Result
1:1
28/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NPL Premier Division - Round 33
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 31', 0 - 1, Newton S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 34', 1 - 1, Hooper J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Morpeth Town
41.6% | Draw
26.2% | Ashton United
32.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Morpeth Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Morpeth Town's performance.Ashton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ashton United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morpeth Town than the current prediction. (-5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ashton United than the current prediction. (+5%)
Morpeth Town - Ashton United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↓
(2.57) |
3.49 ↓
(3.55) |
2.85 ↑
(2.47) |
9.1%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Morpeth won 1.
- Morpeth is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Ashton has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Ashton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Ashton has had a series of home games.
- Morpeth might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Morpeth won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:21. (average 1.5:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Morpeth won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.7:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Morpeth Town won against Ashton United?
Morpeth Town has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ashton United won against Morpeth Town?
Ashton United has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Morpeth Town - Ashton United were as follows:
15.11.2025
Ashton United
-
Morpeth Town
3:2
14.12.2024
Morpeth Town
-
Ashton United
1:4
07.09.2024
Ashton United
-
Morpeth Town
0:1
20.01.2024
Morpeth Town
-
Ashton United
3:3
03.10.2023
Ashton United
-
Morpeth Town
4:3
Latest results of Morpeth Town
Latest results of Ashton United
English NPL Premier Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC United | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 53:31 | 22 | 65 |
| 2 | Hebburn Town | 35 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 62:37 | 25 | 64 |
| 3 | Hednesford | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 49:28 | 21 | 64 |
| 4 | Warrington Rylands | 35 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 51:38 | 13 | 57 |
| 5 | Stockton | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 55:39 | 16 | 55 |
| 6 | Gainsborough | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 46:34 | 12 | 55 |
| 7 | Lancaster | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45:39 | 6 | 51 |
| 8 | Warrington | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 40:54 | -14 | 47 |
| 9 | Bamber Bridge | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 47:40 | 7 | 46 |
| 10 | Ashton Utd | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 39:45 | -6 | 45 |
| 11 | Cleethorpes | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 47:39 | 8 | 44 |
| 12 | Guiseley | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 37:44 | -7 | 43 |
| 13 | Ilkeston | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 44:48 | -4 | 41 |
| 14 | Leek | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 39:48 | -9 | 40 |
| 15 | Whitby | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 37:45 | -8 | 38 |
| 16 | Rushall | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 39:52 | -13 | 38 |
| 17 | Prescot | 35 | 7 | 15 | 13 | 35:43 | -8 | 36 |
| 18 | Morpeth | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 33:45 | -12 | 36 |
| 19 | Workington | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 35:49 | -14 | 36 |
| 20 | Hyde | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 48:60 | -12 | 33 |
| 21 | Stocksbridge | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 33:56 | -23 | 32 |
Promotion ~ National League North
Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )
Relegation
