Moreton City Excelsior vs Campbelltown City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Australian Cup Moreton City Excelsior - Campbelltown City
Result
5:1
30/07/2024 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AUSTRALIA: Australia Cup - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Gwynn-Jones R. , Holliday B. (A),
  • 9', Walters M. 🟨,
  • 9', Halliday J. 🟨,
  • 9', Smith D. 🟨,
  • 22', 2 - 0, Centofanti C. (Own goal),
  • 37', 2 - 1, Marino M. , Mullen A. (A),
  • 45+1', Mullen D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Maher C. 🟨,
  • 46', Allwright J. 🟨,
  • 52', 3 - 1, Walters M. , Scott J. (A),
  • 58', 4 - 1, Walters M. , Kierpal Z. (A),
  • 60', Scott J. , Murai S. ,
  • 64', 5 - 1, Kierpal Z. , Murai S. (A),
  • 72', Mullen D. , Boffa J. ,
  • 72', Marino M. , Graves N. ,
  • 72', Allwright J. , Barresi J. ,
  • 74', Gwynn-Jones R. , McInally J. ,
  • 74', Holliday B. , Knight S. ,
  • 80', Donnelly-Fagan E. 🟨,
  • 81', Walters M. , Byrne L. ,
  • 81', Maher C. , Edmiston W. ,
  • 84', Mori J. , Piscioneri A. ,
  • 88', Maricic J. , Orrico M. ,
  • 90+3', Bernardi N. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Moreton City Excelsior
33.4%
Draw
24.8%
Campbelltown City
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.5% 24.7% 22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9% 23.2% 21.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Moreton City Excelsior has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Moreton City Excelsior's form might have worsened.
  • Campbelltown City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Campbelltown City's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moreton City Excelsior than the current prediction. (+22.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Moreton City Excelsior, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Campbelltown City than the current prediction. (-20.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Campbelltown City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Moreton City Excelsior - Campbelltown City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.74
    (1.71)
    3.74
    (3.63)
    2.17
    (3.93)
    9.4%
    (11.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Moreton City Excelsior - Campbelltown City?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Moreton City will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Campbelltown City will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Campbelltown City: 19.5%68.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Moreton City in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Campbelltown City is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Campbelltown City could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Draw
    Main

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    13Adelaide Croatia RaidersCooks Hill United2 : 3
    14Newcastle JetsAdelaide United2 : 1
    15Canberra CroatiaNE Metrostars0 : 4
    16SD RaidersMacarthur FC0 : 5

    1/8-finals
    1South MelbourneAuckland FC
    2Sydney UtdSydney FC
    3Nunawading CityWellington Phoenix
    4Heidelberg UtdWS Wanderers
    5Avondale FCAPIA Leichhardt
    6Brisbane CityOlympic Kingsway
    7Cooks Hill UnitedNewcastle Jets
    8NE MetrostarsMacarthur FC

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2