Result
3:1
10/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NPL Premier Division - Round 26
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 11', 0 - 1, Brayson J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 50', 1 - 1, Parker S. ⚽,
- 75', 2 - 1, Kirby-Moore H. ⚽,
- 90+6', 3 - 1, Kirby-Moore H. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Ilkeston
45.8% | Draw
26% | Morpeth Town
28.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ilkeston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)Morpeth Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilkeston than the current prediction. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morpeth Town than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Ilkeston - Morpeth Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2 ↓
(2.18) |
3.52 ↓
(3.57) |
3.23 ↑
(2.96) |
9.5%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 17).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Ilkeston may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Ilkeston will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilkeston won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 2.4:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ilkeston won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 3.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Ilkeston won against Morpeth Town?
Ilkeston has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Morpeth Town won against Ilkeston?
Morpeth Town has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ilkeston - Morpeth Town were as follows:
09.08.2025
Morpeth Town
-
Ilkeston
1:2
18.01.2025
Ilkeston
-
Morpeth Town
4:2
08.10.2024
Morpeth Town
-
Ilkeston
1:2
20.04.2024
Ilkeston
-
Morpeth Town
3:2
18.11.2023
Morpeth Town
-
Ilkeston
2:1
Latest results of Ilkeston
Latest results of Morpeth Town
English NPL Premier Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC United | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 53:31 | 22 | 65 |
| 2 | Hebburn Town | 35 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 62:37 | 25 | 64 |
| 3 | Hednesford | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 49:28 | 21 | 64 |
| 4 | Warrington Rylands | 35 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 51:38 | 13 | 57 |
| 5 | Stockton | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 55:39 | 16 | 55 |
| 6 | Gainsborough | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 46:34 | 12 | 55 |
| 7 | Lancaster | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45:39 | 6 | 51 |
| 8 | Warrington | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 40:54 | -14 | 47 |
| 9 | Bamber Bridge | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 47:40 | 7 | 46 |
| 10 | Ashton Utd | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 39:45 | -6 | 45 |
| 11 | Cleethorpes | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 47:39 | 8 | 44 |
| 12 | Guiseley | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 37:44 | -7 | 43 |
| 13 | Ilkeston | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 44:48 | -4 | 41 |
| 14 | Leek | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 39:48 | -9 | 40 |
| 15 | Whitby | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 37:45 | -8 | 38 |
| 16 | Rushall | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 39:52 | -13 | 38 |
| 17 | Prescot | 35 | 7 | 15 | 13 | 35:43 | -8 | 36 |
| 18 | Morpeth | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 33:45 | -12 | 36 |
| 19 | Workington | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 35:49 | -14 | 36 |
| 20 | Hyde | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 48:60 | -12 | 33 |
| 21 | Stocksbridge | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 33:56 | -23 | 32 |
Promotion ~ National League North
Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )
Relegation
