Morecambe vs AFC Wimbledon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
04/03/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: League Two - Round 35
  • Referee: Herczeg A. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.010.52
Ball Possession
38%62%
Goal Attempts
1412
Shots on Goal
13
Shots off Goal
104
Blocked Shots
35
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
39
Shots inside the Box
84
Shots outside the Box
68
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
30
Free Kicks
1710
Offsides
01
Fouls
1017
Yellow Cards
12
Throw-ins
2222
Touches in the Opposition Box
1717
Passes
60% (157/261)74% (312/422)
Passes in the final third
52% (69/133)65% (92/141)
Crosses
35% (7/20)27% (9/33)
Tackles
71% (12/17)53% (8/15)
Clearances Total
3319
Interceptions
910

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 14', Hutchinson S. 🟨,
  • 20', 1 - 0, Angol L. , Songo'o Y. (A),
  • 38', Lewis P. , White T. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 59', Hendrie L. , Millen R. ,
  • 65', Pigott J. , Stevens M. ,
  • 65', Maycock C. , Browne M. ,
  • 65', Furlong J. , Sasu A. ,
  • 75', Kelly J. , Bugiel O. ,
  • 82', Macadam H. , Cooke C. ,
  • 82', Garner G. , Dallas A. ,
  • 82', Angol L. , Dackers M. ,
  • 84', Smith A. , Tilley J. ,
  • 86', Lewis A. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Tilley J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Morecambe
27.5%
Draw
28.7%
AFC Wimbledon
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.3% 27.7% 49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23% 27.4% 49.6%

Morecambe - AFC Wimbledon Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.43
(4.01)
3.29
(3.38)
2.15
(1.91)
6.2%
(6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Morecambe - AFC Wimbledon?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Morecambe will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Wimbledon will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Wimbledon: 41.6%98.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 1.
    • Morecambe is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Wimbledon is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Wimbledon will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Morecambe: Jones C. (Inactive) Moore S. (Inactive) Schofield R. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Wimbledon: Ball J. (Injury) McLean R. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Morecambe: Hope H. (Inactive) Ray G. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Wimbledon: Harbottle R. (Inactive) Hippolyte M. (Inactive)
    • Last 14 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 23:18 (average 1.6:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Morecambe won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14:9 (average 2.3:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Morecambe - AFC Wimbledon were as follows:
    22.10.2024 AFC Wimbledon - Morecambe 3:0
    17.02.2024 AFC Wimbledon - Morecambe 1:1
    28.10.2023 Morecambe - AFC Wimbledon 4:1
    Latest results of Morecambe
    01.03.2025 Gillingham - Morecambe 1:0
    22.02.2025 Morecambe - Walsall 0:2
    08.02.2025 Notts County - Morecambe 2:0
    Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall18112528:181035
    2Swindon18104431:24734
    3MK Dons1895435:201532
    4Notts Co1894530:201031
    5Bromley1886428:22630
    6Cambridge Utd1885520:16429
    7Salford1892724:25-129
    8Gillingham1877426:20628
    9Chesterfield1877432:29328
    10Colchester1876528:21727
    11Crewe1883727:24327
    12Grimsby1875632:25726
    13Fleetwood1875627:26126
    14Barnet1867522:19325
    15Tranmere1858530:27323
    16Oldham1858516:13323
    17Accrington1856721:22-121
    18Barrow1855818:23-520
    19Crawley1845922:30-817
    20Shrewsbury1845918:31-1317
    21Bristol Rovers18521115:31-1617
    22Cheltenham18521114:32-1817
    23Harrogate18441017:28-1116
    24Newport18331218:33-1512

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League