Result
1:2
21/03/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 8
- Referee: Mendez R. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play, Movistar TV App |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.90 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (237/301) | 79% (267/336) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.90 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 1.55 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (237/301) | 79% (267/336) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (22/52) | 45% (25/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (67/94) | 63% (49/78) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (5/22) | 24% (5/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.41 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (6/7) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.71 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.45 | -0.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 22', 0 - 1, Tevez J. ⚽, Manzaneda J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Perleche A. ↓, Montenegro E. ↑,
- 49', Fuentes A. 🟨,
- 57', Ramirez D. ↓, Chavez N. ↑,
- 57', Lojas J. ↓, Lastre E. ↑,
- 59', Chipao R. 🟨,
- 62', Diaz P. 🟨,
- 65', 1 - 1, Lastre E. ⚽,
- 66', Granda J. 🟨,
- 83', Diez C. ↓, Herrera Joel ↑,
- 83', Tevez J. ↓, Callejo F. ↑,
- 85', Soto D. 🟨,
- 87', Zapata Y. ↓, Ramirez C. ↑,
- 90+2', Davila A. ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
- 90+4', 1 - 2, Callejo F. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Moquegua
30.8% | Draw
30.8% | Cusco
38.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Moquegua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Moquegua's performance.Cusco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cusco might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moquegua than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Moquegua that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cusco than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cusco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Moquegua - Cusco Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.05 ↓
(3.69) |
3.02 ↓
(3.11) |
2.38 ↑
(2.04) |
7.9%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 14 and 13)
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Cusco will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Moquegua won against Cusco?
Moquegua has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cusco won against Moquegua?
Cusco has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Moquegua - Cusco were as follows:
Latest results of Moquegua
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 12:4 | 8 | 20 |
| 2 | Los Chankas | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 17:10 | 7 | 20 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 19:10 | 9 | 16 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 15 |
| 5 | Cajamarca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 14 |
| 6 | Sporting Cristal | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15:11 | 4 | 11 |
| 7 | FBC Melgar | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 11 |
| 8 | Comerciantes Unidos | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 | Alianza Atl | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 10 |
| 10 | Cusco | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:9 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | Juan Pablo II | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:20 | -7 | 10 |
| 12 | AD Tarma | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | Sport Boys | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:9 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 15 | Sport Huancayo | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:12 | -4 | 7 |
| 16 | Moquegua | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6:14 | -8 | 7 |
| 17 | Grau | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3:8 | -5 | 6 |
| 18 | FC Cajamarca | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10:16 | -6 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
