Stabæk vs Moss – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Norwegian Adeccoligaen Stabæk - Moss
Result
3:3
02/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • OBOS-ligaen - Round 16
  • Referee: Koloy M. (Nor)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1217
Shots on target
66
Corner Kicks
46
Yellow Cards
21
Total shots
1217
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
611
Corner Kicks
46
Goalkeeper Saves
33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 18', 0 - 1, Jakobsen T. , Andersen P. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 2)
  • 46', Olderheim S. , Vinge R. E. ,
  • 48', Jakobsen T. 🟨,
  • 57', 1 - 1, Andresen A. , Sjoeng M. (A),
  • 63', Matic A. , Wendt W. ,
  • 63', Afonso M. , Isufi B. ,
  • 63', Andersen P. , Engesvik A. A. ,
  • 71', Naess N. 🟨,
  • 78', Veum O. , Pedersen K. ,
  • 78', van der Spa A. , Strande K. ,
  • 78', Jakobsen T. , Sorensen K. ,
  • 78', Vold Krohg H. , Gronli S. ,
  • 85', 1 - 2, Gronli S. ,
  • 87', 2 - 2, Diabate B. , Pedersen K. (A),
  • 89', 3 - 2, Diabate B. , Vinge R. E. (A),
  • 90', Diabate B. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Diabate B. , Nielsen M. ,
  • 90+6', 3 - 3, Engesvik A. A. ,

Chances of winning


Stabæk
51.7%
Draw
23.7%
Moss
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.1% 21.7% 22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6% 21.1% 21.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stabæk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • Moss has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stabæk than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stabæk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moss than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • Stabæk - Moss Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.81
    (1.68)
    3.97
    (4.35)
    3.83
    (4.24)
    6.6%
    (6.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Stabæk - Moss?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Stabæk will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.58%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone OBOS~ligaen (Relegation) and 10).
    • Stabæk has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Moss has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Stabæk is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Stabæk won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1.8:2.8).
    • Including home match between the teams, Stabæk won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stabæk - Moss were as follows:
    27.04.2025 Moss - Stabæk 4:2
    27.07.2024 Stabæk - Moss 1:4
    11.05.2024 Moss - Stabæk 3:3
    Latest results of Stabæk
    30.07.2025 Odd - Stabæk 2:0
    26.07.2025 Sogndal - Stabæk 1:1
    25.06.2025 Stabæk - Kristiansund 2:3
    21.06.2025 Start - Stabæk 5:1
    18.06.2025 Stabæk - Egersund 1:3
    Latest results of Moss
    30.07.2025 Moss - Sogndal 3:1
    26.07.2025 Aalesunds - Moss 2:0
    21.06.2025 Åsane - Moss 2:1
    18.06.2025 Moss - Hødd 3:1
    15.06.2025 Mjøndalen - Moss 2:2
    Norwegian Adeccoligaen Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lillestrom ✔ 28235082:186474
    2Kongsvinger28158561:402153
    3Start28147753:341949
    4Aalesund28139653:351848
    5Egersund28146849:371248
    6Lyn281351043:331044
    7Ranheim281261041:46-542
    8Sogndal281171045:44140
    9Odd28891134:41-733
    10Stabaek277101042:42031
    11Hodd28871334:52-1831
    12Asane28791238:50-1230
    13Raufoss28781342:54-1228
    14Moss28761539:62-2327
    15Mjondalen27471631:67-3619
    16Skeid ✔ 28191828:60-3212

          Promotion ~ Eliteserien
          Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          OBOS~ligaen (Relegation)
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Lillestrom is Qualified for Eliteserien
    Skeid is Relegated to