Result
2:1
22/11/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premiere Ligue Women - Round 8
- Referee: Goncalves C. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 World | FIFA+ |
Match Stats
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|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 1.32 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
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| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
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| 6 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
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| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
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| 75% (316/420) | 75% (268/357) |
| Yellow Cards |
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| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 1.32 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 0.91 | 1.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
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| 1 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
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| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
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| 3 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
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| 5 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
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| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 13 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
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| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
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| 10 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (316/420) | 75% (268/357) |
| Long passes |
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| 43% (27/63) | 37% (26/71) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 66% (95/145) | 71% (85/119) |
| Crosses |
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| 28% (5/18) | 5% (1/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.63 |
| Throw-ins |
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| 38 | 30 |
| Fouls |
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| 12 | 10 |
| Tackles |
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| 72% (18/25) | 71% (22/31) |
| Duels won |
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| 54 | 56 |
| Clearances |
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| 23 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
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| 10 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
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| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 1.07 | 0.91 |
| Goals prevented |
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| 0.07 | -1.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 22', 1 - 0, Bogaert L. ⚽,
- 45+1', Blanc C. ↓, Rambaud E. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Scott S. ↓, Picard O. ↑,
- 46', Sangare H. ↓, Azzaro L. ↑,
- 54', 1 - 1, Ouchene S. (Pen),
- 61', Garbino M. ↓, N'Dongala M. ↑,
- 61', Bogaert L. ↓, Liaigre F. ↑,
- 66', 2 - 1, Azzaro L. ⚽, Picard O. (A),
- 68', Gstalter L. ↓, Koko I. ↑,
- 77', Azzaro L. 🟨,
- 78', Kadzere R. ↓, Ngueleu N. ↑,
- 78', Baylet C. ↓, Bacoul-Juillard K. ↑,
- 81', Hocine C. ↓, Yerro S. ↑,
- 90+2', Davis D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Paris FC
75.1% | Draw
16.2% | Montpellier
8.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paris FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paris FC's performance.Montpellier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Montpellier might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (-21.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paris FC that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (+13.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Montpellier could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Paris FC - Montpellier Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.21 ↓
(1.75) |
5.58 ↑
(3.75) |
10.4 ↑
(3.96) |
10.4%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Paris FC - Montpellier?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Paris FC (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Paris FC will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiere Ligue Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paris FC won 4.
- Paris FC is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Montpellier has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Montpellier may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Paris FC is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Paris FC won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:22. (average 1.6:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Paris FC won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 2:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Paris FC won against Montpellier?
Paris FC has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Montpellier won against Paris FC?
Montpellier has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paris FC - Montpellier were as follows:
29.03.2025
Montpellier
-
Paris FC
2:0
09.11.2024
Paris FC
-
Montpellier
4:2
29.03.2024
Paris FC
-
Montpellier
3:0
09.12.2023
Montpellier
-
Paris FC
1:4
10.03.2023
Paris FC
-
Montpellier
2:0
Latest results of Paris FC
Latest results of Montpellier
French Division 1 Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lyon W ✔ | 18 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 66:7 | 59 | 52 |
| 2 | Nantes W | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 35:28 | 7 | 36 |
| 3 | Paris FC W | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 34:12 | 22 | 36 |
| 4 | PSG W | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 40:25 | 15 | 35 |
| 5 | Fleury 91 W | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 22:15 | 7 | 29 |
| 6 | Dijon W | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 27 |
| 7 | Strasbourg W | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 21:28 | -7 | 25 |
| 8 | Le Havre W | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 18:37 | -19 | 17 |
| 9 | Marseille W | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 24:39 | -15 | 16 |
| 10 | Lens W | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 16:41 | -25 | 12 |
| 11 | St Etienne W | 18 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 8:33 | -25 | 9 |
| 12 | Montpellier W | 18 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 24:39 | -15 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Premiere Ligue Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ Seconde Ligue Women
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lyon W is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Premiere Ligue Women (Play Offs Semi~finals)
