Montpellier vs Toulouse – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union French Top 14 Montpellier - Toulouse
20/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Top 14 - Round 3
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFranceCANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomFloSports app, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player

Chances of winning


Montpellier
28.7%
Draw
4.7%
Toulouse
66.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.2% 6% 56.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Montpellier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Montpellier's form might have worsened.
  • Toulouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Toulouse's recent form is better than expected.
  • Montpellier - Toulouse Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.23
    (2.43)
    19.33
    (15)
    1.37
    (1.59)
    8.9%
    (10.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 50.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montpellier won 0.
    • In this match, Toulouse is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Montpellier won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 384:460. (average 19.2:23).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Montpellier won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 250:204. (average 25:20.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Montpellier - Toulouse were as follows:
    25.01.2025 Toulouse - Montpellier 27:17
    21.09.2024 Montpellier - Toulouse 11:20
    18.05.2024 Montpellier - Toulouse 22:29
    27.08.2023 Toulouse - Montpellier 38:13
    29.01.2023 Toulouse - Montpellier 23:9
    Latest results of Montpellier
    06.09.2025 Montpellier - Toulon 17:27
    07.06.2025 Montpellier - Clermont 10:23
    31.05.2025 Racing Métro - Montpellier 25:27
    18.05.2025 La Rochelle - Montpellier 47:18
    Latest results of Toulouse
    13.09.2025 Toulouse - Perpignan 31:13
    07.09.2025 Clermont - Toulouse 24:34
    20.06.2025 Toulouse - Aviron Bayonnais 32:25
    07.06.2025 Perpignan - Toulouse 42:35
    01.06.2025 Toulouse - Lyon 43:3
    French Top 14 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLPts
    1Lyon220057:259
    2Stade Toulousain220065:379
    3Section Paloise220051:259
    4RC Toulonnais220043:298
    5Aviron Bayonnais220052:428
    6Stade Rochelais210152:395
    7Stade Francais Paris210157:585
    8Racing 92210151:644
    9Bordeaux Begles210155:624
    10Castres Olympique200227:332
    11Montpellier200240:531
    12USA Perpignan200232:570
    13Clermont200240:680
    14Montauban200242:720

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