Sertanense vs Mortágua – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Sertanense - Mortágua
16/03/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 65', 0 - 1, Rianco J. ,
  • 70', 0 - 2, Cotel A. ,

Chances of winning


Sertanense
26.1%
Draw
28.4%
Mortágua
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.2% 28.4% 32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9% 28.9% 31.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sertanense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sertanense's form might have worsened.
  • Mortágua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mortágua's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sertanense than the current prediction. (+13.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sertanense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mortágua than the current prediction. (-13.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mortágua, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Sertanense - Mortágua Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.48
    (2.32)
    3.19
    (3.2)
    2
    (2.81)
    10.1%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 8).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Sertanense won 1.
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Sertanense won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:9 (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Sertanense won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:5 (average 2:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sertanense - Mortágua were as follows:
    01.12.2024 Mortágua - Sertanense 1:1
    18.02.2024 Mortágua - Sertanense 2:1
    28.10.2023 Sertanense - Mortágua 4:3
    29.01.2023 Sertanense - Mortágua 1:1
    09.10.2022 Mortágua - Sertanense 1:1
    Latest results of Sertanense
    02.03.2025 Sertanense - Elvas 0:0
    23.02.2025 Fatima - Sertanense 1:1
    16.02.2025 Sertanense - Pero Pinheiro 1:0
    09.02.2025 Alverca B - Sertanense 1:1
    Latest results of Mortágua
    02.03.2025 Marinhense - Mortágua 0:1
    23.02.2025 Mortágua - Peniche 0:0
    09.02.2025 Mortágua - Alcains 2:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Final
    1Lusitano GCVitoria Guimaraes B2 : 1