Stabæk vs Moss – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Norwegian Adeccoligaen Stabæk - Moss
Result
3:3
02/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • OBOS-ligaen - Round 16
  • Referee: Koloy M. (Nor)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1217
Shots on target
66
Corner Kicks
46
Yellow Cards
21
Total shots
1217
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
611
Corner Kicks
46
Goalkeeper Saves
33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 18', 0 - 1, Jakobsen T. , Andersen P. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 2)
  • 46', Olderheim S. , Vinge R. E. ,
  • 48', Jakobsen T. 🟨,
  • 57', 1 - 1, Andresen A. , Sjoeng M. (A),
  • 63', Matic A. , Wendt W. ,
  • 63', Afonso M. , Isufi B. ,
  • 63', Andersen P. , Engesvik A. A. ,
  • 71', Naess N. 🟨,
  • 78', Veum O. , Pedersen K. ,
  • 78', van der Spa A. , Strande K. ,
  • 78', Jakobsen T. , Sorensen K. ,
  • 78', Vold Krohg H. , Gronli S. ,
  • 85', 1 - 2, Gronli S. ,
  • 87', 2 - 2, Diabate B. , Pedersen K. (A),
  • 89', 3 - 2, Diabate B. , Vinge R. E. (A),
  • 90', Diabate B. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Diabate B. , Nielsen M. ,
  • 90+6', 3 - 3, Engesvik A. A. ,

Chances of winning


Stabæk
51.7%
Draw
23.7%
Moss
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.1% 21.7% 22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6% 21.1% 21.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stabæk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • Moss has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stabæk than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stabæk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moss than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • Stabæk - Moss Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.81
    (1.68)
    3.97
    (4.35)
    3.83
    (4.24)
    6.6%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Stabæk - Moss?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Stabæk will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.58%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone OBOS~ligaen (Relegation) and 10).
    • Stabæk has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Moss has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Stabæk is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Stabæk won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1.8:2.8).
    • Including home match between the teams, Stabæk won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stabæk - Moss were as follows:
    27.04.2025 Moss - Stabæk 4:2
    27.07.2024 Stabæk - Moss 1:4
    11.05.2024 Moss - Stabæk 3:3
    Latest results of Stabæk
    30.07.2025 Odd - Stabæk 2:0
    26.07.2025 Sogndal - Stabæk 1:1
    25.06.2025 Stabæk - Kristiansund 2:3
    21.06.2025 Start - Stabæk 5:1
    18.06.2025 Stabæk - Egersund 1:3
    Latest results of Moss
    30.07.2025 Moss - Sogndal 3:1
    26.07.2025 Aalesunds - Moss 2:0
    21.06.2025 Åsane - Moss 2:1
    18.06.2025 Moss - Hødd 3:1
    15.06.2025 Mjøndalen - Moss 2:2
    Norwegian Adeccoligaen Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lillestrom25205068:155365
    2Start25135749:311844
    3Lyn25135741:251644
    4Kongsvinger25128553:381544
    5Aalesund25118644:331141
    6Egersund25116842:37539
    7Ranheim25115936:43-738
    8Sogndal25106942:42036
    9Odd25871031:32-131
    10Hodd25861130:43-1330
    11Asane25771133:43-1028
    12Moss25751336:55-1926
    13Raufoss25681137:46-925
    14Stabaek244101032:41-922
    15Mjondalen24461430:57-2718
    16Skeid25191526:49-2312

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