Result
3:1
18/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Africa Cup of Nations Women - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 3, SuperSport PSL |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Brazil | BandSports |
 Cameroon | CRTV Sports |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Cote-d-ivoire | RTI 3 |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2 |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 1, Now Player |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, Vidio |
 Israel | 5 PLUS Israel |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Morocco | Arryadia TNT, SNRT Live |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Nigeria | SuperSport LaLiga, Supersport Maximo 1 |
 Philippines | beIN Connect |
 Portugal | Sport TV4 |
 Singapore | beIN Sports 2 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 South-africa | SABC 3, SABC Plus, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport PSL |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.61 | 1.44 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (318/420) | 61% (141/230) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.61 | 1.44 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.24 | 1.61 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (318/420) | 61% (141/230) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (21/43) | 22% (11/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (62/96) | 51% (30/59) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 27% (4/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.72 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (16/27) | 77% (23/30) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 67 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.61 | 2.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.61 | -0.76 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Jraidi I. ⚽, Ouzraoui Diki S. (A),
- 24', Benzina N. 🟨,
- 41', Dembele F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Badri N. ↓, Nakkach E. ↑,
- 46', Mrabet Y. K. ↓, Mssoudy S. ↑,
- 70', Tagnaout F. ↓, Saoud I. ↑,
- 79', 2 - 0, Jraidi I. (Pen),
- 82', Sogore C. ↓, Traore M. ↑,
- 84', Jraidi I. ↓, Chapelle K. ↑,
- 85', Diabate K. ↓, Diarra S. ↑,
- 87', Traore A. 🟨,
- 89', Diarra A. ↓, Baradji D. ↑,
- 89', 3 - 0, Chapelle K. ⚽, Saoud I. (A),
- 90+1', Ouzraoui Diki S. ↓, El Ghazouani I. ↑,
- 90+7', 3 - 1, Traore A. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Morocco W
71.7% | Draw
19.1% | Mali W
9.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Morocco W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Morocco W's performance.Mali W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mali W might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morocco W than the current prediction. (-3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mali W than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mali W could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Morocco W - Mali W Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.31 ↓
(1.41) |
4.93 ↑
(4.5) |
10.21 ↑
(5.73) |
6.2%
(10.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- Morocco is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Mali is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Morocco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Morocco is the undeniable favorite.
- We predict that Morocco will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Morocco won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Morocco W won against Mali W?
Morocco W has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mali W won against Morocco W?
Mali W has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Morocco W - Mali W were as follows:
03.12.2024
Morocco W
-
Mali W
1:0
Latest results of Morocco W
Draw
Final tournamentQuarter-finals| 1 | Morocco W (A1) | Mali W (C3) | 3 : 1 |
| 2 | Algeria W (B2) | Ghana W (C2) | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Nigeria W (B1) | Zambia W (A2) | 5 : 0 |
| 4 | South Africa W (C1) | Senegal W (A3) | 1 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Morocco W (A1) | Ghana W (C2) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Nigeria W (B1) | South Africa W (C1) | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Morocco W (A1) | Nigeria W (B1) | |
3rd place| 2 | Ghana W (C2) | South Africa W (C1) | |
