Result
1:0
04/03/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: League Two - Round 35
- Referee: Herczeg A. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.52 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
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| 10 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 22 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 60% (157/261) | 74% (312/422) |
| Passes in the final third |
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| 52% (69/133) | 65% (92/141) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (7/20) | 27% (9/33) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 53% (8/15) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 33 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 14', Hutchinson S. 🟨,
- 20', 1 - 0, Angol L. ⚽, Songo'o Y. (A),
- 38', Lewis P. ↓, White T. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 59', Hendrie L. ↓, Millen R. ↑,
- 65', Pigott J. ↓, Stevens M. ↑,
- 65', Maycock C. ↓, Browne M. ↑,
- 65', Furlong J. ↓, Sasu A. ↑,
- 75', Kelly J. ↓, Bugiel O. ↑,
- 82', Macadam H. ↓, Cooke C. ↑,
- 82', Garner G. ↓, Dallas A. ↑,
- 82', Angol L. ↓, Dackers M. ↑,
- 84', Smith A. ↓, Tilley J. ↑,
- 86', Lewis A. 🟨,
- 90+7', Tilley J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Morecambe
27.5% | Draw
28.7% | AFC Wimbledon
43.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Morecambe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AFC Wimbledon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AFC Wimbledon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Morecambe - AFC Wimbledon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.43 ↓
(4.01) |
3.29 ↓
(3.38) |
2.15 ↑
(1.91) |
6.2%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Morecambe - AFC Wimbledon?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Morecambe will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Wimbledon will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wimbledon: 41.6% – 98.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 1.
- Morecambe is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Wimbledon is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Wimbledon will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Morecambe: Jones C.
(Inactive)
Moore S.
(Inactive)
Schofield R.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Wimbledon: Ball J.
(Injury)
McLean R.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Morecambe: Hope H.
(Inactive)
Ray G.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Wimbledon: Harbottle R.
(Inactive)
Hippolyte M.
(Inactive)
- Last 14 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 23:18 (average 1.6:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Morecambe won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14:9 (average 2.3:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Morecambe won against AFC Wimbledon?
Morecambe has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AFC Wimbledon won against Morecambe?
AFC Wimbledon has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Morecambe - AFC Wimbledon were as follows:
22.10.2024
AFC Wimbledon
-
Morecambe
3:0
17.02.2024
AFC Wimbledon
-
Morecambe
1:1
28.10.2023
Morecambe
-
AFC Wimbledon
4:1
Latest results of Morecambe
Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | MK Dons ✔ | 45 | 24 | 13 | 8 | 85:44 | 41 | 85 |
| 2 | Bromley ✔ | 45 | 23 | 15 | 7 | 68:45 | 23 | 84 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 45 | 22 | 15 | 8 | 66:33 | 33 | 81 |
| 4 | Salford | 45 | 25 | 5 | 15 | 61:51 | 10 | 80 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 45 | 24 | 7 | 14 | 73:51 | 22 | 79 |
| 6 | Grimsby | 45 | 22 | 11 | 12 | 73:49 | 24 | 77 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 45 | 20 | 16 | 9 | 69:55 | 14 | 76 |
| 8 | Swindon | 45 | 22 | 9 | 14 | 69:57 | 12 | 75 |
| 9 | Barnet | 45 | 20 | 13 | 12 | 68:52 | 16 | 73 |
| 10 | Crewe | 45 | 19 | 9 | 17 | 64:58 | 6 | 66 |
| 11 | Oldham | 45 | 17 | 14 | 14 | 57:44 | 13 | 65 |
| 12 | Walsall | 45 | 18 | 11 | 16 | 55:53 | 2 | 65 |
| 13 | Colchester | 45 | 17 | 12 | 16 | 58:48 | 10 | 63 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 45 | 19 | 4 | 22 | 55:64 | -9 | 61 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 45 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 56:57 | -1 | 60 |
| 16 | Accrington | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 47:55 | -8 | 53 |
| 17 | Cheltenham | 45 | 14 | 10 | 21 | 52:75 | -23 | 52 |
| 18 | Gillingham | 45 | 12 | 14 | 19 | 52:72 | -20 | 50 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 45 | 13 | 10 | 22 | 42:68 | -26 | 49 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 45 | 10 | 10 | 25 | 53:78 | -25 | 40 |
| 21 | Newport | 45 | 11 | 7 | 27 | 46:76 | -30 | 40 |
| 22 | Crawley | 45 | 8 | 15 | 22 | 44:68 | -24 | 39 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 45 | 10 | 9 | 26 | 38:66 | -28 | 39 |
| 24 | Barrow | 45 | 9 | 9 | 27 | 44:76 | -32 | 36 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
Clinched Spots for Teams
MK Dons is Qualified for League One
Bromley is Qualified for League One
