45 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 51:42 | 9 | 43 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 42:48 | -6 | 40 |
| 12 | Grenoble | 33 | 7 | 15 | 11 | 32:39 | -7 | 36 |
| 13 | Boulogne | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 33:47 | -14 | 36 |
| 14 | Clermont | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 37:44 | -7 | 34 |
| 15 | Nancy | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 32:50 | -18 | 34 |
| 16 | Laval | 33 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 28:47 | -19 | 29 |
| 17 | Bastia | 33 | 5 | 13 | 15 | 23:37 | -14 | 28 |
| 18 | Amiens ✔ | 33 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 37:60 | -23 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
Clinched Spots for Teams
Troyes is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Ligue 1
Amiens is Relegated to National
