Result
0:1
01/02/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 20
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 2', 0 - 1, Chavez Chema ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Moralo 56.3% | Draw 23.4% | Jerez 20.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Moralo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Jerez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moralo than the current prediction. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jerez than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Moralo - Jerez Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.61 ↑ (1.59) |
3.89 ↑ (3.63) |
4.48 ↓ (5.11) |
10.1% (10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: ) and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Moralo won 2.
- Moralo has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Jerez is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Moralo is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Moralo will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Moralo won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 24:15. (average 2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Moralo won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Moralo won against Jerez?
Moralo has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jerez won against Moralo?
Jerez has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Moralo - Jerez were as follows:
30.03.2025
Jerez
-
Moralo
3:2
16.11.2024
Moralo
-
Jerez
1:1
28.04.2024
Moralo
-
Jerez
2:1
16.12.2023
Jerez
-
Moralo
2:6
08.04.2023
Jerez
-
Moralo
0:0
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Don Benito | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 59:19 | 40 | 64 |
| 2 | CD Badajoz | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 49:26 | 23 | 59 |
| 3 | Moralo | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 49:28 | 21 | 57 |
| 4 | Azuaga | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 46:27 | 19 | 55 |
| 5 | Jaraiz | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 48:27 | 21 | 52 |
| 6 | Cabeza del Buey | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 39:23 | 16 | 51 |
| 7 | Villafranca | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 36:35 | 1 | 45 |
| 8 | Villanovense | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 37:33 | 4 | 44 |
| 9 | Montijo | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 36:34 | 2 | 40 |
| 10 | Jerez CF | 30 | 7 | 17 | 6 | 50:44 | 6 | 38 |
| 11 | Llerenense | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 28:36 | -8 | 36 |
| 12 | Santa Amalia | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 29:46 | -17 | 33 |
| 13 | Puebla | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 28:40 | -12 | 32 |
| 14 | Diocesano | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 28:49 | -21 | 28 |
| 15 | Gevora | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 28:48 | -20 | 26 |
| 16 | Pueblonuevo | 30 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 24:51 | -27 | 26 |
| 17 | CD Calamonte | 30 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 22:36 | -14 | 22 |
| 18 | Montehermoso | 30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 20:54 | -34 | 22 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )
Relegation