Result
26:31
17/01/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Challenge Cup - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4 |
 United-kingdom | BBC iPlayer, FloSports app, S4C Clic, S4C Digital, S4C |
 World | EPCR Rugby TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Conversion goals |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Conversion goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Penalty goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres run with ball |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (14 - 21)
- 7', Masibaka A. (Try),
- 7', Hogg S. (Conversion Goal),
- 12', Watkin O. (Try),
- 13', Walsh J. (Conversion Goal),
- 22', Ducros J. (Try),
- 23', Hogg S. (Conversion Goal),
- 36', Masibaka A. (Try),
- 37', Hogg S. (Conversion Goal),
- 40+1', Lloyd L. (Try),
- 40+2', Walsh J. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (12 - 10)
- 53', Lloyd L. (Try),
- 54', Walsh J. (Conversion Goal),
- 59', Moriarty R. (Try),
- 67', Hounkpatin W. (Try),
- 68', Hogg S. (Conversion Goal),
- 80+1', Coly L. (Penalty Goal),
Chances of winning
Ospreys
41.5% | Draw
5.6% | Montpellier
52.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Ospreys - Montpellier Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.07 ↑
(1.68) |
19.43 ↓
(21) |
1.99 ↓
(2.23) |
-11.9%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 51.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
What is the prediction for Ospreys - Montpellier?
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Ospreys will win (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 28:24.
Preview Facts
- Ospreys has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Montpellier is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Montpellier may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Montpellier has had a series of home games.
- Ospreys is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- We predict that Ospreys will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ospreys won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 76:136. (average 19:34).
- Including home match between the teams, Ospreys won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 35:29.
How many head-to-head matches has Ospreys won against Montpellier?
Ospreys has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Montpellier won against Ospreys?
Montpellier has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ospreys - Montpellier were as follows:
14.12.2024
Montpellier
-
Ospreys
59:15
17.12.2023
Montpellier
-
Ospreys
38:5
14.01.2023
Ospreys
-
Montpellier
35:29
17.12.2022
Montpellier
-
Ospreys
10:21
Latest results of Ospreys
Latest results of Montpellier
Challenge Cup Rugby Table
MainGroup 1 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Montpellier | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 119:77 | 20 |
| 2 | Zebre | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 99:81 | 14 |
| 3 | Ospreys | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 102:97 | 13 |
| 4 | Connacht | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 179:71 | 13 |
| 5 | Black Lion | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 58:132 | 5 |
| 6 | Montauban | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 81:180 | 2 |
Group 2 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Benetton | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 182:89 | 19 |
| 2 | Newcastle Red Bulls | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 75:78 | 13 |
| 3 | Dragons | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 96:148 | 9 |
| 4 | USA Perpignan | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 111:107 | 8 |
| 5 | Lions | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 90:93 | 8 |
| 6 | Lyon | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 87:126 | 3 |
Group 3 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Ulster | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 141:55 | 17 |
| 2 | Stade Francais Paris | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 129:90 | 16 |
| 3 | Exeter Chiefs | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 129:70 | 14 |
| 4 | Cardiff Rugby | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 78:108 | 10 |
| 5 | Racing 92 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 82:152 | 8 |
| 6 | Cheetahs | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 62:146 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Challenge Cup (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
