Result
3:1
18/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Africa Cup of Nations Women - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Africa | DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 3, SuperSport PSL |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD |
Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
Brazil | BandSports |
Cameroon | CRTV Sports |
Canada | beIN Connect |
Cote-d-ivoire | RTI 3 |
Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2 |
Hong-kong | beIN Sports 1, Now Player |
Indonesia | beIN Connect, Vidio |
Israel | 5 PLUS Israel |
Kenya | Gotv |
Laos | beIN Connect |
Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
Morocco | Arryadia TNT, SNRT Live |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
Nigeria | SuperSport LaLiga, Supersport Maximo 1 |
Philippines | beIN Connect |
Portugal | Sport TV4 |
Singapore | beIN Sports 2 |
Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
South-africa | SABC 3, SABC Plus, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport PSL |
Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine |
Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.61 | 1.44 |
Ball Possession |
---|
64% | 36% |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
76% (318/420) | 61% (141/230) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.61 | 1.44 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.24 | 1.61 |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
12 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
30 | 12 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
76% (318/420) | 61% (141/230) |
Long passes |
---|
49% (21/43) | 22% (11/49) |
Passes in final third |
---|
65% (62/96) | 51% (30/59) |
Crosses |
---|
25% (5/20) | 27% (4/15) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.88 | 0.72 |
Throw-ins |
---|
24 | 27 |
Fouls |
---|
8 | 13 |
Tackles |
---|
59% (16/27) | 77% (23/30) |
Duels won |
---|
67 | 58 |
Clearances |
---|
17 | 30 |
Interceptions |
---|
9 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 2 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.61 | 2.24 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.61 | -0.76 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Jraidi I. ⚽, Ouzraoui Diki S. (A),
- 24', Benzina N. 🟨,
- 41', Dembele F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Badri N. ↓, Nakkach E. ↑,
- 46', Mrabet Y. K. ↓, Mssoudy S. ↑,
- 70', Tagnaout F. ↓, Saoud I. ↑,
- 79', 2 - 0, Jraidi I. (Pen),
- 82', Sogore C. ↓, Traore M. ↑,
- 84', Jraidi I. ↓, Chapelle K. ↑,
- 85', Diabate K. ↓, Diarra S. ↑,
- 87', Traore A. 🟨,
- 89', Diarra A. ↓, Baradji D. ↑,
- 89', 3 - 0, Chapelle K. ⚽, Saoud I. (A),
- 90+1', Ouzraoui Diki S. ↓, El Ghazouani I. ↑,
- 90+7', 3 - 1, Traore A. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Morocco W 71.7% | Draw 19.1% | Mali W 9.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Morocco W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Morocco W's performance.Mali W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mali W might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morocco W than the current prediction. (-3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mali W than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mali W could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Morocco W - Mali W Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.31 ↓ (1.41) |
4.93 ↑ (4.5) |
10.21 ↑ (5.73) |
6.2% (10.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- Morocco is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Mali is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Morocco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Morocco is the undeniable favorite.
- We predict that Morocco will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Morocco won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Morocco W won against Mali W?
Morocco W has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mali W won against Morocco W?
Mali W has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Morocco W - Mali W were as follows:
03.12.2024
Morocco W
-
Mali W
1:0
Latest results of Morocco W
Draw
Final tournamentQuarter-finals1 | Morocco W (A1) | Mali W (C3) | 3 : 1 |
2 | Algeria W (B2) | Ghana W (C2) | 0 : 1 |
3 | Nigeria W (B1) | Zambia W (A2) | 5 : 0 |
4 | South Africa W (C1) | Senegal W (A3) | 1 : 0 |
Semi-finals1 | Morocco W (A1) | Ghana W (C2) | 2 : 1 |
2 | Nigeria W (B1) | South Africa W (C1) | 2 : 1 |
Final1 | Morocco W (A1) | Nigeria W (B1) | |
3rd place2 | Ghana W (C2) | South Africa W (C1) | |