Morecambe vs AFC Wimbledon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Morecambe - AFC Wimbledon
Result
1:0
04/03/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: League Two - Round 35
  • Referee: Herczeg A. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.010.52
Ball Possession
38%62%
Goal Attempts
1412
Shots on Goal
13
Shots off Goal
104
Blocked Shots
35
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
39
Shots inside the Box
84
Shots outside the Box
68
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
30
Free Kicks
1710
Offsides
01
Fouls
1017
Yellow Cards
12
Throw-ins
2222
Touches in the Opposition Box
1717
Passes
60% (157/261)74% (312/422)
Passes in the final third
52% (69/133)65% (92/141)
Crosses
35% (7/20)27% (9/33)
Tackles
71% (12/17)53% (8/15)
Clearances Total
3319
Interceptions
910

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 14', Hutchinson S. 🟨,
  • 20', 1 - 0, Angol L. , Songo'o Y. (A),
  • 38', Lewis P. , White T. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 59', Hendrie L. , Millen R. ,
  • 65', Pigott J. , Stevens M. ,
  • 65', Maycock C. , Browne M. ,
  • 65', Furlong J. , Sasu A. ,
  • 75', Kelly J. , Bugiel O. ,
  • 82', Macadam H. , Cooke C. ,
  • 82', Garner G. , Dallas A. ,
  • 82', Angol L. , Dackers M. ,
  • 84', Smith A. , Tilley J. ,
  • 86', Lewis A. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Tilley J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Morecambe
27.5%
Draw
28.7%
AFC Wimbledon
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.3% 27.7% 49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23% 27.4% 49.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Morecambe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AFC Wimbledon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AFC Wimbledon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Morecambe - AFC Wimbledon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.43
    (4.01)
    3.29
    (3.38)
    2.15
    (1.91)
    6.2%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Morecambe - AFC Wimbledon?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Morecambe will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Wimbledon will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Wimbledon: 41.6%98.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 1.
    • Morecambe is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Wimbledon is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Wimbledon will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Morecambe: Jones C. (Inactive) Moore S. (Inactive) Schofield R. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Wimbledon: Ball J. (Injury) McLean R. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Morecambe: Hope H. (Inactive) Ray G. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Wimbledon: Harbottle R. (Inactive) Hippolyte M. (Inactive)
    • Last 14 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 23:18 (average 1.6:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Morecambe won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14:9 (average 2.3:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Morecambe - AFC Wimbledon were as follows:
    22.10.2024 AFC Wimbledon - Morecambe 3:0
    17.02.2024 AFC Wimbledon - Morecambe 1:1
    28.10.2023 Morecambe - AFC Wimbledon 4:1
    Latest results of Morecambe
    01.03.2025 Gillingham - Morecambe 1:0
    22.02.2025 Morecambe - Walsall 0:2
    08.02.2025 Notts County - Morecambe 2:0
    Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1071215:8722
    2Swindon1070321:13821
    3Gillingham1063115:7821
    4Salford1061317:13419
    5Grimsby1053221:13818
    6Chesterfield1053218:13518
    7Bristol Rovers1052312:11117
    8Crewe1051414:11316
    9MK Dons1043316:10615
    10Cambridge Utd1043311:9215
    11Fleetwood1043315:14115
    12Notts Co1042417:12514
    13Oldham103529:6314
    14Bromley1035214:12214
    15Barnet1042412:12014
    16Harrogate1042411:12-114
    17Barrow104069:12-312
    18Tranmere924313:12110
    19Accrington92347:11-49
    20Colchester1015410:14-48
    21Crawley102268:17-98
    22Newport1012710:20-105
    23Shrewsbury101277:20-135
    24Cheltenham101184:24-204

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League