Aalesunds vs Moss – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Norwegian Adeccoligaen Aalesunds - Moss
Result
2:0
26/07/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • OBOS-ligaen - Round 14
  • Referee: Sletner H. (Nor)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
norwayNorwayTV2 Play

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
63
Shots on target
30
Corner Kicks
94
Yellow Cards
14
Total shots
63
Shots on target
30
Shots off target
33
Corner Kicks
94
Goalkeeper Saves
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 10', Harrison K. 🟨,
  • 23', 1 - 0, Christensen M. , Ngongo P. (A),
  • 30', van der Spa A. 🟨,
  • 38', Seehusen J. , Melland H. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Vold Krohg H. , Gronli S. ,
  • 50', Cassidy M. 🟨,
  • 64', Andresen M. , Nesso K. ,
  • 64', Myrlid E. , Lonebu K. ,
  • 70', Sorensen K. , Memedov A. ,
  • 77', Isufi B. , Afonso M. ,
  • 82', 2 - 0, Gudmundsson O. ,
  • 85', Memedov A. 🟨,
  • 90', Christensen M. , Johannsson D. ,
  • 90', Ngongo P. , Heiselberg F. ,
  • 90+5', Johannsson D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Aalesunds
59.7%
Draw
22.7%
Moss
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.3% 25.5% 26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1% 23.3% 28.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aalesunds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aalesunds's performance.
  • Moss has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Moss might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aalesunds than the current prediction. (-15.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aalesunds that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moss than the current prediction. (+11.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Moss could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Aalesunds - Moss Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (1.9)
    4.13
    (3.6)
    5.27
    (3.5)
    6.3%
    (9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Aalesunds - Moss?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Aalesunds will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 55.21%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 12).
    • Recent performances by Aalesunds have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Moss's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Aalesunds may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Aalesunds is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Aalesunds won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Aalesunds won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aalesunds - Moss were as follows:
    10.08.2024 Aalesunds - Moss 1:0
    01.06.2024 Moss - Aalesunds 1:0
    Latest results of Aalesunds
    22.07.2025 Egersund - Aalesunds 2:2
    21.06.2025 Aalesunds - Odd 1:0
    18.06.2025 Kongsvinger - Aalesunds 3:0
    15.06.2025 Aalesunds - Stabæk 2:2
    Latest results of Moss
    21.06.2025 Åsane - Moss 2:1
    18.06.2025 Moss - Hødd 3:1
    15.06.2025 Mjøndalen - Moss 2:2
    31.05.2025 Moss - Start 0:3
    24.05.2025 Moss - Skeid 2:1
    Norwegian Adeccoligaen Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lillestrom22175055:134256
    2Start22125543:261741
    3Kongsvinger22107546:351137
    4Lyn22105734:241035
    5Aalesund2298539:32735
    6Sogndal22105739:36335
    7Egersund2296735:35033
    8Ranheim2295831:36-532
    9Hodd2276928:37-927
    10Moss22751034:44-1026
    11Raufoss2268836:37-125
    12Asane2267929:37-825
    13Odd22661026:30-424
    14Stabaek22391027:39-1218
    15Mjondalen22361326:51-2515
    16Skeid22191225:41-1612

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