Southend United vs Morecambe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English National League
Result
5:1
14/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • National League - Round 33
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Ball possession
59%41%
Total shots
155
Shots on target
112
Corner kicks
93
Yellow cards
11
Total shots
155
Shots on target
112
Shots off target
43
Corner kicks
93

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 22', 1 - 0, Scott-Morriss G. ⚽, Boyes H. (A),
  • 32', 2 - 0, Boyes H. ⚽,
  • 44', Azeez M. 🟨,
  • 44', Boyes H. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 53', 3 - 0, Dallas A. ⚽, Walker J. (A),
  • 58', 3 - 1, Sangare M. ⚽,
  • 61', Thomas G. ↓, Edwards G. ↑,
  • 61', Sangare M. ↓, Jameson K. ↑,
  • 62', Thomas G. ↓, Edwards G. ↑,
  • 62', 4 - 1, Walker J. ⚽,
  • 76', Walker J. ↓, Kendall C. ↑,
  • 76', Dallas A. ↓, Hopper T. ↑,
  • 76', Miley C. ↓, Morton ↑,
  • 80', Dean H. ↓, Lewis P. ↑,
  • 80', Songo'o Y. ↓, Tollitt B. ↑,
  • 85', Chambers-Parillon L. ↓, Austin S. ↑,
  • 85', Boyes H. ↓, Bridge J. ↑,
  • 90+7', 5 - 1, Hopper T. ⚽,

Chances of winning


Southend United
67.6%		Draw
18.7%		Morecambe
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.1% 18.4% 11.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.5% 17.5% 11%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Southend United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Morecambe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southend United than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Southend United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
    •

    Southend United - Morecambe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.37 ↑
    (1.31)    		 4.97 ↓
    (5.01)    		 6.78 ↓
    (8.04)    		 7.9%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Southend United - Morecambe?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1 - Morecambe (2.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Morecambe (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • EH -2 - Morecambe (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Morecambe (2.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Morecambe (4.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Morecambe (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 8 and 23 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Southend won 1.
    • Southend has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Morecambe's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Morecambe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Southend has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Southend is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Southend won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Southend won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.5:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Southend United - Morecambe were as follows:
    18.10.2025 Morecambe - Southend United 0:3
    Latest results of Southend United
    07.02.2026 Scunthorpe United - Southend United 1:0
    31.01.2026 Chatham Town - Southend United 0:1
    27.01.2026 Rochdale - Southend United 2:1 ✺
    24.01.2026 Boston United - Southend United 3:3 ✺
    20.01.2026 Southend United - Eastleigh 4:1 ✺
    Latest results of Morecambe
    10.02.2026 Morecambe - Tamworth 2:2
    07.02.2026 Morecambe - Truro City 1:2 ✺
    03.02.2026 Altrincham - Morecambe 1:1 ✺
    24.01.2026 Morecambe - Solihull Moors 0:2 ✺
    21.01.2026 Halifax Town - Morecambe 1:0 ✺
    English National League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1York City443284110:4070104
    2Rochdale44326685:3946102
    3Carlisle44278983:513289
    4Boreham Wood442591091:583384
    5Scunthorpe442312976:601681
    6Forest Green4422121076:502678
    7Southend4220121070:403072
    8FC Halifax4419101566:60667
    9Hartlepool4316141347:52-562
    10Woking4315141466:531359
    11Tamworth4416101857:69-1258
    12Wealdstone431591964:70-654
    13Solihull Moors4313131767:68-152
    14Boston Utd4313131756:65-952
    15Altrincham441562350:63-1351
    16Yeovil441562347:61-1451
    17Gateshead441482253:84-3150
    18Sutton4411141958:76-1847
    19Aldershot431372368:81-1346
    20Eastleigh4412102255:79-2446
    21Brackley Town ✔ 449122338:71-3339
    22Morecambe ✔ 449112466:95-2938
    23Braintree ✔ 448122436:69-3336
    24Truro ✔ 447102740:71-3131

          Promotion ~ League Two
          Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Brackley Town is Relegated to
    Morecambe is Relegated to
    Braintree is Relegated to
    Truro is Relegated to
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