Result
0:1
01/02/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 20
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 2', 0 - 1, Chavez Chema ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Moralo 56.3% | Draw 23.4% | Jerez 20.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Moralo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Jerez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moralo than the current prediction. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jerez than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Moralo - Jerez Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.61 ↑ (1.59) |
3.89 ↑ (3.63) |
4.48 ↓ (5.11) |
10.1% (10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: ) and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Moralo won 2.
- Moralo has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Jerez is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Moralo is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Moralo will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Moralo won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 24:15. (average 2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Moralo won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Moralo won against Jerez?
Moralo has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jerez won against Moralo?
Jerez has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Moralo - Jerez were as follows:
30.03.2025
Jerez
-
Moralo
3:2
16.11.2024
Moralo
-
Jerez
1:1
28.04.2024
Moralo
-
Jerez
2:1
16.12.2023
Jerez
-
Moralo
2:6
08.04.2023
Jerez
-
Moralo
0:0
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Don Benito | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 55:19 | 36 | 55 |
| 2 | Moralo | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 46:26 | 20 | 53 |
| 3 | CD Badajoz | 27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 41:24 | 17 | 50 |
| 4 | Azuaga | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 40:26 | 14 | 49 |
| 5 | Jaraiz | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 46:25 | 21 | 48 |
| 6 | Cabeza del Buey | 27 | 11 | 12 | 4 | 34:21 | 13 | 45 |
| 7 | Villanovense | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 34:29 | 5 | 41 |
| 8 | Villafranca | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 32:32 | 0 | 39 |
| 9 | Jerez CF | 27 | 7 | 15 | 5 | 47:38 | 9 | 36 |
| 10 | Llerenense | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 27:32 | -5 | 35 |
| 11 | Montijo | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 30:33 | -3 | 33 |
| 12 | Puebla | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 28:36 | -8 | 32 |
| 13 | Santa Amalia | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 27:39 | -12 | 32 |
| 14 | Gevora | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 26:41 | -15 | 26 |
| 15 | Diocesano | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23:45 | -22 | 21 |
| 16 | CD Calamonte | 27 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 20:33 | -13 | 20 |
| 17 | Montehermoso | 27 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 19:46 | -27 | 19 |
| 18 | Pueblonuevo | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 19:49 | -30 | 17 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )
Relegation