Morocco W vs Mali W, Africa Cup of Nations Women – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Africa Cup of Nations Women Morocco W - Mali W
Result
3:1
18/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Africa Cup of Nations Women - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 3, SuperSport PSL
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
brazilBrazilBandSports
cameroonCameroonCRTV Sports
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
cote-d-ivoireCote-d-ivoireRTI 3
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, Now Player
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
israelIsrael5 PLUS Israel
kenyaKenyaGotv
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
moroccoMoroccoArryadia TNT, SNRT Live
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport LaLiga, Supersport Maximo 1
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
portugalPortugalSport TV4
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 2
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 1
south-africaSouth-africaSABC 3, SABC Plus, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport PSL
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.611.44
Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
76% (318/420)61% (141/230)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
2.611.44
xG on target (xGOT)
2.241.61
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
125
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
3012
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
138
Passes
76% (318/420)61% (141/230)
Long passes
49% (21/43)22% (11/49)
Passes in final third
65% (62/96)51% (30/59)
Crosses
25% (5/20)27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.880.72
Throw-ins
2427
Fouls
813
Tackles
59% (16/27)77% (23/30)
Duels won
6758
Clearances
1730
Interceptions
99
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
02
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
1.612.24
Goals prevented
0.61-0.76

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Jraidi I. , Ouzraoui Diki S. (A),
  • 24', Benzina N. 🟨,
  • 41', Dembele F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Badri N. , Nakkach E. ,
  • 46', Mrabet Y. K. , Mssoudy S. ,
  • 70', Tagnaout F. , Saoud I. ,
  • 79', 2 - 0, Jraidi I. (Pen),
  • 82', Sogore C. , Traore M. ,
  • 84', Jraidi I. , Chapelle K. ,
  • 85', Diabate K. , Diarra S. ,
  • 87', Traore A. 🟨,
  • 89', Diarra A. , Baradji D. ,
  • 89', 3 - 0, Chapelle K. , Saoud I. (A),
  • 90+1', Ouzraoui Diki S. , El Ghazouani I. ,
  • 90+7', 3 - 1, Traore A. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Morocco W
71.7%
Draw
19.1%
Mali W
9.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.1% 20.1% 15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.7% 18.8% 14.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Morocco W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Morocco W's performance.
  • Mali W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mali W might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morocco W than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mali W than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mali W could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Morocco W - Mali W Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.31
    (1.41)
    4.93
    (4.5)
    10.21
    (5.73)
    6.2%
    (10.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • Morocco is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Mali is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Morocco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Morocco is the undeniable favorite.
    • We predict that Morocco will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Morocco won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Morocco W - Mali W were as follows:
    03.12.2024 Morocco W - Mali W 1:0
    Latest results of Morocco W
    12.07.2025 Morocco W - Senegal W 1:0
    09.07.2025 D.R. Congo W - Morocco W 2:4
    05.07.2025 Morocco W - Zambia W 2:2
    19.06.2025 Morocco W - Malawi W 4:2
    08.04.2025 Morocco W - Cameroon W 0:1
    Latest results of Mali W
    14.07.2025 South Africa W - Mali W 4:0
    11.07.2025 Ghana W - Mali W 1:1
    07.07.2025 Mali W - Tanzania W 1:0
    31.05.2025 Mali W - Liberia W 0:1
    29.05.2025 Mali W - Sierra Leone W 0:1
    Draw
    Final tournament

    Quarter-finals
    1Morocco W (A1)Mali W (C3)3 : 1
    2Algeria W (B2)Ghana W (C2)0 : 1
    3Nigeria W (B1)Zambia W (A2)5 : 0
    4South Africa W (C1)Senegal W (A3)1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Morocco W (A1)Ghana W (C2)2 : 1
    2Nigeria W (B1)South Africa W (C1)2 : 1

    Final
    1Morocco W (A1)Nigeria W (B1)

    3rd place
    2Ghana W (C2)South Africa W (C1)