Result
2:1
13/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NPL Premier Division - Round 22
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, Martin G. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 79', 1 - 1, Bollado N. ⚽,
- 90+3', 2 - 1, Heywood A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Hebburn Town 52.2% | Draw 24.4% | Morpeth Town 23.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hebburn Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)Morpeth Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hebburn Town than the current prediction. (+8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hebburn Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morpeth Town than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Hebburn Town - Morpeth Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.75 ↑ (1.64) |
3.74 ↓ (3.9) |
3.9 ↓ (4.47) |
9.5% (9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: ) and 15).
- Hebburn is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- In recent matches, Morpeth has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Morpeth may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Hebburn is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Hebburn will win today's game, with odds of 1.77.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Hebburn won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Hebburn won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Hebburn Town won against Morpeth Town?
Hebburn Town has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Morpeth Town won against Hebburn Town?
Morpeth Town has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hebburn Town - Morpeth Town were as follows:
09.09.2025
Morpeth Town
-
Hebburn Town
1:1
14.01.2025
Hebburn Town
-
Morpeth Town
2:3
10.09.2024
Morpeth Town
-
Hebburn Town
0:0
Latest results of Hebburn Town
Latest results of Morpeth Town
English NPL Premier Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hebburn Town | 38 | 21 | 10 | 7 | 71:40 | 31 | 73 |
| 2 | Hednesford | 38 | 21 | 10 | 7 | 58:32 | 26 | 73 |
| 3 | FC United | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 62:36 | 26 | 71 |
| 4 | Warrington Rylands | 39 | 18 | 13 | 8 | 58:40 | 18 | 67 |
| 5 | Gainsborough | 38 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 48:40 | 8 | 59 |
| 6 | Stockton | 37 | 17 | 10 | 10 | 58:47 | 11 | 58 |
| 7 | Lancaster | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 53:44 | 9 | 58 |
| 8 | Cleethorpes | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 56:46 | 10 | 54 |
| 9 | Leek | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 46:50 | -4 | 52 |
| 10 | Ashton Utd | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 43:50 | -7 | 51 |
| 11 | Bamber Bridge | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 51:48 | 3 | 50 |
| 12 | Ilkeston | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 49:52 | -3 | 48 |
| 13 | Warrington | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 41:58 | -17 | 48 |
| 14 | Guiseley | 39 | 13 | 8 | 18 | 45:55 | -10 | 47 |
| 15 | Rushall | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 47:59 | -12 | 44 |
| 16 | Whitby | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 41:52 | -11 | 42 |
| 17 | Hyde | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 54:62 | -8 | 41 |
| 18 | Workington | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 40:55 | -15 | 40 |
| 19 | Morpeth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 36:53 | -17 | 39 |
| 20 | Prescot | 38 | 7 | 15 | 16 | 36:49 | -13 | 36 |
| 21 | Stocksbridge | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 38:63 | -25 | 35 |
Promotion ~ National League North
Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )
Relegation