Morecambe vs Southend United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English National League Morecambe - Southend United
18/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Morecambe
13.9%
Draw
21.3%
Southend United
64.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.1% 24.4% 57.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.2% 21.9% 51.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Morecambe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • Southend United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Southend United's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Morecambe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southend United than the current prediction. (-13.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Southend United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Morecambe - Southend United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.49
    (5.08)
    4.4
    (3.78)
    1.44
    (1.6)
    7.6%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Morecambe won 4.
    • Morecambe is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Southend has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Southend may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Southend is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Morecambe won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:8. (average 1.4:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Morecambe won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.2:1).
    Latest results of Morecambe
    04.10.2025 Tamworth - Morecambe 1:1
    30.09.2025 Morecambe - Gateshead 2:5
    27.09.2025 Truro City - Morecambe 5:0
    24.09.2025 Morecambe - Halifax Town 1:2
    Latest results of Southend United
    English National League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rochdale12100224:71730
    2Forest Green1485121:81329
    3Carlisle1492325:151029
    4Scunthorpe1384124:111328
    5Boreham Wood1384125:131228
    6FC Halifax1473422:21124
    7York City1264224:121222
    8Southend1364320:11922
    9Tamworth1464417:18-122
    10Wealdstone1454520:18219
    11Yeovil1461717:20-319
    12Hartlepool1446413:10318
    13Eastleigh1353515:15018
    14Gateshead1452722:32-1017
    15Boston Utd1344514:17-316
    16Brackley Town1344510:13-316
    17Solihull Moors1435615:26-1114
    18Woking1434717:19-213
    19Aldershot1434727:31-413
    20Altrincham1441917:22-513
    21Braintree1433813:22-912
    22Sutton1415815:25-108
    23Truro14221013:24-118
    24Morecambe1222816:36-208

          Promotion ~ League Two
          Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation