Senegal vs Morocco, Africa Cup of Nations – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0 ET
18/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Africa Cup of Nations - Play Offs - Final
  • Where to Watch on TV:
afghanistanAfghanistanMeraj Sport, Tolo TV
africaAfricaAfroSport TV Africa, Azam Sports 1, Azam Sports 2, CANAL+ CAN, DStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport 3, New World Sport 4, New World Sport 5, New World Sport 6, New World Sport 7, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport PSL
andorraAndorrabeIN Sports 1
angolaAngolaTPA 2
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 4, beIN Sports MENA Max 4, beIN Sports MENA Max 4
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
austriaAustriaDAZN
beninBeninBenin TV
brazilBrazilBand Play, BandSports, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 2
burkina-fasoBurkina-fasoRTB
cameroonCameroonCanal 2 International, CRTV Sports, Dash TV, Equinoxe, Media Sport Info
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chinaChinaZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaWin play, Win Sports
comorosComorosORTC
cote-d-ivoireCote-d-ivoireNCI, RTI 3
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3
equatorial-guineaEquatorial-guineaTVGE Internacional
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free, M6
gabonGabonGroupe Gabon Televisions
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Magenta Sport, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
greeceGreeceERT 2, ERT Sports 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
israelIsrael5 PLUS Israel
italyItalySportitalia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanSport+
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2, ART Sport 3
laosLaosbeIN Connect
madagascarMadagascarMATV
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
maliMaliORTM
mauritiusMauritiusMBC 11
mexicoMexicoClaro Sports, FOX One, Fox Sports
moroccoMoroccoArryadia TNT, SNRT Live
mozambiqueMozambiqueTVM 1, TV Miramar
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport 5, Ziggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaNTA Sports, SuperSport Football Plus
norwayNorwayVG+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
portugalPortugalSport TV3
republic-of-the-congoRepublic-of-the-congoTele Congo
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
senegalSenegalRTS 1, RTS 2
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 1
south-africaSouth-africaSABC 2, SABC Plus, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport PSL
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 2
surinameSurinameQN Sports, SCCN
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
tanzaniaTanzaniaZBC Tanzania
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
togoTogoTVT
turkeyTurkeyExxen
ugandaUgandaUBC TV
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomChannel 4, E4
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
zambiaZambiaZNBC 1

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.752.19
Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
1420
Shots on target
73
Big chances
43
Corner kicks
810
Passes
81% (386/479)81% (373/461)
Yellow cards
52
Expected goals (xG)
1.752.19
xG on target (xGOT)
2.210.95
Total shots
1420
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
46
Blocked shots
311
Shots inside the box
1116
Shots outside the box
34
Hit the woodwork
01
Big chances
43
Corner kicks
810
Touches in opposition box
2130
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free kicks
1725
Passes
81% (386/479)81% (373/461)
Long passes
44% (31/70)41% (26/63)
Passes in final third
58% (61/105)69% (92/133)
Crosses
24% (4/17)28% (9/32)
Expected assists (xA)
0.451.09
Throw ins
2525
Fouls
2517
Tackles
74% (17/23)57% (17/30)
Duels won
7679
Clearances
2537
Interceptions
59
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
36
xGOT faced
0.952.21
Goals prevented
0.951.21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 24', Camara L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 77', Mendy A. , Seck A. ,
  • 77', Camara L. , Sarr I. ,
  • 77', Ndiaye I. , Mbaye I. ,
  • 80', El Kaabi A. , En Nesyri Y. ,
  • 80', El Khannouss B. , Targhalline O. ,
  • 89', Masina A. , El Yamiq J. ,
  • 90+3', Jackson N. , Ndiaye C. ,
  • 90+4', Saibari I. , Salah-Eddine A. ,
  • 90+9', Sarr I. 🟨,
  • 90+10', Diouf M. 🟨,
  • 90+21', Salah-Eddine A. 🟨,
  • 90+21', Mendy E. 🟨,
  • 90+24', Diaz B. (Penalty Awarded),
  • Extra Time (1 - 0)
  • 94', 1 - 0, Gueye P. , Gueye I. (A),
  • 98', Diaz B. , Akhomach I. ,
  • 98', Mazraoui N. , Igamane H. ,
  • 106', Diouf M. , Jakobs I. ,
  • 112', En Nesyri Y. 🟨,
  • 113', Sarr M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Senegal
24.4%
Draw
35%
Morocco
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27% 31.8% 41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26% 30.6% 42.8%

Senegal - Morocco Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.91
(3.55)
2.72
(3.02)
2.36
(2.33)
4.8%
(4.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Senegal - Morocco?
  • Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Senegal will win (votes: 8 - 27.6%). Morocco will win (votes: 8 - 27.6%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 44.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.7%62.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Senegal (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.25 - Morocco (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • TQ, OT - Senegal (2.38) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • DC - Senegal (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Senegal (2.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Senegal (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Morocco (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams have recently enjoyed a winning streak.
    • Morocco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Morocco might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Senegal: Camara I. (Muscle Injury) Diao A. (Thigh Injury) Diarra H. (Yellow Cards) Koulibaly K. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Morocco: Ounahi A. (Calf Injury)
    • There are questionable in Morocco: Saiss R. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Senegal won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Senegal - Morocco were as follows:
    26.08.2025 Morocco - Senegal 2:1
    Latest results of Senegal
    14.01.2026 Senegal - Egypt 1:0
    09.01.2026 Mali - Senegal 0:1
    03.01.2026 Senegal - Sudan 3:1
    30.12.2025 Benin - Senegal 0:3
    27.12.2025 Senegal - D.R. Congo 1:1
    Latest results of Morocco
    14.01.2026 Nigeria - Morocco 0:1
    09.01.2026 Cameroon - Morocco 0:2
    04.01.2026 Morocco - Tanzania 1:0
    29.12.2025 Zambia - Morocco 0:3
    26.12.2025 Morocco - Mali 1:1
    Draw
    Final tournament

    1/8-finals
    1Mali (A2)Tunisia (C2)2 : 1
    2Senegal (D1)Sudan (E3)3 : 1
    3Egypt (B1)Benin (D3)3 : 1
    4Ivory Coast (F1)Burkina Faso (E2)3 : 0
    5Algeria (E1)D.R. Congo (D2)1 : 0
    6Nigeria (C1)Mozambique (F3)4 : 0
    7South Africa (B2)Cameroon (F2)1 : 2
    8Morocco (A1)Tanzania (C3)1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Mali (A2)Senegal (D1)0 : 1
    2Egypt (B1)Ivory Coast (F1)3 : 2
    3Algeria (E1)Nigeria (C1)0 : 2
    4Cameroon (F2)Morocco (A1)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Senegal (D1)Egypt (B1)1 : 0
    2Nigeria (C1)Morocco (A1)0 : 1

    Final
    1Senegal (D1)Morocco (A1)1 : 0

    3rd place
    2Egypt (B1)Nigeria (C1)0 : 1