Result
25/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Morecambe 32.5% | Draw 26.4% | Hartlepool United 41% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Morecambe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Morecambe's performance.Hartlepool United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hartlepool United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (-9.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Morecambe that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (+9.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hartlepool United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Morecambe - Hartlepool United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.83 ↓ (3.86) |
3.47 ↑ (3.47) |
2.24 ↑ (1.85) |
8.8% (9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Morecambe won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Recently, Hartlepool has had a series of home games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Morecambe won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:20. (average 1.3:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Morecambe won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.3:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Morecambe won against Hartlepool United?
Morecambe has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hartlepool United won against Morecambe?
Hartlepool United has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Morecambe - Hartlepool United were as follows:
04.11.2025
Hartlepool United
-
Morecambe
1:1
20.09.2022
Morecambe
-
Hartlepool United
1:0
Latest results of Morecambe
Latest results of Hartlepool United
English National League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Rochdale | 39 | 30 | 4 | 5 | 77:31 | 46 | 94 |
| 2 | York City | 39 | 28 | 8 | 3 | 104:36 | 68 | 92 |
| 3 | Carlisle | 39 | 24 | 6 | 9 | 75:48 | 27 | 78 |
| 4 | Boreham Wood | 39 | 22 | 8 | 9 | 80:52 | 28 | 74 |
| 5 | Scunthorpe | 39 | 21 | 10 | 8 | 71:55 | 16 | 73 |
| 6 | Forest Green | 39 | 19 | 11 | 9 | 64:45 | 19 | 68 |
| 7 | FC Halifax | 39 | 18 | 8 | 13 | 62:55 | 7 | 62 |
| 8 | Southend | 37 | 17 | 10 | 10 | 61:36 | 25 | 61 |
| 9 | Hartlepool | 38 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 44:40 | 4 | 57 |
| 10 | Woking | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 56:46 | 10 | 52 |
| 11 | Wealdstone | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 52:61 | -9 | 48 |
| 12 | Tamworth | 39 | 13 | 9 | 17 | 52:66 | -14 | 48 |
| 13 | Boston Utd | 39 | 12 | 11 | 16 | 52:61 | -9 | 47 |
| 14 | Altrincham | 38 | 14 | 4 | 20 | 45:56 | -11 | 46 |
| 15 | Solihull Moors | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 61:65 | -4 | 44 |
| 16 | Yeovil | 38 | 13 | 5 | 20 | 41:55 | -14 | 44 |
| 17 | Sutton | 39 | 10 | 13 | 16 | 53:66 | -13 | 43 |
| 18 | Aldershot | 38 | 12 | 6 | 20 | 63:73 | -10 | 42 |
| 19 | Eastleigh | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 48:68 | -20 | 42 |
| 20 | Brackley Town | 39 | 9 | 10 | 20 | 36:63 | -27 | 37 |
| 21 | Gateshead | 39 | 10 | 7 | 22 | 45:82 | -37 | 37 |
| 22 | Morecambe | 39 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 57:81 | -24 | 34 |
| 23 | Braintree | 39 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 31:60 | -29 | 34 |
| 24 | Truro | 39 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 38:67 | -29 | 28 |
Promotion ~ League Two
Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation