Result
3:1
10/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NPL Premier Division - Round 26
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 11', 0 - 1, Brayson J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 50', 1 - 1, Parker S. ⚽,
- 75', 2 - 1, Kirby-Moore H. ⚽,
- 90+6', 3 - 1, Kirby-Moore H. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Ilkeston
45.8% | Draw
26% | Morpeth Town
28.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ilkeston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)Morpeth Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilkeston than the current prediction. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morpeth Town than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Ilkeston - Morpeth Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2 ↓
(2.18) |
3.52 ↓
(3.57) |
3.23 ↑
(2.96) |
9.5%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 17).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Ilkeston may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Ilkeston will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilkeston won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 2.4:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ilkeston won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 3.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Ilkeston won against Morpeth Town?
Ilkeston has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Morpeth Town won against Ilkeston?
Morpeth Town has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ilkeston - Morpeth Town were as follows:
09.08.2025
Morpeth Town
-
Ilkeston
1:2
18.01.2025
Ilkeston
-
Morpeth Town
4:2
08.10.2024
Morpeth Town
-
Ilkeston
1:2
20.04.2024
Ilkeston
-
Morpeth Town
3:2
18.11.2023
Morpeth Town
-
Ilkeston
2:1
Latest results of Ilkeston
Latest results of Morpeth Town
English NPL Premier Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hednesford | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 43:26 | 17 | 57 |
| 2 | Hebburn Town | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 57:36 | 21 | 56 |
| 3 | FC United | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 46:28 | 18 | 56 |
| 4 | Warrington Rylands | 32 | 14 | 12 | 6 | 48:35 | 13 | 54 |
| 5 | Gainsborough | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 42:31 | 11 | 51 |
| 6 | Stockton | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 50:35 | 15 | 49 |
| 7 | Lancaster | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 41:36 | 5 | 47 |
| 8 | Bamber Bridge | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 46:33 | 13 | 46 |
| 9 | Warrington | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 37:51 | -14 | 43 |
| 10 | Ilkeston | 32 | 12 | 4 | 16 | 44:47 | -3 | 40 |
| 11 | Ashton Utd | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 35:41 | -6 | 40 |
| 12 | Guiseley | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 35:41 | -6 | 39 |
| 13 | Leek | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 38:46 | -8 | 37 |
| 14 | Cleethorpes | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 39:31 | 8 | 35 |
| 15 | Rushall | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 35:48 | -13 | 35 |
| 16 | Whitby | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 30:37 | -7 | 34 |
| 17 | Hyde | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 46:54 | -8 | 32 |
| 18 | Prescot | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 30:38 | -8 | 32 |
| 19 | Stocksbridge | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 31:49 | -18 | 30 |
| 20 | Morpeth | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 28:41 | -13 | 29 |
| 21 | Workington | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 31:48 | -17 | 29 |
Promotion ~ National League North
Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )
Relegation
