Morecambe vs Hartlepool United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

25/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Morecambe
32.5%
Draw
26.4%
Hartlepool United
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.8% 26.5% 49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4% 26% 50.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Morecambe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Morecambe's performance.
  • Hartlepool United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hartlepool United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Morecambe that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hartlepool United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Morecambe - Hartlepool United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.83
    (3.86)
    3.47
    (3.47)
    2.24
    (1.85)
    8.8%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Morecambe won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Recently, Hartlepool has had a series of home games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Morecambe won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:20. (average 1.3:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Morecambe won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.3:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Morecambe - Hartlepool United were as follows:
    04.11.2025 Hartlepool United - Morecambe 1:1
    20.09.2022 Morecambe - Hartlepool United 1:0
    Latest results of Morecambe
    21.03.2026 Yeovil Town - Morecambe 3:2
    14.03.2026 Morecambe - Braintree Town 1:1
    07.03.2026 Sutton United - Morecambe 0:5
    03.03.2026 Wealdstone - Morecambe 2:3
    28.02.2026 Morecambe - York City 0:1
    Latest results of Hartlepool United
    English National League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rochdale39304577:314694
    2York City392883104:366892
    3Carlisle39246975:482778
    4Boreham Wood39228980:522874
    5Scunthorpe392110871:551673
    6Forest Green391911964:451968
    7FC Halifax391881362:55762
    8Southend3717101061:362561
    9Hartlepool3815121144:40457
    10Woking3714101356:461052
    11Wealdstone381391652:61-948
    12Tamworth391391752:66-1448
    13Boston Utd3912111652:61-947
    14Altrincham381442045:56-1146
    15Solihull Moors3811111661:65-444
    16Yeovil381352041:55-1444
    17Sutton3910131653:66-1343
    18Aldershot381262063:73-1042
    19Eastleigh391191948:68-2042
    20Brackley Town399102036:63-2737
    21Gateshead391072245:82-3737
    22Morecambe398102157:81-2434
    23Braintree398102131:60-2934
    24Truro39772538:67-2928

          Promotion ~ League Two
          Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation