Result
1:0
23/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 1
- Referee: Colombo A. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.20 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (298/362) | 86% (409/474) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.20 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.31 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (298/362) | 86% (409/474) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (21/38) | 36% (15/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (97/136) | 78% (51/65) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (6/21) | 38% (3/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.27 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (10/17) | 55% (6/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.31 | 0.40 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.31 | -0.60 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 11', Ciurria P. 🟨,
- 32', Birindelli S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 47', Radaelli N. 🟨,
- 57', 1 - 0, Izzo A. ⚽, Ciurria P. (A),
- 60', Radaelli N. ↓, Maggioni T. ↑,
- 60', Falletti C. ↓, Mensah D. ↑,
- 68', Ciurria P. ↓, Galazzi N. ↑,
- 69', Caprari G. ↓, Balde K. ↑,
- 70', Mensah D. 🟨,
- 71', Bragantini D. ↓, Galuppini F. ↑,
- 79', Mota D. ↓, Petagna A. ↑,
- 79', Pessina M. ↓, Colombo L. ↑,
- 81', Trimboli S. 🟨,
- 82', Caprini M. ↓, Fiori A. ↑,
- 82', Majer Z. ↓, Wieser D. ↑,
- 89', Lucchesi L. ↓, Delli Carri F. ↑,
- 90', Balde K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Monza
53.3% | Draw
25.2% | Mantova
21.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Mantova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Monza - Mantova Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.77 ↓
(1.8) |
3.71 ↑
(3.45) |
4.37 ↑
(4.25) |
6.3%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Monza - Mantova?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Monza will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Mantova will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monza: 40% – 93.4%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Monza will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Monza has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Recently, Monza has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Monza is a strong favorite.
- There are questionable in Monza: Birindelli S.
(Injury)
D'Ambrosio D.
(Ankle Injury)
Forson O.
(Injury)
Gagliardini R.
(Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monza won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 0.8:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Monza won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Monza won against Mantova?
Monza has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mantova won against Monza?
Mantova has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Monza - Mantova were as follows:
Latest results of Mantova
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 33 | 21 | 8 | 4 | 67:28 | 39 | 71 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 34 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 65:33 | 32 | 69 |
| 3 | Monza | 33 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 51:27 | 24 | 66 |
| 4 | Palermo | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 55:28 | 27 | 65 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 32 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 50:39 | 11 | 53 |
| 6 | Modena | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 43:28 | 15 | 50 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 33 | 10 | 15 | 8 | 39:41 | -2 | 45 |
| 8 | Cesena | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 42:48 | -6 | 44 |
| 9 | Carrarese | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 44:43 | 1 | 42 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 33 | 8 | 15 | 10 | 35:36 | -1 | 39 |
| 11 | Avellino | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37:53 | -16 | 39 |
| 12 | Mantova | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 37:48 | -11 | 37 |
| 13 | Sampdoria | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 32:43 | -11 | 37 |
| 14 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 43:48 | -5 | 36 |
| 15 | Padova | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 32:45 | -13 | 34 |
| 16 | Entella | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 31:46 | -15 | 34 |
| 17 | Bari | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 33:51 | -18 | 34 |
| 18 | Pescara | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 46:59 | -13 | 32 |
| 19 | Spezia | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 32:49 | -17 | 30 |
| 20 | Reggiana | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 31:52 | -21 | 30 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
