Morecambe vs AFC Wimbledon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
04/03/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: League Two - Round 35
  • Referee: Herczeg A. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.010.52
Ball Possession
38%62%
Goal Attempts
1412
Shots on Goal
13
Shots off Goal
104
Blocked Shots
35
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
39
Shots inside the Box
84
Shots outside the Box
68
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
30
Free Kicks
1710
Offsides
01
Fouls
1017
Yellow Cards
12
Throw-ins
2222
Touches in the Opposition Box
1717
Passes
60% (157/261)74% (312/422)
Passes in the final third
52% (69/133)65% (92/141)
Crosses
35% (7/20)27% (9/33)
Tackles
71% (12/17)53% (8/15)
Clearances Total
3319
Interceptions
910

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 14', Hutchinson S. 🟨,
  • 20', 1 - 0, Angol L. , Songo'o Y. (A),
  • 38', Lewis P. , White T. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 59', Hendrie L. , Millen R. ,
  • 65', Pigott J. , Stevens M. ,
  • 65', Maycock C. , Browne M. ,
  • 65', Furlong J. , Sasu A. ,
  • 75', Kelly J. , Bugiel O. ,
  • 82', Macadam H. , Cooke C. ,
  • 82', Garner G. , Dallas A. ,
  • 82', Angol L. , Dackers M. ,
  • 84', Smith A. , Tilley J. ,
  • 86', Lewis A. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Tilley J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Morecambe
27.5%
Draw
28.7%
AFC Wimbledon
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.3% 27.7% 49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23% 27.4% 49.6%

Morecambe - AFC Wimbledon Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.43
(4.01)
3.29
(3.38)
2.15
(1.91)
6.2%
(6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Morecambe - AFC Wimbledon?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Morecambe will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Wimbledon will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Wimbledon: 41.6%98.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 1.
    • Morecambe is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Wimbledon is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Wimbledon will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Morecambe: Jones C. (Inactive) Moore S. (Inactive) Schofield R. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Wimbledon: Ball J. (Injury) McLean R. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Morecambe: Hope H. (Inactive) Ray G. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Wimbledon: Harbottle R. (Inactive) Hippolyte M. (Inactive)
    • Last 14 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 23:18 (average 1.6:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Morecambe won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14:9 (average 2.3:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Morecambe - AFC Wimbledon were as follows:
    22.10.2024 AFC Wimbledon - Morecambe 3:0
    17.02.2024 AFC Wimbledon - Morecambe 1:1
    28.10.2023 Morecambe - AFC Wimbledon 4:1
    Latest results of Morecambe
    01.03.2025 Gillingham - Morecambe 1:0
    22.02.2025 Morecambe - Walsall 0:2
    08.02.2025 Notts County - Morecambe 2:0
    Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley29178452:312159
    2Notts Co29166744:291554
    3Cambridge Utd28158538:221653
    4Swindon29164947:341352
    5Salford29164941:35652
    6MK Dons29149656:312551
    7Walsall29147837:28949
    8Chesterfield291112646:39745
    9Grimsby28128841:32944
    10Crewe301281046:38844
    11Barnet291110837:30743
    12Accrington291271035:30543
    13Colchester28119841:311042
    14Gillingham28911838:35338
    15Fleetwood281071137:37037
    16Oldham27811828:26235
    17Tranmere29881342:49-732
    18Cheltenham28931627:48-2130
    19Bristol Rovers29831826:47-2127
    20Crawley29681532:47-1526
    21Barrow27661528:42-1424
    22Shrewsbury28581523:47-2423
    23Newport28551829:54-2520
    24Harrogate30462020:49-2918

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League