Result
0:28
22/11/2025 at 10:35 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Top 14 - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | Canal+ Live 4 |
 United-kingdom | FloSports app |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Conversion Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Conversion Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Penalty Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total Runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres Run With Ball |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 13)
- 16', Miotti H. (Penalty Goal),
- 32', Miotti H. (Penalty Goal),
- 36', Tolofua C. (Try),
- 36', Miotti H. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (0 - 15)
- 47', Hounkpatin W. (Try),
- 69', Miotti H. (Penalty Goal),
- 75', Becognee A. (Try),
- 75', Hogg S. (Conversion Goal),
- 75', Dubois L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Perpignan
30.8% | Draw
4.2% | Montpellier
65% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Perpignan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Perpignan's form might have worsened.Montpellier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Montpellier's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perpignan than the current prediction. (+13.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Perpignan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (-15.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Montpellier, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Perpignan - Montpellier Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.96 ↑
(2.22) |
22.88 ↑
(16.52) |
1.48 ↓
(1.81) |
5.6%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 47.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-8)
What is the prediction for Perpignan - Montpellier?
Users Predictions:
Montpellier will win
(13 of 13 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Montpellier will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 20:28.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Pro D2 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Perpignan won 2.
- Perpignan has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Montpellier's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Montpellier might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Perpignan won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 266:363. (average 17.7:24.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Perpignan won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 143:146. (average 20.4:20.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Perpignan won against Montpellier?
Perpignan has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Montpellier won against Perpignan?
Montpellier has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Perpignan - Montpellier were as follows:
26.04.2025
Montpellier
-
Perpignan
19:13
14.09.2024
Perpignan
-
Montpellier
7:26
27.04.2024
Montpellier
-
Perpignan
20:25
18.11.2023
Perpignan
-
Montpellier
23:16
25.03.2023
Perpignan
-
Montpellier
22:23
Latest results of Perpignan
Latest results of Montpellier
French Top 14 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Stade Toulousain | 19 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 750:409 | 67 |
| 2 | Montpellier | 19 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 581:407 | 57 |
| 3 | Section Paloise | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 564:497 | 55 |
| 4 | Bordeaux Begles | 19 | 11 | 0 | 8 | 635:503 | 55 |
| 5 | Stade Francais Paris | 19 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 559:475 | 54 |
| 6 | Clermont | 19 | 11 | 0 | 8 | 613:487 | 52 |
| 7 | Racing 92 | 19 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 566:579 | 50 |
| 8 | Stade Rochelais | 19 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 571:493 | 45 |
| 9 | RC Toulonnais | 19 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 492:582 | 45 |
| 10 | Lyon | 19 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 553:530 | 43 |
| 11 | Castres Olympique | 19 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 452:553 | 42 |
| 12 | Aviron Bayonnais | 19 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 527:621 | 41 |
| 13 | USA Perpignan | 19 | 4 | 0 | 15 | 372:543 | 19 |
| 14 | Montauban | 19 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 364:920 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Top 14 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Pro D2
