Result
2:3
30/08/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- African Nations Championship - Play Offs - Final
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Azam Sports 1, CANAL+ Sport 1, DStv Now, New World Sport 5, SuperSport Maximo 360 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA 6 |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect |
 Cameroon | CRTV Sports, Media Sport Info |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect |
 Kenya | KBC Channel 1 |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Madagascar | MATV |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Philippines | beIN Connect |
 Republic-of-the-congo | Tele Congo |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 South-africa | SABC Plus, SABC Sport, SuperSport Variety 4 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect |
 Uganda | FUFA TV, UBC TV |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.27 | 0.84 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (258/316) | 79% (312/393) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.27 | 0.84 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.10 | 2.44 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 2 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (258/316) | 79% (312/393) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (14/37) | 52% (26/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (44/67) | 60% (71/118) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (4/12) | 15% (4/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.73 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (8/8) | 59% (13/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 20 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.44 | 2.10 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.56 | 0.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 9', 1 - 0, Manohantsoa F. ⚽, Razafimahatana M. (A),
- 17', Belammari Y. 🟨,
- 27', 1 - 1, Mehri Y. ⚽, Baba K. (A),
- 29', Manohantsoa F. 🟨,
- 30', Randrianantenaina H. 🟨,
- 44', 1 - 2, Lamlioui O. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Randrianantenaina H. ↓, Andrianarimanana A. ↑,
- 46', Randriamanampsioa N. ↓, Rakotoson M. ↑,
- 46', Razafimahatana M. ↓, Rakotondraibe T. ↑,
- 68', 2 - 2, Rakotondraibe T. ⚽, Manohantsoa F. (A),
- 79', Baba K. ↓, Errahouli S. ↑,
- 79', Bougrine S. ↓, Ouarkhane Alt K. ↑,
- 80', 2 - 3, Lamlioui O. ⚽, Hrimat M. (A),
- 82', Lamlioui O. 🟨,
- 86', Ratsimbazafy H. ↓, Hasinirina O. ↑,
- 86', Mehri Y. ↓, Moufid M. ↑,
- 90', Lamlioui O. ↓, Souane A. ↑,
- 90', Khairi A. ↓, Arrassi B. ↑,
- 90+2', Ranaivoson J. ↓, Rajaonarivelo R. ↑,
- 90+3', 🟨,
- 90+3', Moufid M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Madagascar
7.7% | Draw
20.4% | Morocco
71.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Madagascar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Madagascar's form might have worsened.Morocco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Morocco's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Madagascar than the current prediction. (+8.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Madagascar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morocco than the current prediction. (-12.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Morocco, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Madagascar - Morocco Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
15.43 ↑
(5.39) |
5.62 ↑
(3.54) |
1.46 ↓
(1.64) |
-7%
(7.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Madagascar - Morocco?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Morocco will win
(7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Morocco will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- In this match, Morocco is the clear favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Madagascar won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Madagascar won against Morocco?
Madagascar has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Morocco won against Madagascar?
Morocco has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Madagascar - Morocco were as follows:
Latest results of Madagascar
Latest results of Morocco
Draw
Final tournamentQuarter-finals| 1 | Kenya (A1) | Madagascar (B2) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Sudan (D1) | Algeria (C2) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Tanzania (B1) | Morocco (A2) | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Uganda (C1) | Senegal (D2) | 0 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Madagascar (B2) | Sudan (D1) | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Morocco (A2) | Senegal (D2) | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Madagascar (B2) | Morocco (A2) | 2 : 3 |
3rd place| 2 | Sudan (D1) | Senegal (D2) | 1 : 2 |
