Aalesunds vs Moss – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Norwegian Adeccoligaen Aalesunds - Moss
Result
2:0
26/07/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • OBOS-ligaen - Round 14
  • Referee: Sletner H. (Nor)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
norwayNorwayTV2 Play

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
63
Shots on target
30
Corner Kicks
94
Yellow Cards
14
Total shots
63
Shots on target
30
Shots off target
33
Corner Kicks
94
Goalkeeper Saves
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 10', Harrison K. 🟨,
  • 23', 1 - 0, Christensen M. , Ngongo P. (A),
  • 30', van der Spa A. 🟨,
  • 38', Seehusen J. , Melland H. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Vold Krohg H. , Gronli S. ,
  • 50', Cassidy M. 🟨,
  • 64', Andresen M. , Nesso K. ,
  • 64', Myrlid E. , Lonebu K. ,
  • 70', Sorensen K. , Memedov A. ,
  • 77', Isufi B. , Afonso M. ,
  • 82', 2 - 0, Gudmundsson O. ,
  • 85', Memedov A. 🟨,
  • 90', Christensen M. , Johannsson D. ,
  • 90', Ngongo P. , Heiselberg F. ,
  • 90+5', Johannsson D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Aalesunds
59.7%
Draw
22.7%
Moss
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.3% 25.5% 26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1% 23.3% 28.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aalesunds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aalesunds's performance.
  • Moss has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Moss might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aalesunds than the current prediction. (-15.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aalesunds that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moss than the current prediction. (+11.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Moss could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Aalesunds - Moss Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (1.9)
    4.13
    (3.6)
    5.27
    (3.5)
    6.3%
    (9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Aalesunds - Moss?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Aalesunds will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 55.21%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 12).
    • Recent performances by Aalesunds have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Moss's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Aalesunds may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Aalesunds is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Aalesunds won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Aalesunds won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aalesunds - Moss were as follows:
    10.08.2024 Aalesunds - Moss 1:0
    01.06.2024 Moss - Aalesunds 1:0
    Latest results of Aalesunds
    22.07.2025 Egersund - Aalesunds 2:2
    21.06.2025 Aalesunds - Odd 1:0
    18.06.2025 Kongsvinger - Aalesunds 3:0
    15.06.2025 Aalesunds - Stabæk 2:2
    Latest results of Moss
    21.06.2025 Åsane - Moss 2:1
    18.06.2025 Moss - Hødd 3:1
    15.06.2025 Mjøndalen - Moss 2:2
    31.05.2025 Moss - Start 0:3
    24.05.2025 Moss - Skeid 2:1
    Norwegian Adeccoligaen Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lillestrom19145045:103547
    2Start19114437:211637
    3Aalesund1988335:26932
    4Sogndal1994634:29531
    5Kongsvinger1986540:31930
    6Lyn1984730:22828
    7Egersund1984730:31-128
    8Ranheim1983824:32-827
    9Odd1965824:26-223
    10Asane1965825:30-523
    11Hodd1965823:31-823
    12Raufoss1958631:32-122
    13Moss1964929:39-1022
    14Stabaek19361024:36-1215
    15Mjondalen19351124:46-2214
    16Skeid19181021:34-1311

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