Morecambe vs Hartlepool United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
25/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • National League - Round 40
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Ball possession
51%49%
Total shots
913
Shots on target
58
Corner kicks
76
Yellow cards
20
Total shots
913
Shots on target
58
Shots off target
45
Corner kicks
76

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 23', 1 - 0, Edwards G. , Popov C. (A),
  • 34', 1 - 1, Caton C. ,
  • 44', Azeez M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 60', 2 - 1, Nolan J. ,
  • 72', Ogwuru D. , Sangare M. ,
  • 72', Azeez M. , Thomas G. ,
  • 75', 2 - 2, Reid A. , Sinclair T. (A),
  • 76', Dean H. 🟨,
  • 78', Payne L. , Fogarty T. ,
  • 80', Daly M. , Campbell A. ,
  • 80', Caton C. , Folarin S. ,
  • 87', 2 - 3, Reid A. ,
  • 89', Reid A. , Oliver V. ,
  • 90+1', Edwards G. , Jameson K. ,
  • 90+1', Akindileni T. , Tollitt B. ,

Chances of winning


Morecambe
33.6%
Draw
26.3%
Hartlepool United
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.8% 26.5% 49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4% 26% 50.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Morecambe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Morecambe's performance.
  • Hartlepool United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hartlepool United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (-10.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Morecambe that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (+10.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hartlepool United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Morecambe - Hartlepool United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.73
    (3.86)
    3.49
    (3.47)
    2.3
    (1.85)
    8.7%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Morecambe - Hartlepool United?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Hartlepool (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Hartlepool United will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.58%100%.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hartlepool (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Morecambe won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Recently, Hartlepool has had a series of home games.
    • Hartlepool is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Morecambe won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:20. (average 1.3:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Morecambe won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.3:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Morecambe - Hartlepool United were as follows:
    04.11.2025 Hartlepool United - Morecambe 1:1
    20.09.2022 Morecambe - Hartlepool United 1:0
    Latest results of Morecambe
    21.03.2026 Yeovil Town - Morecambe 3:2
    14.03.2026 Morecambe - Braintree Town 1:1
    07.03.2026 Sutton United - Morecambe 0:5
    03.03.2026 Wealdstone - Morecambe 2:3
    28.02.2026 Morecambe - York City 0:1
    Latest results of Hartlepool United
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Rochdale (2)Bye
    2Scunthorpe (5)Southend (6)1 : 0
    3Carlisle (3)Bye
    4Boreham Wood (4)Forest Green (7)1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Rochdale (2)Scunthorpe (5)2 : 1
    2Carlisle (3)Boreham Wood (4)1 : 2

    Final
    1Rochdale (2)Boreham Wood (4)