Mortágua vs Arronches Benfica – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
19/01/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 15

Match Stats

Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 89', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Mortágua
44.7%
Draw
30.9%
Arronches Benfica
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.9% 32.1% 35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8% 32.9% 34.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mortágua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mortágua's performance.
  • Arronches Benfica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arronches Benfica might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mortágua than the current prediction. (-10.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mortágua that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arronches Benfica than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arronches Benfica could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Mortágua - Arronches Benfica Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (2.75)
    2.94
    (2.82)
    3.73
    (2.59)
    10.1%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mortágua - Arronches Benfica were as follows:
    25.08.2024 Arronches Benfica - Mortágua 0:0
    12.02.2023 Mortágua - Arronches Benfica 1:1
    Latest results of Mortágua
    05.01.2025 Fatima - Mortágua 0:0
    21.12.2024 Elvas - Mortágua 1:0
    15.12.2024 Mortágua - Pero Pinheiro 1:0
    08.12.2024 Alverca B - Mortágua 1:2
    01.12.2024 Mortágua - Sertanense 1:1
    Latest results of Arronches Benfica
    Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vitoria Sernache18134128:72143
    2SB Castelo Branco18112535:171835
    3Naval 18931895426:17932
    4Mortagua1895419:17232
    5Oliveira Hospital1886422:101230
    6Uniao Da Serra1877427:19828
    7Os Marialvas1772824:21323
    8Fatima1856716:20-421
    9Peniche1856719:26-721
    10Lajense1956825:27-221
    11Marinhense1646611:20-918
    12Samora Correia18351012:25-1314
    13Electrico19341221:44-2313
    14SC Lusitania19341217:32-1513

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