Result
2:2
21/02/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premiere Ligue Women - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DAZN App |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Ecuador | DAZN App |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Venezuela | DAZN App |
 World | FIFA+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 0.83 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (289/367) | 67% (194/289) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 0.83 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 1.96 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (289/367) | 67% (194/289) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (21/51) | 41% (30/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (33/60) | 54% (61/113) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 6% (1/16) | 24% (4/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.30 | 0.92 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 30 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 76% (13/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.96 | 0.74 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.04 | -1.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Toloba A. ⚽,
- 20', Ouchene S. 🟨,
- 22', 2 - 0, Calba L. ⚽,
- 24', Robillard C. 🟨,
- 39', Coquet J. ↓, Ngueleu N. ↑,
- 40', Blanc C. 🟨,
- 45+3', Kadzere R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 60', Robillard C. ↓, Saoud I. ↑,
- 62', Palis E. 🟨,
- 65', 2 - 1, Blanc C. ⚽,
- 67', Khelifi L. ↓, Swierot J. ↑,
- 67', Kadzere R. ↓, Rastocle J. ↑,
- 67', Palis E. ↓, Gstalter L. ↑,
- 76', Bethi M. 🟨,
- 77', 2 - 2, Blanc C. ⚽,
- 80', Ngueleu N. 🟨,
- 81', Calba L. ↓, Eloissaint R. ↑,
- 82', Blanc C. ↓, Chabod C. ↑,
- 82', Clark A. ↓, Baylet C. ↑,
- 88', Machart-Rabanne J. 🟨,
- 90+2', Levasseur M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Nantes
53.8% | Draw
22.4% | Montpellier
23.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nantes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Montpellier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nantes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Nantes - Montpellier Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.68 ↑
(1.6) |
4.04 ↑
(3.9) |
3.8 ↓
(4.5) |
10.5%
(10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Nantes - Montpellier?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Nantes will win (votes: 20 - 95.2%). Montpellier will win (votes: 1 - 4.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nantes: 86.1% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nantes will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiere Ligue Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Seconde Ligue Women).
- In recent matches, Nantes has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Montpellier has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Nantes might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Nantes won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Nantes won against Montpellier?
Nantes has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Montpellier won against Nantes?
Montpellier has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nantes - Montpellier were as follows:
06.12.2025
Montpellier
-
Nantes
1:2
22.03.2025
Nantes
-
Montpellier
2:2
15.11.2024
Montpellier
-
Nantes
1:0
Latest results of Montpellier
French Division 1 Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lyon W | 16 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 61:7 | 54 | 46 |
| 2 | Nantes W | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 30:28 | 2 | 30 |
| 3 | Paris FC W | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28:12 | 16 | 30 |
| 4 | Fleury 91 W | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 22:11 | 11 | 29 |
| 5 | PSG W | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 35:22 | 13 | 29 |
| 6 | Strasbourg W | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 21:22 | -1 | 25 |
| 7 | Dijon W | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 14:21 | -7 | 21 |
| 8 | Le Havre W | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 16:32 | -16 | 16 |
| 9 | Marseille W | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 21:35 | -14 | 15 |
| 10 | St Etienne W | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 8:28 | -20 | 9 |
| 11 | Montpellier W | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 21:34 | -13 | 9 |
| 12 | Lens W | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 14:39 | -25 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Premiere Ligue Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ Seconde Ligue Women
