Result
2:1 penalties
26/08/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- African Nations Championship - Play Offs - Semi-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 France | beIN Sports 1 |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 South-africa | SABC Plus |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 1.03 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (448/566) | 77% (275/357) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 1.03 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 1.95 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (448/566) | 77% (275/357) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (43/81) | 46% (33/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (81/137) | 57% (46/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 5% (1/20) | 24% (5/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.75 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 40 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 22 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 85% (11/13) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.95 | 0.93 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.95 | -0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 8', Cisse M. 🟨,
- 16', 0 - 1, Samb L. ⚽, Gueye L. (A),
- 23', 1 - 1, Bougrine S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Gomis C. ↓, Cisse V. ↑,
- 47', Koita M. 🟨,
- 53', Louadni M. 🟨,
- 65', Baba K. ↓, Errahouli S. ↑,
- 65', Mchakhchekh M. ↓, Khairi A. ↑,
- 77', Koita M. ↓, Sarr A. ↑,
- 77', Gueye L. ↓, Boye I. ↑,
- 84', Cisse M. ↓, Fonseca B. ↑,
- 90+1', Ba O. ↓, Niang A. ↑,
- Extra Time (0 - 0)
- 97', Bougrine S. ↓, Moufid M. ↑,
- 99', Ly M. Y. ↓, Kane I. ↑,
- Penalties (5 - 3)
- 1, Hrimat M. (Pen),
- 1, Ndiaye S. M. (Pen),
- 2, Lamlioui O. (Pen),
- 2, Cisse V. (Pen),
- 3, Khairi A. (Pen),
- 3, Ciss B. (Pen),
- 4, Bach A. (Pen),
- 4, Ba D. (Pen),
- 5, Mehri Y. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Morocco
48% | Draw
34.1% | Senegal
17.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Morocco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)Senegal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Senegal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morocco than the current prediction. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Senegal than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Senegal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Morocco - Senegal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.97 ↓
(2.1) |
2.76 ↓
(2.88) |
5.13 ↑
(3.7) |
6.6%
(9.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
What is the prediction for Morocco - Senegal?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Morocco will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Senegal will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Morocco: 46.4% – 99%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Morocco (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:-1.
Preview Facts
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- Senegal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Morocco might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Morocco won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Morocco won against Senegal?
Morocco has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Senegal won against Morocco?
Senegal has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Morocco - Senegal were as follows:
Latest results of Morocco
Latest results of Senegal
Draw
Final tournamentQuarter-finals| 1 | Kenya (A1) | Madagascar (B2) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Sudan (D1) | Algeria (C2) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Tanzania (B1) | Morocco (A2) | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Uganda (C1) | Senegal (D2) | 0 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Madagascar (B2) | Sudan (D1) | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Morocco (A2) | Senegal (D2) | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Madagascar (B2) | Morocco (A2) | 2 : 3 |
3rd place| 2 | Sudan (D1) | Senegal (D2) | 1 : 2 |
